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The Future of Retail Operations
Retailing consists of all the activities associated with the selling of goods to the final consumer. In this article, we review the research on retail operations published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Research (M&SOM) since 1999. We then discuss the current retail landscape and the new research directions it offers, in which M&SOM can play a prominent role
Demand forecasting for companies with many branches, low sales numbers per product, and non-recurring orderings
We propose the new Top-Dog-Index to quantify the historic deviation of the
supply data of many small branches for a commodity group from sales data. On
the one hand, the common parametric assumptions on the customer demand
distribution in the literature could not at all be supported in our real-world
data set. On the other hand, a reasonably-looking non-parametric approach to
estimate the demand distribution for the different branches directly from the
sales distribution could only provide us with statistically weak and unreliable
estimates for the future demand. Based on real-world sales data from our
industry partner we provide evidence that our Top-Dog-Index is statistically
robust. Using the Top-Dog-Index, we propose a heuristics to improve the
branch-dependent proportion between supply and demand. Our approach cannot
estimate the branch-dependent demand directly. It can, however, classify the
branches into a given number of clusters according to an historic oversupply or
undersupply. This classification of branches can iteratively be used to adapt
the branch distribution of supply and demand in the future.Comment: 6 pages, 7 figure
Stochastic make-to-stock inventory deployment problem: an endosymbiotic psychoclonal algorithm based approach
Integrated steel manufacturers (ISMs) have no specific product, they just produce finished product from the ore. This enhances the uncertainty prevailing in the ISM regarding the nature of the finished product and significant demand by customers. At present low cost mini-mills are giving firm competition to ISMs in terms of cost, and this has compelled the ISM industry to target customers who want exotic products and faster reliable deliveries. To meet this objective, ISMs are exploring the option of satisfying part of their demand by converting strategically placed products, this helps in increasing the variability of product produced by the ISM in a short lead time. In this paper the authors have proposed a new hybrid evolutionary algorithm named endosymbiotic-psychoclonal (ESPC) to decide what and how much to stock as a semi-product in inventory. In the proposed theory, the ability of previously proposed psychoclonal algorithms to exploit the search space has been increased by making antibodies and antigen more co-operative interacting species. The efficacy of the proposed algorithm has been tested on randomly generated datasets and the results compared with other evolutionary algorithms such as genetic algorithms (GA) and simulated annealing (SA). The comparison of ESPC with GA and SA proves the superiority of the proposed algorithm both in terms of quality of the solution obtained and convergence time required to reach the optimal/near optimal value of the solution
Decision Forest: A Nonparametric Approach to Modeling Irrational Choice
Customer behavior is often assumed to follow weak rationality, which implies
that adding a product to an assortment will not increase the choice probability
of another product in that assortment. However, an increasing amount of
research has revealed that customers are not necessarily rational when making
decisions. In this paper, we propose a new nonparametric choice model that
relaxes this assumption and can model a wider range of customer behavior, such
as decoy effects between products. In this model, each customer type is
associated with a binary decision tree, which represents a decision process for
making a purchase based on checking for the existence of specific products in
the assortment. Together with a probability distribution over customer types,
we show that the resulting model -- a decision forest -- is able to represent
any customer choice model, including models that are inconsistent with weak
rationality. We theoretically characterize the depth of the forest needed to
fit a data set of historical assortments and prove that with high probability,
a forest whose depth scales logarithmically in the number of assortments is
sufficient to fit most data sets. We also propose two practical algorithms --
one based on column generation and one based on random sampling -- for
estimating such models from data. Using synthetic data and real transaction
data exhibiting non-rational behavior, we show that the model outperforms both
rational and non-rational benchmark models in out-of-sample predictive ability.Comment: The paper is forthcoming in Management Science (accepted on July 25,
2021
Minimizing food waste in grocery store operations: literature review and research agenda
Research on grocery waste in food retailing has recently attracted particular interest. Investigations in this area are relevant to address the problems of wasted resources and ethical concerns, as well as economic aspects from the retailer’s perspective. Reasons for food waste in retail are already well-studied empirically, and based on this, proposals for reduction are discussed. However, comprehensive approaches for preventing food waste in store operations using analytics and modeling methods are scarce. No work has yet systematized related research in this domain. As a result, there is neither any up-to-date literature review nor any agenda for future research. We contribute with the first structured literature review of analytics and modeling methods dealing with food waste prevention in retail store operations. This work identifies cross-cutting store-related planning areas to mitigate food waste, namely (1) assortment and shelf space planning, (2) replenishment policies, and (3) dynamic pricing policies. We introduce a common classification scheme of literature with regard to the depth of food waste integration and the characteristics of these planning problems. This builds our foundation to review analytics and modeling approaches. Current literature considers food waste mainly as a side effect in costing and often ignores product age dependent demand by customers. Furthermore, approaches are not integrated across planning areas. Future lines of research point to the most promising open questions in this field
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