Distributed, Agent-Based Intelligent System for Demand Response Program Simulation in Smart Grids

A distributed, agent-based intelligent system models and simulates a smart grid using physical players and computationally simulated agents. The proposed system can assess the impact of demand response programs

Practical Application of a Multi-Agent Systems Society for Energy Management and Control

Power and energy systems lack decision-support systems that enable studying big problems as a whole. The interoperability between multi-agent systems that address specific parts of the global problem is essential. Ontologies ease interoperability between heterogeneous systems providing semantic meaning to the information exchanged between the various parties. This paper presents the practical application of a society of multi-agent systems, which uses ontologies to enable the interoperability between different types of agent-based simulators, directed to the simulation and operation of electricity markets, smart grids and residential energy management. Real data-based demonstration shows the proposed approach advantages in enabling comprehensive, autonomous and intelligent power system simulation studies.This work has been developed under the MAS-SOCIETY project - PTDC/EEI-EEE/28954/2017 and has received funding from UID/EEA/00760/2019, funded by FEDER Funds through COMPETE and by National Funds through FCTinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Day ahead electricity consumption forecasting with MOGUL learning model

Due to amount of today's electricity consumption, one of the most important tasks of the energy operators is to be able to predict the consumption and be ready to control the energy generation based on the estimated consumption for the future. In this way, having a trustable forecast of the electricity consumption is essential to control the consumption and maintain the balance in energy distribution networks. This study presents a day ahead forecasting approach based on a genetic fuzzy system for fuzzy rule learning based on the MOGUL methodology (GFS.FR.MOGUL). The proposed approach is used to forecast the electricity consumption of an office building in the following 24 hours. The goal of this work is to present a more reliable profile of the electricity consumption comparing to previous works. Therefore, this paper also includes the comparison of the results of day ahead forecasting using GFS.FR.MOGUL method against other fuzzy rule based methods, as well as a set of Artificial Neural Network(ANN) approaches. This comparison shows that using the GFS.FR.MOGUL forecasting method for day-ahead electricity consumption forecasting is able to estimate a more trustable value than the other approaches.This work has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 641794 (project DREAM-GO) and grant agreement No 703689 (project ADAPT); and from FEDER Funds through COMPETE program and from National Funds through FCT under the project UID/EEA/00760/2013info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Electricity consumption forecasting in office buildings: an artificial intelligence approach

The rising needs for increased energy efficiency and better use of renewable energy sources bring out the necessity for improved energy management and forecasting models. Electricity consumption, in particular, is subject to large variations due to the effect of multiple variables, such as the temperature, luminosity or humidity, and of course, consumers' habits. Current forecasting models are not able to deal adequately with the influence and correlation between the multiple involved variables. Hence, novel, adaptive forecasting models are needed. This paper presents a novel approach based on multiple artificial intelligence-based forecasting algorithms. The considered algorithms are artificial neural networks, support vector machines hybrid fuzzy inference systems, Wang and Mendel's fuzzy rule learning method and a genetic fuzzy system for fuzzy rule learning based on the MOGUL methodology. These algorithms are used to forecast the electricity consumption of a real office building, using multiple input variables and consumption disaggregation.This work has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under project DOMINOES (grant agreement No 771066) and from FEDER Funds through COMPETE program and from National Funds through FCT under the project UID/EEA/00760/2019.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Energy consumption forecasting using genetic fuzzy rule-based systems based on MOGUL learning methodology

One of the most challenging tasks for energy domain stakeholders is to have a better preview of the electricity consumption. Having a more trustable expectation of electricity consumption can help minimizing the cost of electricity and also enable a better control on the electricity tariff. This paper presents a study using a Methodology to Obtain Genetic fuzzy rule-based systems Under the iterative rule Learning approach (MOGUL) methodology in order to have a better profile of the electricity consumption of the following hours. The proposed approach uses the electricity consumption of the past hours to forecast the consumption value for the following hours. Results from this study are compared to those of previous approaches, namely two fuzzy based systems: and several different approaches based on artificial neural networks. The comparison of the achieved results with those achieved by the previous approaches shows that this approach can calculate a more reliable value for the electricity consumption in the following hours, as it is able to achieve lower forecasting errors, and a less standard deviation of the forecasting error resultsThe present work was done and funded in the scope of the following projects: European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme, under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 703689 (project ADAPT); EUREKA - ITEA2 Project FUSE-IT (ITEA-13023), Project GREEDI (ANI|P2020 17822), and has received funding from FEDER Funds through COMPETE program and from National Funds through FCT under the project UID/EEA/00760/2013info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Real-Time Demand Response Program Implementation Using Curtailment Service Provider

