42,713 research outputs found

    Towards a Design Methodology for Decision Support Systems

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    The authors propose the use of process models for DSS design. The kind of process models suggested are task structures and decision structures with simple graphical syntax and semantics. The process models form the basis for a coherent DSS design methodology, based upon the bounded rationality paradigm. The history of DSS and DSS design is discussed to form a theoretical position. The resulting methodology has been tested and evaluated in a laboratory experiment. The results of this evaluation will be used for continuous improvement of the methodolog

    Evaluation of Cognitive Architectures for Cyber-Physical Production Systems

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    Cyber-physical production systems (CPPS) integrate physical and computational resources due to increasingly available sensors and processing power. This enables the usage of data, to create additional benefit, such as condition monitoring or optimization. These capabilities can lead to cognition, such that the system is able to adapt independently to changing circumstances by learning from additional sensors information. Developing a reference architecture for the design of CPPS and standardization of machines and software interfaces is crucial to enable compatibility of data usage between different machine models and vendors. This paper analysis existing reference architecture regarding their cognitive abilities, based on requirements that are derived from three different use cases. The results from the evaluation of the reference architectures, which include two instances that stem from the field of cognitive science, reveal a gap in the applicability of the architectures regarding the generalizability and the level of abstraction. While reference architectures from the field of automation are suitable to address use case specific requirements, and do not address the general requirements, especially w.r.t. adaptability, the examples from the field of cognitive science are well usable to reach a high level of adaption and cognition. It is desirable to merge advantages of both classes of architectures to address challenges in the field of CPPS in Industrie 4.0

    Towards adaptive multi-robot systems: self-organization and self-adaptation

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    Dieser Beitrag ist mit Zustimmung des Rechteinhabers aufgrund einer (DFG gefƶrderten) Allianz- bzw. Nationallizenz frei zugƤnglich.This publication is with permission of the rights owner freely accessible due to an Alliance licence and a national licence (funded by the DFG, German Research Foundation) respectively.The development of complex systems ensembles that operate in uncertain environments is a major challenge. The reason for this is that system designers are not able to fully specify the system during specification and development and before it is being deployed. Natural swarm systems enjoy similar characteristics, yet, being self-adaptive and being able to self-organize, these systems show beneficial emergent behaviour. Similar concepts can be extremely helpful for artificial systems, especially when it comes to multi-robot scenarios, which require such solution in order to be applicable to highly uncertain real world application. In this article, we present a comprehensive overview over state-of-the-art solutions in emergent systems, self-organization, self-adaptation, and robotics. We discuss these approaches in the light of a framework for multi-robot systems and identify similarities, differences missing links and open gaps that have to be addressed in order to make this framework possible

    Universal Design: Planning and Design for All

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    [Excerpt] This report attempts to develop and illustrate the concept of universal design. The aim of universal design is to develop theory, principles and solutions to enable everybody to use the same physical solutions to the greatest extent possible, whether it be buildings, outdoor-areas, means of communication or household goods. Universal design opposes, ideologically and politically, all unnecessary and stigmatizing specialized solutions, whether they are intended for people with disabilities or other groups of the population. Equal status, equal treatment and equal merit are key concepts. The discussion in this report covers extensive spheres such as planning, architecture and product design. One may object that we try to cover too large an area within a relatively brief report. It is therefore important to emphasise that our main intention is to include more professionals and politicians in the further discussion of universal design or design for all

    Multicriteria assessment and communication of effects of organic food systems

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    This project will provide analyses, methods and prototypes of multicriteria assessment, to help organic actors and stakeholders develop, document and communicate balanced overall assessments of the effects of organic food systems on society and nature. The project will carry out interdisciplinary analyses of existing methods for multicriteria assessment and communication; establish a framework for how to develop such methods for organic food systems and relate them to the organic principles; and test prototypes in practice. This shall help sustain an integrated development of the organic production, contribute to open and credible communication about the benefits of organics, and thereby support long term growth

