1,087 research outputs found
Intelligent Solar Forecasts: Modern Machine Learning Models & TinyML Role for Improved Solar Energy Yield Predictions
The advancement of sustainable energy sources necessitates the development of robust forecasting tools for efficient energy management. A prominent player in this domain, solar power, heavily relies on accurate energy yield predictions to optimize production, minimize costs, and maintain grid stability. This paper explores an innovative application of tiny machine learning to provide real-time, low-cost forecasting of solar energy yield on resource-constrained edge internet of things devices, such as micro-controllers, for improved residential and industrial energy management. To further contribute to the domain, we conduct a comprehensive evaluation of four prominent machine learning models, namely unidirectional long short-term memory, bidirectional gated recurrent unit, bidirectional long short-term memory, and simple bidirectional recurrent neural network, for predicting solar farm energy yield. Our analysis delves into the impacts of tuning the machine learning model hyperparameters on the performance of these models, offering insights to improve prediction accuracy and stability. Additionally, we elaborate on the challenges and opportunities presented by the implementation of machine learning on low-cost energy management control systems, highlighting the benefits of reduced operational expenses and enhanced grid stability. The results derived from this study offer significant implications for energy management strategies at both household and industrial scales, contributing to a more sustainable future powered by accurate and efficient solar energy forecasting
UMSL Bulletin 2023-2024
The 2023-2024 Bulletin and Course Catalog for the University of Missouri St. Louis.https://irl.umsl.edu/bulletin/1088/thumbnail.jp
UMSL Bulletin 2022-2023
The 2022-2023 Bulletin and Course Catalog for the University of Missouri St. Louis.https://irl.umsl.edu/bulletin/1087/thumbnail.jp
Advances and Applications of DSmT for Information Fusion. Collected Works, Volume 5
This fifth volume on Advances and Applications of DSmT for Information Fusion collects theoretical and applied contributions of researchers working in different fields of applications and in mathematics, and is available in open-access. The collected contributions of this volume have either been published or presented after disseminating the fourth volume in 2015 in international conferences, seminars, workshops and journals, or they are new. The contributions of each part of this volume are chronologically ordered.
First Part of this book presents some theoretical advances on DSmT, dealing mainly with modified Proportional Conflict Redistribution Rules (PCR) of combination with degree of intersection, coarsening techniques, interval calculus for PCR thanks to set inversion via interval analysis (SIVIA), rough set classifiers, canonical decomposition of dichotomous belief functions, fast PCR fusion, fast inter-criteria analysis with PCR, and improved PCR5 and PCR6 rules preserving the (quasi-)neutrality of (quasi-)vacuous belief assignment in the fusion of sources of evidence with their Matlab codes.
Because more applications of DSmT have emerged in the past years since the apparition of the fourth book of DSmT in 2015, the second part of this volume is about selected applications of DSmT mainly in building change detection, object recognition, quality of data association in tracking, perception in robotics, risk assessment for torrent protection and multi-criteria decision-making, multi-modal image fusion, coarsening techniques, recommender system, levee characterization and assessment, human heading perception, trust assessment, robotics, biometrics, failure detection, GPS systems, inter-criteria analysis, group decision, human activity recognition, storm prediction, data association for autonomous vehicles, identification of maritime vessels, fusion of support vector machines (SVM), Silx-Furtif RUST code library for information fusion including PCR rules, and network for ship classification.
Finally, the third part presents interesting contributions related to belief functions in general published or presented along the years since 2015. These contributions are related with decision-making under uncertainty, belief approximations, probability transformations, new distances between belief functions, non-classical multi-criteria decision-making problems with belief functions, generalization of Bayes theorem, image processing, data association, entropy and cross-entropy measures, fuzzy evidence numbers, negator of belief mass, human activity recognition, information fusion for breast cancer therapy, imbalanced data classification, and hybrid techniques mixing deep learning with belief functions as well
Tradition and Innovation in Construction Project Management
This book is a reprint of the Special Issue 'Tradition and Innovation in Construction Project Management' that was published in the journal Buildings
A Proposed Scheduling Algorithm for IoT Applications in a Merged Environment of Edge, Fog, and Cloud
With the rapid increase of Internet of Things (IoT) devices and applications, the ordinary cloud computing paradigm soon becomes outdated. Fog computing paradigm extends services provided by a cloud to the edge of network in order to satisfy requirements of IoT applications such as low latency, locality awareness, low network traffic, mobility support, and so forth. Task scheduling in a Cloud-Fog environment plays a great role to assure diverse computational demands are met. However, the quest for an optimal solution for task scheduling in the such environment is exceedingly hard due to diversity of IoT applications, heterogeneity of computational resources, and multiple criteria. This study approaches the task scheduling problem with aims at improving service quality and load balancing in a merged computing system of Edge-Fog-Cloud. We propose a Multi-Objective Scheduling Algorithm (MOSA) that takes into account the job characteristics and utilization of different computational resources. The proposed solution is evaluated in comparison to other existing policies named LB, WRR, and MPSO. Numerical results show that the proposed algorithm improves the average response time while maintaining load balancing in comparison to three existing policies. Obtained results with the use of real workloads validate the outcomes
Structural optimization in steel structures, algorithms and applications
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A many-objective ensemble optimization algorithm for the edge cloud resource scheduling problem
An edge cloud architecture plays a key role in improving the user task computing service system by combining the powerful data processing capability of cloud centres with the low latency of edge computing. Existing methods for maximizing the efficiency of an edge cloud architecture take into account time and task parameters but ignore other factors such as load balancing, cost, and user satisfaction when scheduling resources. In this work, we propose a many-objective resource scheduling model for optimizing the performance of an edge cloud architecture, which takes into account the time spent on task, cost, load balance, user satisfaction, and trust measurement. The resource scheduling model converges to the optimal solution using a novel many-objective ensemble optimization algorithm based on a dynamic selection mechanism. The study also explores the support set convergence of eight evolutionary operators using the ensemble algorithm. The model solutions are dynamically updated with the help of the dynamic integration probability, and then a selection criteria is used to pick the best solutions from the pool of generated solutions. Two simulations on a benchmark dataset are used to verify the usefulness and performance of the designed algorithm. Our approach was able to locate more than half of the best solutions on the benchmark functions, and it also showed to be a better model solution than the some of the popular many-objective algorithms for dealing with the edge cloud resource scheduling problem, according to the results obtained from the simulations
Neural-Kalman Schemes for Non-Stationary Channel Tracking and Learning
This Thesis focuses on channel tracking in Orthogonal Frequency-Division Multiplexing (OFDM), a
widely-used method of data transmission in wireless communications, when abrupt changes occur
in the channel. In highly mobile applications, new dynamics appear that might make channel
tracking non-stationary, e.g. channels might vary with location, and location rapidly varies with
time. Simple examples might be the di erent channel dynamics a train receiver faces when it is
close to a station vs. crossing a bridge vs. entering a tunnel, or a car receiver in a route that
grows more tra c-dense. Some of these dynamics can be modelled as channel taps dying or being
reborn, and so tap birth-death detection is of the essence.
In order to improve the quality of communications, we delved into mathematical methods to
detect such abrupt changes in the channel, such as the mathematical areas of Sequential Analysis/
Abrupt Change Detection and Random Set Theory (RST), as well as the engineering advances
in Neural Network schemes. This knowledge helped us nd a solution to the problem of abrupt
change detection by informing and inspiring the creation of low-complexity implementations for
real-world channel tracking. In particular, two such novel trackers were created: the Simpli-
ed Maximum A Posteriori (SMAP) and the Neural-Network-switched Kalman Filtering (NNKF)
schemes.
The SMAP is a computationally inexpensive, threshold-based abrupt-change detector. It applies
the three following heuristics for tap birth-death detection: a) detect death if the tap gain
jumps into approximately zero (memoryless detection); b) detect death if the tap gain has slowly
converged into approximately zero (memory detection); c) detect birth if the tap gain is far from
zero.
