11,935 research outputs found
Adapting the Number of Particles in Sequential Monte Carlo Methods through an Online Scheme for Convergence Assessment
Particle filters are broadly used to approximate posterior distributions of
hidden states in state-space models by means of sets of weighted particles.
While the convergence of the filter is guaranteed when the number of particles
tends to infinity, the quality of the approximation is usually unknown but
strongly dependent on the number of particles. In this paper, we propose a
novel method for assessing the convergence of particle filters online manner,
as well as a simple scheme for the online adaptation of the number of particles
based on the convergence assessment. The method is based on a sequential
comparison between the actual observations and their predictive probability
distributions approximated by the filter. We provide a rigorous theoretical
analysis of the proposed methodology and, as an example of its practical use,
we present simulations of a simple algorithm for the dynamic and online
adaption of the number of particles during the operation of a particle filter
on a stochastic version of the Lorenz system
Numerical Fitting-based Likelihood Calculation to Speed up the Particle Filter
The likelihood calculation of a vast number of particles is the computational
bottleneck for the particle filter in applications where the observation
information is rich. For fast computing the likelihood of particles, a
numerical fitting approach is proposed to construct the Likelihood Probability
Density Function (Li-PDF) by using a comparably small number of so-called
fulcrums. The likelihood of particles is thereby analytically inferred,
explicitly or implicitly, based on the Li-PDF instead of directly computed by
utilizing the observation, which can significantly reduce the computation and
enables real time filtering. The proposed approach guarantees the estimation
quality when an appropriate fitting function and properly distributed fulcrums
are used. The details for construction of the fitting function and fulcrums are
addressed respectively in detail. In particular, to deal with multivariate
fitting, the nonparametric kernel density estimator is presented which is
flexible and convenient for implicit Li-PDF implementation. Simulation
comparison with a variety of existing approaches on a benchmark 1-dimensional
model and multi-dimensional robot localization and visual tracking demonstrate
the validity of our approach.Comment: 42 pages, 17 figures, 4 tables and 1 appendix. This paper is a
draft/preprint of one paper submitted to the IEEE Transaction
Particle filter state estimator for large urban networks
This paper applies a particle filter (PF) state estimator to urban traffic networks. The traffic network consists of signalized intersections, the roads that link these intersections, and sensors that detect the passage time of vehicles. The traffic state X(t) specifies at each time time t the state of the traffic lights, the queue sizes at the intersections, and the location and size of all the platoons of vehicles inside the system. The basic entity of our model is a platoon of vehicles that travel close together at approximately the same speed. This leads to a discrete event simulation model that is much faster than microscopic models representing individual vehicles. Hence it is possible to execute many random simulation runs in parallel. A particle filter (PF) assigns weights to each of these simulation runs, according to how well they explain the observed sensor signals. The PF thus generates estimates at each time t of the location of the platoons, and more importantly the queue size at each intersection. These estimates can be used for controlling the optimal switching times of the traffic light
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