    Vision systems with the human in the loop

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    The emerging cognitive vision paradigm deals with vision systems that apply machine learning and automatic reasoning in order to learn from what they perceive. Cognitive vision systems can rate the relevance and consistency of newly acquired knowledge, they can adapt to their environment and thus will exhibit high robustness. This contribution presents vision systems that aim at flexibility and robustness. One is tailored for content-based image retrieval, the others are cognitive vision systems that constitute prototypes of visual active memories which evaluate, gather, and integrate contextual knowledge for visual analysis. All three systems are designed to interact with human users. After we will have discussed adaptive content-based image retrieval and object and action recognition in an office environment, the issue of assessing cognitive systems will be raised. Experiences from psychologically evaluated human-machine interactions will be reported and the promising potential of psychologically-based usability experiments will be stressed

    Aggregate cost implications of selected Cost-Drivers \ud in the Tanzanian Health Sector\ud

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    \ud Health is an important aspect of life of which one of its determinants is healthcare which is consumed in order to restore back deteriorated health to optimal pre-illness levels. The consumption of healthcare however has cost implications and accounts for a large share of resources directed towards the health sector. In health sector financing, it is vital to identify major cost components and create awareness about the costs of decisions. It is thus vital to identify factors that can cause changes in the cost of identified activities. A number of costly programs have been initiated and some others are on the horizon. In order to create awareness about the financial consequences of these decisions and to draw attention to the financing needs of the health sector, it is considered necessary to analyze the major health sector programs and initiatives with regard to the changes in costs brought about by new strategies, guidelines and interventions (including the adoption of new technologies), and aggregate these costs. The main objective of this study was to identify cost-driving decisions in the health sector. The study methodology comprised of three independent but complementary methodologies and activities: (a) Desk review of literature and documents; (b) Interviews with officials from MOHSW, programs and agencies involved in setting and promoting standards at international level; (c) collection of primary data/information and subsequent analysis of the same. The study reviewed 11 plans, including summary plans like the Health Sector Strategic Plan III and the Primary Health Services Development Program 2007 -2017 and national disease control programme plans/strategies. However, not all of cost-driving decisions in these plans could be integrated into the analysis because the plans are undergoing reprogramming, as the previous cost estimates are regarded not to be realistic relative to achieving plan objectives. In addition the costs of some decisions in some plans/strategies HRH, infrastructure, health care financing strategy, mhealth, etc. are not established or are in the process of being costed or reviewed. It should also be noted that the consultants did not assess all plans/strategies and their associated costs as to their plausibility. This was neither task of the consultants, nor would the time allocated to the study have allowed such an in-depth review. The study reviewed a total of 11 multi-year plans/strategies and found four plans to be affected by costs of decisions. Such decisions are: the adaption of WHO recommendations on Anti-retroviral Treatment eligibility criteria; re-treatment of conventional nets; indoor residual spraying; sustaining availability of long lasting insecticide treated nets (LLINs); provision of delivery kits to pregnant women in public health facilities, and the potential future introduction of a malaria vaccine, human papilloma virus and pneumococcal vaccines, which affect the Health Sector HIV and AIDS Strategic Plan II (HSHSP II) 2008 ā€“ 2012, the Malaria Mid-Term Strategic Plan 2008 ā€“ 2013 (NMCP), the National Road Map Strategic Plan to Accelerate Reduction of Maternal, Newborn and Child Deaths in Tanzania 2008 ā€“ 2015 (the Road Map), and the Expanded Program on Immunization 2010 - 2015 Comprehensive Multi Year Plan (EPI), respectively. The study found that these decisions have a significant cost implication to a tune of US706,688,405overafiveyearperiod2011āˆ’2015.Theinitiallyestimatedcostsofprogramsthatarecurrentlybeingupdated(HSHSPII,EPI,NMCPandtheRoadMap)isUS 706,688,405 over a five year period 2011- 2015. The initially estimated costs of programs that are currently being updated (HSHSP II, EPI, NMCP and the Road Map) is US 2,297,009,378 exclusive of the identified cost drivers. The estimated cost of decisions is about 8 % of the total costs for health sector in Tanzania (HSSP III estimate) and about 3.3% of the 2009 GDP