Nowadays, electricity network operators obligated to utilize the new concepts of power system, such as demand response program, due to peak shaving or reducing the power congestion in the peak periods. These types of management programs have a minimum capacity level for the consumers who tend to participate. This makes small and medium scale consumer incapable to participate in these programs. Therefore, a third party entity, such as a Curtailment Service Provider, can be a solution for this barrier since it is a bridge between the demand side and grid side. This paper provides a real-time simulation of a curtailment service provider that utilize realtime demand response programs for small and medium consumers and prosumers. The case study of the paper represents a network with 220 consumers and 68 distributed generations, which aims at the behavior of two small and medium scale prosumers during a real-time demand response program.This work has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 641794 (project DREAMGO) and from FEDER Funds through COMPETE program and from National Funds through FCT, under the project UID/EEA/00760/2013.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Energy Resources Management Enabled by Internet of Things Devices

The participation of small end-users in the smart grid brings benefits for the end-users and for the smart grid. This paper will treat end-users using communities involving energy sharing between private buildings (residential and commercial) and public buildings. The energy can be shared among end-users and the community can be managed centralized. The paper uses IoT devices to enable the active participation of end-users. The use of this type of devices is growing and more and more market available product are appearing. The remote control and monitor capabilities, provided by the normality of IoT devices, can and should be used in energy management systems as enablers. This paper uses IoT devices, located in end-users, to enable the participation of these player in the community. The paper will propose a smart energy community platform and show its results.The present work was done and funded in the scope of the following projects: European Union's Horizon 2020 project DOMINOES (grant agreement No 771066), and UID/EEA/00760/2019 funded by FEDER Funds through COMPETE program and by National Funds through FCT.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Application of a Home Energy Management System for Incentive-Based Demand Response Program Implementation

This paper presents an experimental real-time implementation of an incentive-based demand response program with hardware demonstration of a home energy management system. This system controls the electricity consumption of a residential electricity customer. For this purpose, the real consumption and generation profiles of a typical Portuguese household equipped with a home-scale photovoltaic system are employed. These profiles are simulated by the real-time digital simulator using real hardware resources. In the case studies, three different scenarios are simulated for a period of 24 hours with the consideration of the demand response programs and a 2 kW photovoltaic system. Different pricing scenarios are considered and the performance of the home energy management system is evaluated under each scenario. The focus is given to demonstrate how a home-scale photovoltaic system, and demand response programs, especially load-shifting scenario, can be cost-effective in the daily electricity costs of the residential customers.This work has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 641794 (project DREAM-GO) and from FEDER Funds through COMPETE program and from National Funds through FCT under the project UID/EEA/00760/2013info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Genetic fuzzy rule-based system using MOGUL learning methodology for energy consumption forecasting

This paper presents the application of a Methodology to Obtain Genetic fuzzy rule-based systems Under the iterative rule Learning approach (MOGUL) to forecast energy consumption. Historical data referring to the energy consumption gathered from three groups, namely lights, HVAC and electrical socket, are used to train the proposed approach and achieve forecasting results for the future. The performance of the proposed method is compared to that of previous approaches, namely Hybrid Neural Fuzzy Interface System (HyFIS) and Wang and Mendel’s Fuzzy Rule Learning Method (WM). Results show that the proposed methodology achieved smaller forecasting errors for the following hours, with a smaller standard deviation. Thus, the proposed approach is able to achieve more reliable results than the other state of the art methodologie

Day-ahead forecasting approach for energy consumption of an office building using support vector machines

This paper presents a Support Vector Machine (SVM) based approach for energy consumption forecasting. The proposed approach includes the combination of both the historic log of past consumption data and the history of contextual information. By combining variables that influence the electrical energy consumption, such as the temperature, luminosity, seasonality, with the log of consumption data, it is possible for the proposed method by find patterns and correlations between the different sources of data and therefore improves the forecasting performance. A case study based on real data from a pilot microgrid located at the GECAD campus in the Polytechnic of Porto is presented. Data from the pilot buildings are used, and the results are compared to those achieved by several states of the art forecasting approaches. Results show that the proposed method can reach lower forecasting errors than the other considered methods.This work has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 641794 (project DREAM-GO) and from FEDER Funds through COMPETE program and from National Funds through FCT under the project UID/EEA/00760/2013info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio