Is "Better Data" Better than "Better Data Miners"? (On the Benefits of Tuning SMOTE for Defect Prediction)

We report and fix an important systematic error in prior studies that ranked classifiers for software analytics. Those studies did not (a) assess classifiers on multiple criteria and they did not (b) study how variations in the data affect the results. Hence, this paper applies (a) multi-criteria tests while (b) fixing the weaker regions of the training data (using SMOTUNED, which is a self-tuning version of SMOTE). This approach leads to dramatically large increases in software defect predictions. When applied in a 5*5 cross-validation study for 3,681 JAVA classes (containing over a million lines of code) from open source systems, SMOTUNED increased AUC and recall by 60% and 20% respectively. These improvements are independent of the classifier used to predict for quality. Same kind of pattern (improvement) was observed when a comparative analysis of SMOTE and SMOTUNED was done against the most recent class imbalance technique. In conclusion, for software analytic tasks like defect prediction, (1) data pre-processing can be more important than classifier choice, (2) ranking studies are incomplete without such pre-processing, and (3) SMOTUNED is a promising candidate for pre-processing.Comment: 10 pages + 2 references. Accepted to International Conference of Software Engineering (ICSE), 201

Is "Better Data" Better than "Better Data Miners"? (On the Benefits of Tuning SMOTE for Defect Prediction)

We report and fix an important systematic error in prior studies that ranked classifiers for software analytics. Those studies did not (a) assess classifiers on multiple criteria and they did not (b) study how variations in the data affect the results. Hence, this paper applies (a) multi-criteria tests while (b) fixing the weaker regions of the training data (using SMOTUNED, which is a self-tuning version of SMOTE). This approach leads to dramatically large increases in software defect predictions. When applied in a 5*5 cross-validation study for 3,681 JAVA classes (containing over a million lines of code) from open source systems, SMOTUNED increased AUC and recall by 60% and 20% respectively. These improvements are independent of the classifier used to predict for quality. Same kind of pattern (improvement) was observed when a comparative analysis of SMOTE and SMOTUNED was done against the most recent class imbalance technique. In conclusion, for software analytic tasks like defect prediction, (1) data pre-processing can be more important than classifier choice, (2) ranking studies are incomplete without such pre-processing, and (3) SMOTUNED is a promising candidate for pre-processing.Comment: 10 pages + 2 references. Accepted to International Conference of Software Engineering (ICSE), 201

Software defect prediction: do different classifiers find the same defects?

Open Access: This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License CC BY 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.During the last 10 years, hundreds of different defect prediction models have been published. The performance of the classifiers used in these models is reported to be similar with models rarely performing above the predictive performance ceiling of about 80% recall. We investigate the individual defects that four classifiers predict and analyse the level of prediction uncertainty produced by these classifiers. We perform a sensitivity analysis to compare the performance of Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, RPart and SVM classifiers when predicting defects in NASA, open source and commercial datasets. The defect predictions that each classifier makes is captured in a confusion matrix and the prediction uncertainty of each classifier is compared. Despite similar predictive performance values for these four classifiers, each detects different sets of defects. Some classifiers are more consistent in predicting defects than others. Our results confirm that a unique subset of defects can be detected by specific classifiers. However, while some classifiers are consistent in the predictions they make, other classifiers vary in their predictions. Given our results, we conclude that classifier ensembles with decision-making strategies not based on majority voting are likely to perform best in defect prediction.Peer reviewedFinal Published versio

An Innovative Approach for Predicting Software Defects by Handling Class Imbalance Problem

From last decade unbalanced data has gained attention as a major challenge for enhancing software quality and reliability. Due to evolution in advanced software development tools and processes, today’s developed software product is much larger and complicated in nature. The software business faces a major issue in maintaining software performance and efficiency as well as cost of handling software issues after deployment of software product. The effectiveness of defect prediction model has been hampered by unbalanced data in terms of data analysis, biased result, model accuracy and decision making. Predicting defects before they affect your software product is one way to cut costs required to maintain software quality. In this study we are proposing model using two level approach for class imbalance problem which will enhance accuracy of prediction model. In the first level, model will balance predictive class at data level by applying sampling method. Second level we will use Random Forest machine learning approach which will create strong classifier for software defect. Hence, we can enhance software defect prediction model accuracy by handling class imbalance issue at data and algorithm level

Ensemble multiboost based on ripper classifier for prediction of imbalanced software defect data

Identifying defective software entities is essential to ensure software quality during software development. However, the high dimensionality and class distribution imbalance of software defect data seriously affect software defect prediction performance. In order to solve this problem, this paper proposes an Ensemble MultiBoost based on RIPPER classifier for prediction of imbalanced Software Defect data, called EMR_SD. Firstly, the algorithm uses principal component analysis (PCA) method to find out the most effective features from the original features of the data set, so as to achieve the purpose of dimensionality reduction and redundancy removal. Furthermore, the combined sampling method of adaptive synthetic sampling (ADASYN) and random sampling without replacement is performed to solve the problem of data class imbalance. This classifier establishes association rules based on attributes and classes, using MultiBoost to reduce deviation and variance, so as to achieve the purpose of reducing classification error. The proposed prediction model is evaluated experimentally on the NASA MDP public datasets and compared with existing similar algorithms. The results show that EMR-SD algorithm is superior to DNC, CEL and other defect prediction techniques in most evaluation indicators, which proves the effectiveness of the algorithm

Ensemble learning for software fault prediction problem with imbalanced data

Fault prediction problem has a crucial role in the software development process because it contributes to reducing defects and assisting the testing process towards fault-free software components. Therefore, there are a lot of efforts aiming to address this type of issues, in which static code characteristics are usually adopted to construct fault classification models.  One of the challenging problems influencing the performance of predictive classifiers is the high imbalance among patterns belonging to different classes. This paper aims to integrate the sampling techniques and common classification techniques to form a useful ensemble model for the software defect prediction problem. The empirical results conducted on the benchmark datasets of software projects have shown the promising performance of our proposal in comparison with individual classifiers