Modelling forest road trafficability with satellite-based soil moisture variables

Recent decades have seen increased temperatures and precipitation in the Nordic countries with long-term projections for reduced frost duration and depth. The consequence of these trends has been a gradual shift of delivery volumes to the frost-free season, requiring more agile management to exploit suitable weather conditions. Bearing capacity and trafficability are dependent on soil moisture state and in this context two satellite missions offer potenially useful information on soil moisture levels; NASA's SMAP (Soil Moisture Active Passive) and ESA's Sentinel-1. The goal of this pilot study was to quantify the performance of such satellite-based soil moisture variables for modeling forest road bearing capacity (e-module) during the frost-free season. The study was based on post-transport registrations of 103 forest road segments on the coastal and interior side of the Scandinavian mountain range. The analysis focused on roads of three types of surface deposits. Weekly SMAP soil moisture values better explained the variation in road e-module than soil water index (SWI) derived from Sentinel-1. Soil Water Index (SWI), however, reflected the weather conditions typical for operations on the respective surface deposit types. Regression analysis using (i) SMAP-based soil dryness index and (ii) its interaction with surface deposit types, together with (iii) the ratio between a combined SMAP_SWI dryness index and segment-specific depth to water (DTW) explained over 70% of the variation in road e-module. The results indicate a future potential to monitor road trafficability over large supply areas on a weekly level, given further refinement of study methods and variables for improved prediction

Exploiting growing stock volume maps for large scale forest resource assessment: Cross-comparisons of ASAR- and PALSAR-based GSV estimates with forest inventory in Central Siberia

Growing stock volume is an important biophysical parameter describing the state and dynamics of the Boreal zone. Validation of growing stock volume (GSV) maps based on satellite remote sensing is challenging due to the lack of consistent ground reference data. The monitoring and assessment of the remote Russian forest resources of Siberia can only be done by integrating remote sensing techniques and interdisciplinary collaboration. In this paper, we assess the information content of GSV estimates in Central Siberian forests obtained at 25m from ALOS-PALSAR and 1km from ENVISAT-ASAR backscatter data. The estimates have been cross-compared with respect to forest inventory data showing 34% relative RMSE for the ASAR-based GSV retrievals and 39.4% for the PALSAR-based estimates of GSV. Fragmentation analyses using a MODIS-based land cover dataset revealed an increase of retrieval error with increasing fragmentation of the landscape. Cross-comparisons of multiple SAR-based GSV estimates helped to detect inconsistencies in the forest inventory data and can support an update of outdated forest inventory stands

Assessing the accuracy for area-based tree species classification using Sentinel-1 C-band SAR data

Forest type (FTY) and tree species classification (SPP) over the Remn-ingstorp test site were performed using ground-based field observations and remote sensing data sources. The field inventory for the forest estate and for the surrounding natural reserve of Eahagen was carried out in 2016. The re-mote sensing data used were C-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data from Sentinel-1. Dual polarization backscatter values were extracted for the period October 2017 - February 2019 and the area-based method was applied. The metrics obtained, i.e. monthly mean backscatter, were used to perform classification by machine learning models’ random forest (RF) and linear dis-criminant analysis (LDA). The models were evaluated with the leave-one-out cross-validation method and the classification outcomes were compared with reference values in terms of confusion matrixes. The best performing model was LDA with an overall accuracy of 88% for FTY and 61% for SPP, whereas RF achieved values of 84% for FTY and 56% for SPP. It was concluded that C-band SAR data can be used for FTY and SPP classification, but further investigation is needed to determine which factors affect the backscatter in order to obtain more accurate classifications

Estimates of Forest Growing Stock Volume for Sweden, Central Siberia, and Québec Using Envisat Advanced Synthetic Aperture Radar Backscatter Data