and added nominal per capita health spending/cost of US17.3(2009populationestimate)forfiveyearperiod(annualpercapitacostofUS 17.3 (2009 population estimate) for five year period (annual per capita cost of US 3.46). This expenditure will definitely boost per capita health spending (US13.45in2008/9).However,concertedrevenueeffortisneededifwearetohitHSSPIIItargetofUS 13.45 in 2008/9). However, concerted revenue effort is needed if we are to hit HSSP III target of US 26.6 in 2014/15. The National Strategy for Non-communicable Diseases 2009 ā€“ 2015 did not include estimates, while most parts of the National Road Map Strategic Plan to Accelerate Reduction of Maternal, Newborn and Child Deaths in Tanzania 2008 ā€“ 2015 are undergoing reprogramming, as the previous cost estimates are regarded not to be realistic relative to achieving plan objectives. The rest of the programs are not significantly affected by cost of decisions. However, the estimated cost is likely to be higher owing to the fact that costs of some decisions in MMAM components such as HRH, infrastructure, health care financing strategy, mhealth, etc. are not established or are in the process of being costed or reviewed. Prevention and treatment of illness are the major strategies used to maintain or improve the health status of a population. Allocation of health resources are usually skewed towards treatment probably because addressing existing illnesses seem a present and clear danger than addressing potential illnesses which is what prevention is all about. Prevention and health promotion however lead to greater benefits than treatment in the long run in the sense that it reduces future demand for treatment than treatment alone does and has stronger merit good characteristics than treatment of illness. Health planning should thus intensify focus on prevention through promoting lifestyle and behaviour changes as well as intensifying prevention and health promotion at community level. Most health sector multi-year plans are characterized by heavy resource dependence on development partners. Such levels of dependence tend to compromise control over some decisions especially those supported by financiers. That is, recipients may be tempted to accept a full funded activity even if there is an ongoing similar activity which ends up creating parallel rather than complementary activities with cost implications. Thus, the financiers and recipients should undertake thorough analysis of potential decisions based on their cost implications (direct and indirect) as well as the time parameters, while avoiding decisions that spin off similar activities rather than complementing the existing ones. This can be facilitated by coordinated analysis from the MOHSW by keeping and monitoring comprehensive cost driver table enriched by inputs from all health sector programs and plans. Continuous reviews of the plans enhance the capacity of programs to adequately identify cost drivers and therefore enhance the planning process. However, reviews are not always undertaken on time and as regular as possible due to lack of resources or transfer of resources set aside for review process to implement other pressing components of the plan. MOHSW should make costing part of the plan a compulsory exercise for approval by the management and should not endorse plans which have not been adequately costed. MOHSW should also consider making reviews of multi-year plans a prerequisite for release of fund for subsequent implementation. Moreover, the reviews should integrate all stakeholders and involve technical people who are knowledgeable in costing and planning. The fact that most of the multi-year plans had indicative budgets, while others are not costed at all, warrants the conclusion that the basic knowledge in costing such as collaboration, parameter assumptions, time, manpower, and resources is lacking. Emphasis should thus be placed on developing and improving costing capacity in the programs as well as the MOHSW in terms of acquiring costing tools and exposure. The MOHSW should ensure that the priority activities of the strategies/plans are funded. This could be done through lobbying the government and other stakeholders for more resources. Protocols such as Abuja Declaration 2001, in which African governments committed themselves to scale up health budget to 15% of the annual budget, could be useful in this end. Also the government and local authorities through laws/bylaws could establish and commit specific sources of resources for the health sector. This should be pursued by keeping a close eye on the ratio of available resources to required resources which can indicate opportunities which development partners can be of help as well as providing an indication of the realism of planning. A review of the plans found the ratio of available resources to required resources to be 76 and 84 percent, respectively, for the Health Sector Strategic Plan III and the Expanded Program on Immunization 2010 ā€“ 2015 Comprehensive Multi Year Plan. The Malaria Medium Term Strategic Plan 2008-2013 on the other hand had the lowest ratio of available resources to required resources of 35 percent.\u
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