159 research outputs found

    On predicting stopping time of human sequential decision-making using discounted satisficing heuristic

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    “Human sequential decision-making involves two essential questions: (i) what to choose next? , and (ii) when to stop? . Assuming that the human agents choose an alternative according to their preference order, our goal is to model and learn how human agents choose their stopping time while making sequential decisions. In contrary to traditional assumptions in the literature regarding how humans exhibit satisficing behavior on instantaneous utilities, we assume that humans employ a discounted satisficing heuristic to compute their stopping time, i.e., the human agent stops working if the total accumulated utility goes beyond a dynamic threshold that gets discounted with time. In this thesis, we model the stopping time in 3 scenarios where the payoff of the human worker is assumed as (i) single-attribute utility, (ii) multi-attribute utility with known weights, and (iii) multi-attribute utility with unknown weights. We propose algorithms to estimate the model parameters followed by predicting the stopping time in all three scenarios and present the simulation results to demonstrate the error performance. Simulation results are presented to demonstrate the convergence of prediction error of stopping time, in spite of the fact that model parameters converge to biased estimates. This observation is later justified using an illustrative example to show that there are multiple discounted satisficing models that explain the same stopping time decision. A novel web application is also developed to emulate a crowd-sourcing platform in our lab to capture multi-attribute information regarding the task in order to perform validations of the proposed algorithms on real data”--Abstract, page iii

    The State of AI Ethics Report (June 2020)

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    These past few months have been especially challenging, and the deployment of technology in ways hitherto untested at an unrivalled pace has left the internet and technology watchers aghast. Artificial intelligence has become the byword for technological progress and is being used in everything from helping us combat the COVID-19 pandemic to nudging our attention in different directions as we all spend increasingly larger amounts of time online. It has never been more important that we keep a sharp eye out on the development of this field and how it is shaping our society and interactions with each other. With this inaugural edition of the State of AI Ethics we hope to bring forward the most important developments that caught our attention at the Montreal AI Ethics Institute this past quarter. Our goal is to help you navigate this ever-evolving field swiftly and allow you and your organization to make informed decisions. This pulse-check for the state of discourse, research, and development is geared towards researchers and practitioners alike who are making decisions on behalf of their organizations in considering the societal impacts of AI-enabled solutions. We cover a wide set of areas in this report spanning Agency and Responsibility, Security and Risk, Disinformation, Jobs and Labor, the Future of AI Ethics, and more. Our staff has worked tirelessly over the past quarter surfacing signal from the noise so that you are equipped with the right tools and knowledge to confidently tread this complex yet consequential domain

    Suicide in women

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