A study was undertaken to assess Envisat Advanced Synthetic Aperture Radar (ASAR) ScanSAR data for quantifying forest growing stock volume (GSV) across three boreal regions with varying forest types, composition, and structure (Sweden, Central Siberia, and Québec). Estimates of GSV were obtained using hyper-temporal observations of the radar backscatter acquired by Envisat ASAR with the BIOMASAR algorithm. In total, 5.3×106 km2 were mapped with a 0.01° pixel size to obtain estimates representative for the year of 2005. Comparing the SAR-based estimates to spatially explicit datasets of GSV, generated from forest field inventory and/or Earth Observation data, revealed similar spatial distributions of GSV. Nonetheless, the weak sensitivity of C-band backscatter to forest structural parameters introduced significant uncertainty to the estimated GSV at full resolution. Further discrepancies were observed in the case of different scales of the ASAR and the reference GSV and in areas of fragmented landscapes. Aggregation to 0.1° and 0.5° was then undertaken to generate coarse scale estimates of GSV. The agreement between ASAR and the reference GSV datasets improved; the relative difference at 0.5° was consistently within a magnitude of 20–30%. The results indicate an improvement of the characterization of forest GSV in the boreal zone with respect to currently available information

Estimation of Forest Biomass and Faraday Rotation using Ultra High Frequency Synthetic Aperture Radar

Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data in the Ultra High Frequency (UHF; 300 MHz – 3 GHz)) band have been shown to be strongly dependent of forest biomass, which is a poorly estimated variable in the global carbon cycle. In this thesis UHF-band SAR data from the fairly flat hemiboreal test site Remningstorp in southern Sweden were analysed. The data were collected on several occasions with different moisture conditions during the spring of 2007. Regression models for biomass estimation on stand level (0.5-9 ha) were developed for each date on which SAR data were acquired. For L-band (centre frequency 1.3 GHz) the best estimation model was based on HV-polarized backscatter, giving a root mean squared error (rmse) between 31% and 46% of the mean biomass. For P-band (centre frequency 340 MHz), regression models including HH, HV or HH and HV backscatter gave an rmse between 18% and 27%. Little or no saturation effects were observed up to 290 t/ha for P-band. A model based on physical-optics has been developed and was used to predict HH-polarized SAR data with frequencies from 20 MHz to 500 MHz from a set of vertical trunks standing on an undulating ground surface. The model shows that ground topography is a critical issue in SAR imaging for these frequencies. A regression model for biomass estimation which includes a correction for ground slope was developed using multi-polarized P-band SAR data from Remningstorp as well as from the boreal test site Krycklan in northern Sweden. The latter test site has pronounced topographic variability. It was shown that the model was able to partly compensate for moisture variability, and that the model gave an rmse of 22-33% when trained using data from Krycklan and evaluated using data from Remningstorp. Regression modelling based on P-band backscatter was also used to estimate biomass change using data acquired in Remningstorp during the spring 2007 and during the fall 2010. The results show that biomass change can be measured with an rmse of about 15% or 20 tons/ha. This suggests that not only deforestation, but also forest growth and degradation (e.g. thinning) can be measured using P-band SAR data. The thesis also includes result on Faraday rotation, which is an ionospheric effect which can have a significant impact on spaceborne UHF-band SAR images. Faraday rotation angles are estimated in spaceborne L-band SAR data. Estimates based on distributed targets and calibration targets with high signal to clutter ratios are found to be in very good agreement. Moreover, a strong correlation with independent measurements of Total Electron Content is found, further validating the estimates

THE UNCERTAINTY OF SPACEBORNE OBSERVATION OF VEGETATION STRUCTURE IN THE TAIGA-TUNDRA ECOTONE: A CASE STUDY IN NORTHERN SIBERIA

