Building trajectories through clinical data to model disease progression

This thesis was submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy and awarded by Brunel University.Clinical trials are typically conducted over a population within a defined time period in order to illuminate certain characteristics of a health issue or disease process. These cross-sectional studies provide a snapshot of these disease processes over a large number of people but do not allow us to model the temporal nature of disease, which is essential for modeling detailed prognostic predictions. Longitudinal studies, on the other hand, are used to explore how these processes develop over time in a number of people but can be expensive and time-consuming, and many studies only cover a relatively small window within the disease process. This thesis describes the application of intelligent data analysis techniques for extracting information from time series generated by different diseases. The aim of this thesis is to identify intermediate stages in a disease process and sub-categories of the disease exhibiting subtly different symptoms. It explores the use of a bootstrap technique that fits trajectories through the data generating “pseudo time-series”. It addresses issues including: how clinical variables interact as a disease progresses along the trajectories in the data; and how to automatically identify different disease states along these trajectories, as well as the transitions between them. The thesis documents how reliable time-series models can be created from large amounts of historical cross-sectional data and a novel relabling/latent variable approach has enabled the exploration of the temporal nature of disease progression. The proposed algorithms are tested extensively on simulated data and on three real clinical datasets. Finally, a study is carried out to explore whether we can “calibrate” pseudo time-series models with real longitudinal data in order to improve them. Plausible directions for future research are discussed at the end of the thesis

Extending Bayesian network models for mining and classification of glaucoma

This thesis was submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy and awarded by Brunel University.Glaucoma is a degenerative disease that damages the nerve fiber layer in the retina of the eye. Its mechanisms are not fully known and there is no fully-effective strategy to prevent visual impairment and blindness. However, if treatment is carried out at an early stage, it is possible to slow glaucomatous progression and improve the quality of life of sufferers. Despite the great amount of heterogeneous data that has become available for monitoring glaucoma, the performance of tests for early diagnosis are still insufficient, due to the complexity of disease progression and the diffculties in obtaining sufficient measurements. This research aims to assess and extend Bayesian Network (BN) models to investigate the nature of the disease and its progression, as well as improve early diagnosis performance. The exibility of BNs and their ability to integrate with clinician expertise make them a suitable tool to effectively exploit the available data. After presenting the problem, a series of BN models for cross-sectional data classification and integration are assessed; novel techniques are then proposed for classification and modelling of glaucoma progression. The results are validated against literature, direct expert knowledge and other Artificial Intelligence techniques, indicating that BNs and their proposed extensions improve glaucoma diagnosis performance and enable new insights into the disease process

Spatial and spatio-temporal statistical analyses of retinal images: a review of methods and applications.

Background: Clinical research and management of retinal diseases greatly depend on the interpretation of retinal images and often longitudinally collected images. Retinal images provide context for spatial data, namely the location of specific pathologies within the retina. Longitudinally collected images can show how clinical events at one point can affect the retina over time. In this review, we aimed to assess statistical approaches to spatial and spatio-temporal data in retinal images. We also review the spatio-temporal modelling approaches used in other medical image types. Methods: We conducted a comprehensive literature review of both spatial or spatio-temporal approaches and non-spatial approaches to the statistical analysis of retinal images. The key methodological and clinical characteristics of published papers were extracted. We also investigated whether clinical variables and spatial correlation were accounted for in the analysis. Results: Thirty-four papers that included retinal imaging data were identified for full-text information extraction. Only 11 (32.4%) papers used spatial or spatio-temporal statistical methods to analyse images, others (23 papers, 67.6%) used non-spatial methods. Twenty-eight (82.4%) papers reported images collected cross-sectionally, while 6 (17.6%) papers reported analyses on images collected longitudinally. In imaging areas outside of ophthalmology, 19 papers were identified with spatio-temporal analysis, and multiple statistical methods were recorded. Conclusions: In future statistical analyses of retinal images, it will be beneficial to clearly define and report the spatial distributions studied, report the spatial correlations, combine imaging data with clinical variables into analysis if available, and clearly state the software or packages used

Deep learning-based improvement for the outcomes of glaucoma clinical trials

Glaucoma is the leading cause of irreversible blindness worldwide. It is a progressive optic neuropathy in which retinal ganglion cell (RGC) axon loss, probably as a consequence of damage at the optic disc, causes a loss of vision, predominantly affecting the mid-peripheral visual field (VF). Glaucoma results in a decrease in vision-related quality of life and, therefore, early detection and evaluation of disease progression rates is crucial in order to assess the risk of functional impairment and to establish sound treatment strategies. The aim of my research is to improve glaucoma diagnosis by enhancing state of the art analyses of glaucoma clinical trial outcomes using advanced analytical methods. This knowledge would also help better design and analyse clinical trials, providing evidence for re-evaluating existing medications, facilitating diagnosis and suggesting novel disease management. To facilitate my objective methodology, this thesis provides the following contributions: (i) I developed deep learning-based super-resolution (SR) techniques for optical coherence tomography (OCT) image enhancement and demonstrated that using super-resolved images improves the statistical power of clinical trials, (ii) I developed a deep learning algorithm for segmentation of retinal OCT images, showing that the methodology consistently produces more accurate segmentations than state-of-the-art networks, (iii) I developed a deep learning framework for refining the relationship between structural and functional measurements and demonstrated that the mapping is significantly improved over previous techniques, iv) I developed a probabilistic method and demonstrated that glaucomatous disc haemorrhages are influenced by a possible systemic factor that makes both eyes bleed simultaneously. v) I recalculated VF slopes, using the retinal never fiber layer thickness (RNFLT) from the super-resolved OCT as a Bayesian prior and demonstrated that use of VF rates with the Bayesian prior as the outcome measure leads to a reduction in the sample size required to distinguish treatment arms in a clinical trial

Analysis of Retinal Image Data to Support Glaucoma Diagnosis

Fundus kamera je široce dostupné zobrazovací zařízení, které umožňuje relativně rychlé a nenákladné vyšetření zadního segmentu oka – sítnice. Z těchto důvodů se mnoho výzkumných pracovišť zaměřuje právě na vývoj automatických metod diagnostiky nemocí sítnice s využitím fundus fotografií. Tato dizertační práce analyzuje současný stav vědeckého poznání v oblasti diagnostiky glaukomu s využitím fundus kamery a navrhuje novou metodiku hodnocení vrstvy nervových vláken (VNV) na sítnici pomocí texturní analýzy. Spolu s touto metodikou je navržena metoda segmentace cévního řečiště sítnice, jakožto další hodnotný příspěvek k současnému stavu řešené problematiky. Segmentace cévního řečiště rovněž slouží jako nezbytný krok předcházející analýzu VNV. Vedle toho práce publikuje novou volně dostupnou databázi snímků sítnice se zlatými standardy pro účely hodnocení automatických metod segmentace cévního řečiště.Fundus camera is widely available imaging device enabling fast and cheap examination of the human retina. Hence, many researchers focus on development of automatic methods towards assessment of various retinal diseases via fundus images. This dissertation summarizes recent state-of-the-art in the field of glaucoma diagnosis using fundus camera and proposes a novel methodology for assessment of the retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) via texture analysis. Along with it, a method for the retinal blood vessel segmentation is introduced as an additional valuable contribution to the recent state-of-the-art in the field of retinal image processing. Segmentation of the blood vessels also serves as a necessary step preceding evaluation of the RNFL via the proposed methodology. In addition, a new publicly available high-resolution retinal image database with gold standard data is introduced as a novel opportunity for other researches to evaluate their segmentation algorithms.