4,364 research outputs found
Multivariate time series analysis for short-term forecasting of ground level ozone (O3) in Malaysia
The declining of air quality mostly affects the elderly, children, people with asthma,
as well as a restriction on outdoor activities. Therefore, there is an importance to
provide a statistical modelling to forecast the future values of surface layer ozone (O3)
concentration. The objectives of this study are to obtain the best multivariate time
series (MTS) model and develop an online air quality forecasting system for O3
concentration in Malaysia. The implementations of MTS model improve the recent
statistical model on air quality for short-term prediction. Ten air quality monitoring
stations situated at four (4) different types of location were selected in this study. The
first type is industrial represent by Pasir Gudang, Perai, and Nilai, second type is urban
represent by Kuala Terengganu, Kota Bharu, and Alor Setar. The third is suburban
located in Banting, Kangar, and Tanjung Malim, also the only background station at
Jerantut. The hourly record data from 2010 to 2017 were used to assess the
characteristics and behaviour of O3 concentration. Meanwhile, the monthly record data
of O3, particulate matter (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulphur dioxide (SO2),
carbon monoxide (CO), temperature (T), wind speed (WS), and relative humidity (RH)
were used to examine the best MTS models. Three methods of MTS namely vector
autoregressive (VAR), vector moving average (VMA), and vector autoregressive
moving average (VARMA), has been applied in this study. Based on the performance
error, the most appropriate MTS model located in Pasir Gudang, Kota Bharu and
Kangar is VAR(1), Kuala Terengganu and Alor Setar for VAR(2), Perai and Nilai for
VAR(3), Tanjung Malim for VAR(4) and Banting for VAR(5). Only Jerantut obtained
the VMA(2) as the best model. The lowest root mean square error (RMSE) and
normalized absolute error is 0.0053 and <0.0001 which is for MTS model in Perai and
Kuala Terengganu, respectively. Meanwhile, for mean absolute error (MAE), the
lowest is in Banting and Jerantut at 0.0013. The online air quality forecasting system
for O3 was successfully developed based on the best MTS models to represent each
monitoring station
Ant Colony Optimization
Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) is the best example of how studies aimed at understanding and modeling the behavior of ants and other social insects can provide inspiration for the development of computational algorithms for the solution of difficult mathematical problems. Introduced by Marco Dorigo in his PhD thesis (1992) and initially applied to the travelling salesman problem, the ACO field has experienced a tremendous growth, standing today as an important nature-inspired stochastic metaheuristic for hard optimization problems. This book presents state-of-the-art ACO methods and is divided into two parts: (I) Techniques, which includes parallel implementations, and (II) Applications, where recent contributions of ACO to diverse fields, such as traffic congestion and control, structural optimization, manufacturing, and genomics are presented
Comprehensive Review on Detection and Classification of Power Quality Disturbances in Utility Grid With Renewable Energy Penetration
The global concern with power quality is increasing due to the penetration of renewable energy (RE) sources to cater the energy demands and meet de-carbonization targets. Power quality (PQ) disturbances are found to be more predominant with RE penetration due to the variable outputs and interfacing converters. There is a need to recognize and mitigate PQ disturbances to supply clean power to the consumer. This article presents a critical review of techniques used for detection and classification PQ disturbances in the utility grid with renewable energy penetration. The broad perspective of this review paper is to provide various concepts utilized for extraction of the features to detect and classify the PQ disturbances even in the noisy environment. More than 220 research publications have been critically reviewed, classified and listed for quick reference of the engineers, scientists and academicians working in the power quality area
Hybrid ACO and SVM algorithm for pattern classification
Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) is a metaheuristic algorithm that can be used to
solve a variety of combinatorial optimization problems. A new direction for ACO is to optimize continuous and mixed (discrete and continuous) variables. Support Vector Machine (SVM) is a pattern classification approach originated from statistical approaches. However, SVM suffers two main problems which include feature subset selection and parameter tuning. Most approaches related to tuning SVM parameters discretize the continuous value of the parameters which will give a negative effect on the classification performance. This study presents four algorithms for tuning the
SVM parameters and selecting feature subset which improved SVM classification accuracy with smaller size of feature subset. This is achieved by performing the SVM parameters’ tuning and feature subset selection processes simultaneously. Hybridization algorithms between ACO and SVM techniques were proposed. The first two algorithms, ACOR-SVM and IACOR-SVM, tune the SVM parameters while
the second two algorithms, ACOMV-R-SVM and IACOMV-R-SVM, tune the SVM parameters and select the feature subset simultaneously. Ten benchmark datasets from University of California, Irvine, were used in the experiments to validate the performance of the proposed algorithms. Experimental results obtained from the proposed algorithms are better when compared with other approaches in terms of classification accuracy and size of the feature subset. The average classification
accuracies for the ACOR-SVM, IACOR-SVM, ACOMV-R and IACOMV-R algorithms are 94.73%, 95.86%, 97.37% and 98.1% respectively. The average size of feature subset is eight for the ACOR-SVM and IACOR-SVM algorithms and four for the ACOMV-R and IACOMV-R algorithms. This study contributes to a new direction for ACO that can deal with continuous and mixed-variable ACO
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