Time Series Cluster Kernel for Learning Similarities between Multivariate Time Series with Missing Data

Similarity-based approaches represent a promising direction for time series analysis. However, many such methods rely on parameter tuning, and some have shortcomings if the time series are multivariate (MTS), due to dependencies between attributes, or the time series contain missing data. In this paper, we address these challenges within the powerful context of kernel methods by proposing the robust \emph{time series cluster kernel} (TCK). The approach taken leverages the missing data handling properties of Gaussian mixture models (GMM) augmented with informative prior distributions. An ensemble learning approach is exploited to ensure robustness to parameters by combining the clustering results of many GMM to form the final kernel. We evaluate the TCK on synthetic and real data and compare to other state-of-the-art techniques. The experimental results demonstrate that the TCK is robust to parameter choices, provides competitive results for MTS without missing data and outstanding results for missing data.Comment: 23 pages, 6 figure

On Recursive Edit Distance Kernels with Application to Time Series Classification

This paper proposes some extensions to the work on kernels dedicated to string or time series global alignment based on the aggregation of scores obtained by local alignments. The extensions we propose allow to construct, from classical recursive definition of elastic distances, recursive edit distance (or time-warp) kernels that are positive definite if some sufficient conditions are satisfied. The sufficient conditions we end-up with are original and weaker than those proposed in earlier works, although a recursive regularizing term is required to get the proof of the positive definiteness as a direct consequence of the Haussler's convolution theorem. The classification experiment we conducted on three classical time warp distances (two of which being metrics), using Support Vector Machine classifier, leads to conclude that, when the pairwise distance matrix obtained from the training data is \textit{far} from definiteness, the positive definite recursive elastic kernels outperform in general the distance substituting kernels for the classical elastic distances we have tested.Comment: 14 page