A study of remote sensing as applied to regional and small watersheds. Volume 1: Summary report

The accuracy of remotely sensed measurements to provide inputs to hydrologic models of watersheds is studied. A series of sensitivity analyses on continuous simulation models of three watersheds determined: (1)Optimal values and permissible tolerances of inputs to achieve accurate simulation of streamflow from the watersheds; (2) Which model inputs can be quantified from remote sensing, directly, indirectly or by inference; and (3) How accurate remotely sensed measurements (from spacecraft or aircraft) must be to provide a basis for quantifying model inputs within permissible tolerances

Changes from Classical Statistics to Modern Statistics and Data Science

A coordinate system is a foundation for every quantitative science, engineering, and medicine. Classical physics and statistics are based on the Cartesian coordinate system. The classical probability and hypothesis testing theory can only be applied to Euclidean data. However, modern data in the real world are from natural language processing, mathematical formulas, social networks, transportation and sensor networks, computer visions, automations, and biomedical measurements. The Euclidean assumption is not appropriate for non Euclidean data. This perspective addresses the urgent need to overcome those fundamental limitations and encourages extensions of classical probability theory and hypothesis testing , diffusion models and stochastic differential equations from Euclidean space to non Euclidean space. Artificial intelligence such as natural language processing, computer vision, graphical neural networks, manifold regression and inference theory, manifold learning, graph neural networks, compositional diffusion models for automatically compositional generations of concepts and demystifying machine learning systems, has been rapidly developed. Differential manifold theory is the mathematic foundations of deep learning and data science as well. We urgently need to shift the paradigm for data analysis from the classical Euclidean data analysis to both Euclidean and non Euclidean data analysis and develop more and more innovative methods for describing, estimating and inferring non Euclidean geometries of modern real datasets. A general framework for integrated analysis of both Euclidean and non Euclidean data, composite AI, decision intelligence and edge AI provide powerful innovative ideas and strategies for fundamentally advancing AI. We are expected to marry statistics with AI, develop a unified theory of modern statistics and drive next generation of AI and data science.Comment: 37 page

A hybrid algorithm for Bayesian network structure learning with application to multi-label learning

We present a novel hybrid algorithm for Bayesian network structure learning, called H2PC. It first reconstructs the skeleton of a Bayesian network and then performs a Bayesian-scoring greedy hill-climbing search to orient the edges. The algorithm is based on divide-and-conquer constraint-based subroutines to learn the local structure around a target variable. We conduct two series of experimental comparisons of H2PC against Max-Min Hill-Climbing (MMHC), which is currently the most powerful state-of-the-art algorithm for Bayesian network structure learning. First, we use eight well-known Bayesian network benchmarks with various data sizes to assess the quality of the learned structure returned by the algorithms. Our extensive experiments show that H2PC outperforms MMHC in terms of goodness of fit to new data and quality of the network structure with respect to the true dependence structure of the data. Second, we investigate H2PC's ability to solve the multi-label learning problem. We provide theoretical results to characterize and identify graphically the so-called minimal label powersets that appear as irreducible factors in the joint distribution under the faithfulness condition. The multi-label learning problem is then decomposed into a series of multi-class classification problems, where each multi-class variable encodes a label powerset. H2PC is shown to compare favorably to MMHC in terms of global classification accuracy over ten multi-label data sets covering different application domains. Overall, our experiments support the conclusions that local structural learning with H2PC in the form of local neighborhood induction is a theoretically well-motivated and empirically effective learning framework that is well suited to multi-label learning. The source code (in R) of H2PC as well as all data sets used for the empirical tests are publicly available.Comment: arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1101.5184 by other author

Learn the Force We Can: Enabling Sparse Motion Control in Multi-Object Video Generation

We propose a novel unsupervised method to autoregressively generate videos from a single frame and a sparse motion input. Our trained model can generate unseen realistic object-to-object interactions. Although our model has never been given the explicit segmentation and motion of each object in the scene during training, it is able to implicitly separate their dynamics and extents. Key components in our method are the randomized conditioning scheme, the encoding of the input motion control, and the randomized and sparse sampling to enable generalization to out of distribution but realistic correlations. Our model, which we call YODA, has therefore the ability to move objects without physically touching them. Through extensive qualitative and quantitative evaluations on several datasets, we show that YODA is on par with or better than state of the art video generation prior work in terms of both controllability and video quality.Comment: Accepted to AAAI 2024. Project website: https://araachie.github.io/yod

Pathway to Future Symbiotic Creativity

This report presents a comprehensive view of our vision on the development path of the human-machine symbiotic art creation. We propose a classification of the creative system with a hierarchy of 5 classes, showing the pathway of creativity evolving from a mimic-human artist (Turing Artists) to a Machine artist in its own right. We begin with an overview of the limitations of the Turing Artists then focus on the top two-level systems, Machine Artists, emphasizing machine-human communication in art creation. In art creation, it is necessary for machines to understand humans' mental states, including desires, appreciation, and emotions, humans also need to understand machines' creative capabilities and limitations. The rapid development of immersive environment and further evolution into the new concept of metaverse enable symbiotic art creation through unprecedented flexibility of bi-directional communication between artists and art manifestation environments. By examining the latest sensor and XR technologies, we illustrate the novel way for art data collection to constitute the base of a new form of human-machine bidirectional communication and understanding in art creation. Based on such communication and understanding mechanisms, we propose a novel framework for building future Machine artists, which comes with the philosophy that a human-compatible AI system should be based on the "human-in-the-loop" principle rather than the traditional "end-to-end" dogma. By proposing a new form of inverse reinforcement learning model, we outline the platform design of machine artists, demonstrate its functions and showcase some examples of technologies we have developed. We also provide a systematic exposition of the ecosystem for AI-based symbiotic art form and community with an economic model built on NFT technology. Ethical issues for the development of machine artists are also discussed

DreamLLM: Synergistic Multimodal Comprehension and Creation

This paper presents DreamLLM, a learning framework that first achieves versatile Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) empowered with frequently overlooked synergy between multimodal comprehension and creation. DreamLLM operates on two fundamental principles. The first focuses on the generative modeling of both language and image posteriors by direct sampling in the raw multimodal space. This approach circumvents the limitations and information loss inherent to external feature extractors like CLIP, and a more thorough multimodal understanding is obtained. Second, DreamLLM fosters the generation of raw, interleaved documents, modeling both text and image contents, along with unstructured layouts. This allows DreamLLM to learn all conditional, marginal, and joint multimodal distributions effectively. As a result, DreamLLM is the first MLLM capable of generating free-form interleaved content. Comprehensive experiments highlight DreamLLM's superior performance as a zero-shot multimodal generalist, reaping from the enhanced learning synergy.Comment: see project page at https://dreamllm.github.io