The ability to characterize vegetation structure in the taiga-tundra ecotone (TTE) at fine spatial scales is critical given its heterogeneity and the central role of its patterns on ecological processes in the high northern latitudes and global change scenarios. This research focuses on quantifying the uncertainty of TTE forest structure observations from remote sensing at fine spatial scales. I first quantify the uncertainty of forest biomass estimates from current airborne and spaceborne active remote sensing systems and a planned spaceborne LiDAR (ICESat-2) across sparse forest gradients. At plot-scales, current spaceborne models of biomass either explain less than a third of model variation or have biomass estimate uncertainties ranging from 50-100%. Simulations of returns from the planned ICESat-2 for a similar gradient show the uncertainty of near-term estimates vary according to the ground length along which returns are collected. The 50m length optimized the resolution of forest structure, for which there is a trade-off between horizontal precision of the measurement and vertical structure detail. At this scale biomass error ranges from 20-50%, which precludes identifying actual differences in aboveground live biomass density at 10 Mg•ha-1 intervals. These broad plot-scale uncertainties in structure from current and planned sensors provided the basis for examining a data integration technique with multiple sensors to measure the structure of sparse TTE forests. Spaceborne estimates of canopy height used complementary surface elevation measurements from passive optical and LiDAR to provide a means for directly measuring TTE forest height from spaceborne sensors. This spaceborne approach to estimating forest height was deployed to assess the spaceborne potential for examining the patterns of TTE forest structure explained with a conceptual biogeographic model linking TTE patterns and its dynamics. A patch-based analysis was used to scale estimates of TTE forest structure from multiple sensors and provided a means to simultaneously examine the horizontal and vertical structure of groups of TTE trees. The uncertainty of forest patch height estimates provides focus for improving spaceborne depictions of TTE structure patterns associated with recent change that may explain the variability of this change and the vulnerability of TTE forest structure

Evaluation of low-cost Earth observations to scale-up national forest monitoring in Miombo Woodlands of Malawi

This study explored the extent that low-cost Earth Observations (EO) data could effectively be combined with in-situ tree-level measurements to support national estimates of Above Ground Biomass (AGB) and Carbon (C) in Malawi’s Miombo Woodlands. The specific objectives were to; (i) investigate the effectiveness of low-cost optical UAV orthomosaics in geo-locating individual trees and estimating AGB and C, (ii) scale-up the AGB estimates using the canopy height model derived from the UAV imagery, and crown diameter measurements; and (iii) compare results from (ii), ALOS-PALSAR-2, Sentinel1, ESA CCI Biomass Map datasets, and Sentinel 2 vis/NIR/SWIR band combination datasets in mapping biomass. Data were acquired in 2019 from 13 plots over Ntchisi Forest in 3-fold, vis-a-vis; (i) individual tree measurements from 0.1ha ground-based (gb) plots, (ii) 3-7cm pixel resolution optical airborne imagery from 50ha plots, and (iii) SAR backscatter and Vis/NIR/SWIR bands imagery. Results demonstrate a strong correlational relationship (R2 = 0.7, RMSE = 11tCha-1) between gb AGB and gb fractional cover percent (FC %), more importantly (R2 = 0.7) between gb AGB and UAV-based FC. Similarly, another set of high correlation (R2 = 0.9, RMSE = 7tCha-1; R2 = 0.8, RMSE = 8tCha-1; and R2 = 0.7) was observed between the gb AGB and EO-based AGB from; (i) ALOS-PALSAR-2, (ii) ESA-CCI-Biomass Map, and (iii) S1-C-band, respectively. Under the measurement conditions, these findings reveal that; (i) FC is more indicative of AGB and C pattern than CHM, (ii) the UAV can collect optical data of very high resolution (3-7cm resolution with ±13m horizontal geolocation error), and (iii) provides the cost-effective means of bridging the ground datasets to the wall-to-wall satellite EO data (£7 ha-1 compared to £30 ha-1, per person, provided by the gb system). The overall better performance of the SAR backscatter (R2 = 0.7 to 0.9) establishes the suitability of the SAR backscatter to infer the Miombo AGB and fractional cover with high accuracy. However, the following factors compromised the accuracy for both the SAR and optical measurements; leaf-off and seasonality (fire, aridness), topography (steep slopes of 18-74%), and sensing angle. Inversely, the weak to moderate correlation observed between the gb height and UAV FC % measurements (R2 = 0.4 to 0.7) are attributable to the underestimation systematic error that UAV height datasets are associated with. The visual lacunarity analysis on S2-Vis/NIR/SWIR composite band and SAR backscatter measurements demonstrated robust, consistent and homogenous spatial crown patterns exhibited particularly by the leaf-on tree canopies along riverine tree belts and cohorts. These results reveal the potential of vis/NIR/SWIR band combination in determining the effect of fire, rock outcrops and bare land/soil common in these woodlands. Coarsening the EO imagery to ≥50m pixel resolution compromised the accuracy of the estimations, hence <50m resolution is the ideal scale for these Miombo. Careful consideration of the aforementioned factors and incorporation of FC parameter in during estimation of AGB and C will go a long way in not only enhancing the accuracy of the measurements, but also in bolstering Malawi’s NFMS standards to yield carbon off-set payments under the global REDD+ mechanism

