Global dynamics of a novel delayed logistic equation arising from cell biology

The delayed logistic equation (also known as Hutchinson's equation or Wright's equation) was originally introduced to explain oscillatory phenomena in ecological dynamics. While it motivated the development of a large number of mathematical tools in the study of nonlinear delay differential equations, it also received criticism from modellers because of the lack of a mechanistic biological derivation and interpretation. Here we propose a new delayed logistic equation, which has clear biological underpinning coming from cell population modelling. This nonlinear differential equation includes terms with discrete and distributed delays. The global dynamics is completely described, and it is proven that all feasible nontrivial solutions converge to the positive equilibrium. The main tools of the proof rely on persistence theory, comparison principles and an $L^2$-perturbation technique. Using local invariant manifolds, a unique heteroclinic orbit is constructed that connects the unstable zero and the stable positive equilibrium, and we show that these three complete orbits constitute the global attractor of the system. Despite global attractivity, the dynamics is not trivial as we can observe long-lasting transient oscillatory patterns of various shapes. We also discuss the biological implications of these findings and their relations to other logistic type models of growth with delays

A delay differential model of ENSO variability: Parametric instability and the distribution of extremes

We consider a delay differential equation (DDE) model for El-Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability. The model combines two key mechanisms that participate in ENSO dynamics: delayed negative feedback and seasonal forcing. We perform stability analyses of the model in the three-dimensional space of its physically relevant parameters. Our results illustrate the role of these three parameters: strength of seasonal forcing $b$, atmosphere-ocean coupling $\kappa$, and propagation period $\tau$ of oceanic waves across the Tropical Pacific. Two regimes of variability, stable and unstable, are separated by a sharp neutral curve in the $(b,\tau)$ plane at constant $\kappa$. The detailed structure of the neutral curve becomes very irregular and possibly fractal, while individual trajectories within the unstable region become highly complex and possibly chaotic, as the atmosphere-ocean coupling $\kappa$ increases. In the unstable regime, spontaneous transitions occur in the mean ``temperature'' ({\it i.e.}, thermocline depth), period, and extreme annual values, for purely periodic, seasonal forcing. The model reproduces the Devil's bleachers characterizing other ENSO models, such as nonlinear, coupled systems of partial differential equations; some of the features of this behavior have been documented in general circulation models, as well as in observations. We expect, therefore, similar behavior in much more detailed and realistic models, where it is harder to describe its causes as completely.Comment: 22 pages, 9 figure

Local thermal non-equilibrium effects on thermal convection in a rotating anisotropic porous layer

Effects of local thermal non-equilibrium (LTNE) on thermal convection in a rotating fluid-saturated anisotropic porous layer are investigated. The analysis has been carried out by constructing a simplified model consisting of six coupled nonlinear ordinary differential equations. The study reveals the equivalence of linear and nonlinear stability boundaries indicating the linearized instability theory captures completely the physics of the onset of convection. Results show that the presence of rotation is to introduce oscillatory convection once the Taylor number exceeds a threshold value. The preferred mode of instability is found to be influenced significantly by the mechanical anisotropy parameter as well and it is demonstrated that it has both stabilizing and destabilizing effects on the steady onset in the presence of rotation. Besides, asymptotic analyses for small and large values of the interphase heat transfer coefficient are presented. Heat transport is calculated in terms of Nusselt number. Also, the coupled nonlinear ordinary differential equations are solved numerically using Runge-Kutta method and the transient behavior of Nusselt number is demonstrated for various values of physical parameters. © 2015 Elsevier Inc

Optimal linear stability condition for scalar differential equations with distributed delay

Linear scalar differential equations with distributed delays appear in the study of the local stability of nonlinear differential equations with feedback, which are common in biology and physics. Negative feedback loops tend to promote oscillations around steady states, and their stability depends on the particular shape of the delay distribution. Since in applications the mean delay is often the only reliable information available about the distribution, it is desirable to find conditions for stability that are independent from the shape of the distribution. We show here that for a given mean delay, the linear equation with distributed delay is asymptotically stable if the associated differential equation with a discrete delay is asymptotically stable. We illustrate this criterion on a compartment model of hematopoietic cell dynamics to obtain sufficient conditions for stability

Dynamics of Patterns

This workshop focused on the dynamics of nonlinear waves and spatio-temporal patterns, which arise in functional and partial differential equations. Among the outstanding problems in this area are the dynamical selection of patterns, gaining a theoretical understanding of transient dynamics, the nonlinear stability of patterns in unbounded domains, and the development of efficient numerical techniques to capture specific dynamical effects