Data-driven Models for Remaining Useful Life Estimation of Aircraft Engines and Hard Disk Drives

Failure of physical devices can cause inconvenience, loss of money, and sometimes even deaths. To improve the reliability of these devices, we need to know the remaining useful life (RUL) of a device at a given point in time. Data-driven approaches use data from a physical device to build a model that can estimate the RUL. They have shown great performance and are often simpler than traditional model-based approaches. Typical statistical and machine learning approaches are often not suited for sequential data prediction. Recurrent Neural Networks are designed to work with sequential data but suffer from the vanishing gradient problem over time. Therefore, I explore the use of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for RUL prediction. I perform two experiments. First, I train bidirectional LSTM networks on the Backblaze hard-disk drive dataset. I achieve an accuracy of 96.4\% on a 60 day time window, state-of-the-art performance. Additionally, I use a unique standardization method that standardizes each hard drive instance independently and explore the benefits and downsides of this approach. Finally, I train LSTM models on the NASA N-CMAPSS dataset to predict aircraft engine remaining useful life. I train models on each of the eight sub-datasets, achieving a RMSE of 6.304 on one of the sub-datasets, the second-best in the current literature. I also compare an LSTM network\u27s performance to the performance of a Random Forest and Temporal Convolutional Neural Network model, demonstrating the LSTM network\u27s superior performance. I find that LSTM networks are capable predictors for device remaining useful life and show a thorough model development process that can be reproduced to develop LSTM models for various RUL prediction tasks. These models will be able to improve the reliability of devices such as aircraft engines and hard-disk drives

Data-level hybrid strategy selection for disk fault prediction model based on multivariate GAN

Data class imbalance is a common problem in classification problems, where minority class samples are often more important and more costly to misclassify in a classification task. Therefore, it is very important to solve the data class imbalance classification problem. The SMART dataset exhibits an evident class imbalance, comprising a substantial quantity of healthy samples and a comparatively limited number of defective samples. This dataset serves as a reliable indicator of the disc's health status. In this paper, we obtain the best balanced disk SMART dataset for a specific classification model by mixing and integrating the data synthesised by multivariate generative adversarial networks (GAN) to balance the disk SMART dataset at the data level; and combine it with genetic algorithms to obtain higher disk fault classification prediction accuracy on a specific classification model

Human Minds

Articl

An improved CTGAN for data processing method of imbalanced disk failure

To address the problem of insufficient failure data generated by disks and the imbalance between the number of normal and failure data. The existing Conditional Tabular Generative Adversarial Networks (CTGAN) deep learning methods have been proven to be effective in solving imbalance disk failure data. But CTGAN cannot learn the internal information of disk failure data very well. In this paper, a fault diagnosis method based on improved CTGAN, a classifier for specific category discrimination is added and a discriminator generate adversarial network based on residual network is proposed. We named it Residual Conditional Tabular Generative Adversarial Networks (RCTGAN). Firstly, to enhance the stability of system a residual network is utilized. RCTGAN uses a small amount of real failure data to synthesize fake fault data; Then, the synthesized data is mixed with the real data to balance the amount of normal and failure data; Finally, four classifier (multilayer perceptron, support vector machine, decision tree, random forest) models are trained using the balanced data set, and the performance of the models is evaluated using G-mean. The experimental results show that the data synthesized by the RCTGAN can further improve the fault diagnosis accuracy of the classifier