State of the climate in 2013

In 2013, the vast majority of the monitored climate variables reported here maintained trends established in recent decades. ENSO was in a neutral state during the entire year, remaining mostly on the cool side of neutral with modest impacts on regional weather patterns around the world. This follows several years dominated by the effects of either La Niña or El Niño events. According to several independent analyses, 2013 was again among the 10 warmest years on record at the global scale, both at the Earths surface and through the troposphere. Some regions in the Southern Hemisphere had record or near-record high temperatures for the year. Australia observed its hottest year on record, while Argentina and New Zealand reported their second and third hottest years, respectively. In Antarctica, Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station reported its highest annual temperature since records began in 1957. At the opposite pole, the Arctic observed its seventh warmest year since records began in the early 20th century. At 20-m depth, record high temperatures were measured at some permafrost stations on the North Slope of Alaska and in the Brooks Range. In the Northern Hemisphere extratropics, anomalous meridional atmospheric circulation occurred throughout much of the year, leading to marked regional extremes of both temperature and precipitation. Cold temperature anomalies during winter across Eurasia were followed by warm spring temperature anomalies, which were linked to a new record low Eurasian snow cover extent in May. Minimum sea ice extent in the Arctic was the sixth lowest since satellite observations began in 1979. Including 2013, all seven lowest extents on record have occurred in the past seven years. Antarctica, on the other hand, had above-average sea ice extent throughout 2013, with 116 days of new daily high extent records, including a new daily maximum sea ice area of 19.57 million km2 reached on 1 October. ENSO-neutral conditions in the eastern central Pacific Ocean and a negative Pacific decadal oscillation pattern in the North Pacific had the largest impacts on the global sea surface temperature in 2013. The North Pacific reached a historic high temperature in 2013 and on balance the globally-averaged sea surface temperature was among the 10 highest on record. Overall, the salt content in nearsurface ocean waters increased while in intermediate waters it decreased. Global mean sea level continued to rise during 2013, on pace with a trend of 3.2 mm yr-1 over the past two decades. A portion of this trend (0.5 mm yr-1) has been attributed to natural variability associated with the Pacific decadal oscillation as well as to ongoing contributions from the melting of glaciers and ice sheets and ocean warming. Global tropical cyclone frequency during 2013 was slightly above average with a total of 94 storms, although the North Atlantic Basin had its quietest hurricane season since 1994. In the Western North Pacific Basin, Super Typhoon Haiyan, the deadliest tropical cyclone of 2013, had 1-minute sustained winds estimated to be 170 kt (87.5 m s-1) on 7 November, the highest wind speed ever assigned to a tropical cyclone. High storm surge was also associated with Haiyan as it made landfall over the central Philippines, an area where sea level is currently at historic highs, increasing by 200 mm since 1970. In the atmosphere, carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide all continued to increase in 2013. As in previous years, each of these major greenhouse gases once again reached historic high concentrations. In the Arctic, carbon dioxide and methane increased at the same rate as the global increase. These increases are likely due to export from lower latitudes rather than a consequence of increases in Arctic sources, such as thawing permafrost. At Mauna Loa, Hawaii, for the first time since measurements began in 1958, the daily average mixing ratio of carbon dioxide exceeded 400 ppm on 9 May. The state of these variables, along with dozens of others, and the 2013 climate conditions of regions around the world are discussed in further detail in this 24th edition of the State of the Climate series. © 2014, American Meteorological Society. All rights reserved

Greenland Ice sheet [in "State of the Climate in 2013"]

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