A transition from manual to Intelligent Automated power system operation -A Indicative Review

This paper reviews the transition of the power system operation from the traditional manual mode of power system operations to the level where automation using Internet of Things (IOT) and intelligence using Artificial Intelligence (AI) is implemented. To make the review paper brief only indicative papers are chosen to cover multiple power system operation based implementation. Care is taken there is lesser repeatation of similar technology or application be reviewed. The indicative review is to take only a representative literature to bypass scrutinizing multiple literatures with similar objectives and methods. A brief review of the slow transition from the traditional to the intelligent automated way of carrying out power system operations like the energy audit, load forecasting, fault detection, power quality control, smart grid technology, islanding detection, energy management etc is discussed .The Mechanical Engineering Perspective on the basis of applications would be noticed in the paper although the energy management and power delivery concepts are electrical

Computational intelligence approaches for energy load forecasting in smart energy management grids: state of the art, future challenges, and research directions and Research Directions

Energy management systems are designed to monitor, optimize, and control the smart grid energy market. Demand-side management, considered as an essential part of the energy management system, can enable utility market operators to make better management decisions for energy trading between consumers and the operator. In this system, a priori knowledge about the energy load pattern can help reshape the load and cut the energy demand curve, thus allowing a better management and distribution of the energy in smart grid energy systems. Designing a computationally intelligent load forecasting (ILF) system is often a primary goal of energy demand management. This study explores the state of the art of computationally intelligent (i.e., machine learning) methods that are applied in load forecasting in terms of their classification and evaluation for sustainable operation of the overall energy management system. More than 50 research papers related to the subject identified in existing literature are classified into two categories: namely the single and the hybrid computational intelligence (CI)-based load forecasting technique. The advantages and disadvantages of each individual techniques also discussed to encapsulate them into the perspective into the energy management research. The identified methods have been further investigated by a qualitative analysis based on the accuracy of the prediction, which confirms the dominance of hybrid forecasting methods, which are often applied as metaheurstic algorithms considering the different optimization techniques over single model approaches. Based on extensive surveys, the review paper predicts a continuous future expansion of such literature on different CI approaches and their optimizations with both heuristic and metaheuristic methods used for energy load forecasting and their potential utilization in real-time smart energy management grids to address future challenges in energy demand managemen

Cuckoo search based adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system for short-term load forecasting

Short-Term Load Forecasting (STLF) is an essential input for power system operation computations to achieve proper system balancing. General economy and security of power system depend on accurate STLF. The accuracy of forecasting model depends on the number and types of the forecasting variables. Furthermore, a day-ahead hourly-load forecast has to reach the decision makers before the elapse of a pre-set time. Conventional methods used in determining future load demand were not able to explore all the available variables in a particular forecasting region. Moreover, artificial intelligence methods like Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), are associated with computational difficulties, thus influence the speed and accuracy of the model. Therefore, these variables need to be investigated so as to make the forecasting model simple and easy to use. Similarly, the forecasting speed needs to be improved. This thesis presents the development of short-term electric load demand forecasting algorithm, with the aim to improve the forecasting accuracy and speed. It starts with the development of data selection and data processing framework, through the use of correlation analysis, hypothesis test and wavelet transform. Variables of the four seasons in one year were investigated and were classified based on the available weather and historical load data in each season. To reduce the variability in the forecasting data, wavelet transform is used. The whole forecasting algorithm has been developed by integrating Cuckoo Search (CS) algorithm with ANFIS to produce CS-ANFIS model. CS was used to improve the forecasting capability and speed of the traditional ANFIS, by replacing the derivative-based gradient descent optimization algorithm with CS in backward pass. Its purpose is to update the antecedent parameters of the traditional ANFIS, through the determination of an optimal value of the error merging between the ANFIS output and targeted output. The whole system is validated by the comparison with an existing ANFIS model, and two other ANFIS models optimized with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO-ANFIS) and Genetic Algorithm (GA-ANFIS). The developed CS-ANFIS model proved to be superior to these models in terms of accuracy and forecasting time. A reduction in average mean absolute percentage error of 84.48% for one year forecast is recorded using the developed CS-ANFIS, and 77.32% with the proposed data selection approach. The model was found to forecast the future load demand within an average period of 37 seconds, as compared to the traditional ANFIS which recorded an average forecasting time of 219 seconds. It can therefore, be accepted as a tool for forecasting future energy demand at utility level to improve the reliability and economic operation of the utility

Прогнозування за допомогою імунних алгоритмів

Дана дипломна робота містить 111 с., 6 табл., 24 рис., 2 дод., 42 джерел. Тема: Прогнозування за допомогою імунних алгоритмів. У роботі розв’язується задача прогнозування часових рядів за допомогою імунних алгоритмів. Об’єкт дослідження: сучасні методи прогнозування часових рядів за допомогою імунних алгоритмів. Предмет дослідження: засоби моделювання і прогнозування з застосуванням імунних алгоритмів. Мета роботи: дослідити наявні імунні моделі для розв’язання задачі прогнозування часових рядів. Методи дослідження: використано математичний апарат імунних алгоритмів для прогнозування.This thesis contains 111 p., 6 tabl., 24 fig., 2 appendice, 42 sources. Theme: Forecasting using immune algorithms. The problem of predicting time series using immune algorithms is solved in the work. Object of research: modern methods of forecasting time series using immune algorithms. Subject of research: means of modeling and forecasting with the use of immune algorithms. Objective: To investigate existing immune models to solve the problem of time series prediction. Research methods: used mathematical apparatus of immune algorithms for prediction