The precise parameters for these three simple rules can be approximated with simple theoretical
derivations and then ne-tuned through extensive simulations. The status detector for each
tap using only these three computationally inexpensive threshold comparisons achieves an error
reduction matching that of a close-to-perfect path death/birth detection, as shown in simulations.
This estimator was shown to greatly reduce channel tracking error in the target Signal-to-Noise
Ratio (SNR) range at a very small computational cost, thus outperforming previously known systems.
The underlying RST framework for the SMAP was then extended to combined death/birth
and SNR detection when SNR is dynamical and may drift. We analyzed how di erent quasi-ideal
SNR detectors a ect the SMAP-enhanced Kalman tracker's performance. Simulations showed
SMAP is robust to SNR drift in simulations, although it was also shown to bene t from an accurate
SNR detection.
The core idea behind the second novel tracker, NNKFs, is similar to the SMAP, but now the tap
birth/death detection will be performed via an arti cial neuronal network (NN). Simulations show
that the proposed NNKF estimator provides extremely good performance, practically identical to a detector with 100% accuracy.
These proposed Neural-Kalman schemes can work as novel trackers for multipath channels,
since they are robust to wide variations in the probabilities of tap birth and death. Such robustness
suggests a single, low-complexity NNKF could be reusable over di erent tap indices and
communication environments.
Furthermore, a di erent kind of abrupt change was proposed and analyzed: energy shifts from
one channel tap to adjacent taps (partial tap lateral hops). This Thesis also discusses how to
model, detect and track such changes, providing a geometric justi cation for this and additional
non-stationary dynamics in vehicular situations, such as road scenarios where re ections on trucks
and vans are involved, or the visual appearance/disappearance of drone swarms. An extensive
literature review of empirically-backed abrupt-change dynamics in channel modelling/measuring
campaigns is included.
For this generalized framework of abrupt channel changes that includes partial tap lateral
hopping, a neural detector for lateral hops with large energy transfers is introduced. Simulation
results suggest the proposed NN architecture might be a feasible lateral hop detector, suitable for
integration in NNKF schemes.
Finally, the newly found understanding of abrupt changes and the interactions between Kalman
lters and neural networks is leveraged to analyze the neural consequences of abrupt changes
and brie y sketch a novel, abrupt-change-derived stochastic model for neural intelligence, extract
some neuro nancial consequences of unstereotyped abrupt dynamics, and propose a new
portfolio-building mechanism in nance: Highly Leveraged Abrupt Bets Against Failing Experts
(HLABAFEOs). Some communication-engineering-relevant topics, such as a Bayesian stochastic
stereotyper for hopping Linear Gauss-Markov (LGM) models, are discussed in the process.
The forecasting problem in the presence of expert disagreements is illustrated with a hopping
LGM model and a novel structure for a Bayesian stereotyper is introduced that might eventually
solve such problems through bio-inspired, neuroscienti cally-backed mechanisms, like dreaming
and surprise (biological Neural-Kalman). A generalized framework for abrupt changes and expert
disagreements was introduced with the novel concept of Neural-Kalman Phenomena. This Thesis
suggests mathematical (Neural-Kalman Problem Category Conjecture), neuro-evolutionary and
social reasons why Neural-Kalman Phenomena might exist and found signi cant evidence for their
existence in the areas of neuroscience and nance.
Apart from providing speci c examples, practical guidelines and historical (out)performance
for some HLABAFEO investing portfolios, this multidisciplinary research suggests that a Neural-
Kalman architecture for ever granular stereotyping providing a practical solution for continual
learning in the presence of unstereotyped abrupt dynamics would be extremely useful in communications
and other continual learning tasks.Programa de Doctorado en Multimedia y Comunicaciones por la Universidad Carlos III de Madrid y la Universidad Rey Juan CarlosPresidente: Luis Castedo Ribas.- Secretaria: Ana García Armada.- Vocal: José Antonio Portilla Figuera
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