Predicting Forex Currency Fluctuations Using a Novel Bio-inspired Modular Neural Network

This thesis explores the intricate interplay of rational choice theory (RCT), brain modularity, and artificial neural networks (ANNs) for modelling and forecasting hourly rate fluctuations in the foreign exchange (Forex) market. While RCT traditionally models human decision-making by emphasising self-interest and rational choices, this study extends its scope to encompass emotions, recognising their significant impact on investor decisions. Recent advances in neuro- science, particularly in understanding the cognitive and emotional processes associated with decision-making, have inspired computational methods to emulate these processes. ANNs, in particular, have shown promise in simulating neuroscience findings and translating them into effective models for financial market dynamics. However, their monolithic architectures of ANNs, characterised by fixed struc- tures, pose challenges in adaptability and flexibility when faced with data perturbations, limiting overall performance. To address these limitations, this thesis proposes a Modular Convolutional orthogonal Recurrent Neural Net- work with Monte Carlo dropout-ANN (MCoRNNMCD-ANN) inspired by recent neuroscience findings. A comprehensive literature review contextualises the challenges associated with monolithic architectures, leading to the identification of neural network structures that could enhance predictions of Forex price fluctuations, such as in the most prominently traded currencies, the EUR/GBP pairing. The proposed MCoRNNMCD-ANN is thoroughly evaluated through a detailed comparative analysis against state-of-the-art techniques, such as BiCuDNNL- STM, CNN–LSTM, LSTM–GRU, CLSTM, and ensemble modelling and single- monolithic CNN and RNN models. Results indicate that the MCoRNNMCD- ANN outperforms competitors. For instance, reducing prediction errors in test sets from 19.70% to an impressive 195.51%, measured by objective evaluation metrics like a mean square error. This innovative neurobiologically-inspired model not only capitalises on modularity but also integrates partial transfer learning to improve forecasting ac- curacy in anticipating Forex price fluctuations when less data occurs in the EUR/USD currency pair. The proposed bio-inspired modular approach, incorporating transfer learning in a similar task, brings advantages such as robust forecasts and enhanced generalisation performance, especially valuable in domains where prior knowledge guides modular learning processes. The proposed model presents a promising avenue for advancing predictive modelling in Forex predictions by incorporating transfer learning principles

Collected Papers (on Neutrosophic Theory and Applications), Volume VI

This sixth volume of Collected Papers includes 74 papers comprising 974 pages on (theoretic and applied) neutrosophics, written between 2015-2021 by the author alone or in collaboration with the following 121 co-authors from 19 countries: Mohamed Abdel-Basset, Abdel Nasser H. Zaied, Abduallah Gamal, Amir Abdullah, Firoz Ahmad, Nadeem Ahmad, Ahmad Yusuf Adhami, Ahmed Aboelfetouh, Ahmed Mostafa Khalil, Shariful Alam, W. Alharbi, Ali Hassan, Mumtaz Ali, Amira S. Ashour, Asmaa Atef, Assia Bakali, Ayoub Bahnasse, A. A. Azzam, Willem K.M. Brauers, Bui Cong Cuong, Fausto Cavallaro, Ahmet Çevik, Robby I. Chandra, Kalaivani Chandran, Victor Chang, Chang Su Kim, Jyotir Moy Chatterjee, Victor Christianto, Chunxin Bo, Mihaela Colhon, Shyamal Dalapati, Arindam Dey, Dunqian Cao, Fahad Alsharari, Faruk Karaaslan, Aleksandra Fedajev, Daniela Gîfu, Hina Gulzar, Haitham A. El-Ghareeb, Masooma Raza Hashmi, Hewayda El-Ghawalby, Hoang Viet Long, Le Hoang Son, F. Nirmala Irudayam, Branislav Ivanov, S. Jafari, Jeong Gon Lee, Milena Jevtić, Sudan Jha, Junhui Kim, Ilanthenral Kandasamy, W.B. Vasantha Kandasamy, Darjan Karabašević, Songül Karabatak, Abdullah Kargın, M. Karthika, Ieva Meidute-Kavaliauskiene, Madad Khan, Majid Khan, Manju Khari, Kifayat Ullah, K. Kishore, Kul Hur, Santanu Kumar Patro, Prem Kumar Singh, Raghvendra Kumar, Tapan Kumar Roy, Malayalan Lathamaheswari, Luu Quoc Dat, T. Madhumathi, Tahir Mahmood, Mladjan Maksimovic, Gunasekaran Manogaran, Nivetha Martin, M. Kasi Mayan, Mai Mohamed, Mohamed Talea, Muhammad Akram, Muhammad Gulistan, Raja Muhammad Hashim, Muhammad Riaz, Muhammad Saeed, Rana Muhammad Zulqarnain, Nada A. Nabeeh, Deivanayagampillai Nagarajan, Xenia Negrea, Nguyen Xuan Thao, Jagan M. Obbineni, Angelo de Oliveira, M. Parimala, Gabrijela Popovic, Ishaani Priyadarshini, Yaser Saber, Mehmet Șahin, Said Broumi, A. A. Salama, M. Saleh, Ganeshsree Selvachandran, Dönüș Șengür, Shio Gai Quek, Songtao Shao, Dragiša Stanujkić, Surapati Pramanik, Swathi Sundari Sundaramoorthy, Mirela Teodorescu, Selçuk Topal, Muhammed Turhan, Alptekin Ulutaș, Luige Vlădăreanu, Victor Vlădăreanu, Ştefan Vlăduţescu, Dan Valeriu Voinea, Volkan Duran, Navneet Yadav, Yanhui Guo, Naveed Yaqoob, Yongquan Zhou, Young Bae Jun, Xiaohong Zhang, Xiao Long Xin, Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas

Sustainable agriculture and rural development in terms of the republic of Serbia strategic goals realization within the Danube region. Rural development and (un)limited resources

International Scientific Conference „SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT IN TERMS OF THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA STRATEGIC GOALS REALIZATION WITHIN THE DANUBE REGION - rural development and (un)limited resources“, which was held in period 5-6th June 2014 in Belgrade, the Republic of Serbia, through number of presented papers mainly provides an overview of results of scientific research on the integrated and interdisciplinary project No. III 46006 „SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT IN TERMS OF THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA STRATEGIC GOALS REALIZATION WITHIN THE DANUBE REGION“. Besides the authors from Serbia in Thematic Proceedings are also presented the papers of authors from Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia, Albania, Romania, Russia, Belarus, Poland, Austria and USA. The papers are systematized in 3 thematic sections: I RURAL ECONOMY IN THE FUNCTION OF INTEGRAL LOCAL DEVELOPMENT (section was represented by 30 papers); II ALLOCATION AND VALORIZATION OF RESOURCE POTENTIALS OF RURAL AREAS (section was represented by 26 papers); III THE REFORM OF THE EU COMMON AGRICULTURAL POLICY – A NEW DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK FOR THE PERIOD 2014-2020 (section was represented by 7 papers)

Archibald Reiss Days : Thematic conference proceedings of international significance : International Scientific Conference, Belgrade, 7-9 November 2017

In front of you is the Thematic Collection of Papers presented at the International Scientific Conference “Archibald Reiss Days”, which was organized by the Academy of Criminalistic and Police Studies in Belgrade, in cooperation with the Ministry of Interior and the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia, School of Criminal Justice, Michigan State University in USA, School of Criminal Justice University of Laussane in Switzerland, National Police Academy in Spain, Police Academy Szczytno in Poland, National Police University of China, Lviv State University of Internal Affairs, Volgograd Academy of the Russian Internal Affairs Ministry, Faculty of Security in Skopje, Faculty of Criminal Justice and Security in Ljubljana, Police Academy “Alexandru Ioan Cuza“ in Bucharest, Academy of Police Force in Bratislava, Faculty of Security Science University of Banja Luka, Faculty for Criminal Justice, Criminology and Security Studies University of Sarajevo, Faculty of Law in Montenegro, Police Academy in Montenegro and held at the Academy of Criminalistic and Police Studies, on 7, 8 and 9 November 2017.The International Scientific Conference “Archibald Reiss Days” is organized for the seventh time in a row, in memory of the founder and director of the first modern higher police school in Serbia, Rodolphe Archibald Reiss, after whom the Conference was named. The Thematic Collection of Papers contains 131 papers written by eminent scholars in the field of law, security, criminalistics, police studies, forensics, informatics, as well as by members of national security system participating in education of the police, army and other security services from Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Bangladesh, Abu Dhabi, Greece, Hungary, Macedonia, Romania, Russian Federation, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Czech Republic, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, Italy, Australia and United Kingdom. Each paper has been double-blind peer reviewed by two reviewers, international experts competent for the field to which the paper is related, and the Thematic Conference Proceedings in whole has been reviewed by five competent international reviewers.The papers published in the Thematic Collection of Papers provide us with the analysis of the criminalistic and criminal justice aspects in solving and proving of criminal offences, police organization, contemporary security studies, social, economic and political flows of crime, forensic linguistics, cybercrime, and forensic engineering. The Collection of Papers represents a significant contribution to the existing fund of scientific and expert knowledge in the field of criminalistic, security, penal and legal theory and practice. Publication of this Collection contributes to improving of mutual cooperation between educational, scientific and expert institutions at national, regional and international level

İK2018 17th Internationally Participated Business Congress, 26-28 April 2018, Çeşme, İzmir

Çevrimiçi (XLV, 2055 sayfa )26-28 Nisan 2018 tarihlerinde Çeşme’de düzenlenen, 17. Uluslararası Katılımlı işletmecilik Kongresi’nin İzmir Katip Çelebi Üniversitesi, iktisadi ve idari Bilimler Fakültesi, işletme Bölümü ev sahipliğinde gerçekleştirilmesinden dolayı büyük bir mutluluk ve onur duyduk. Türkiye’de işletmecilik alanında uzun süredir başarıyla gerçekleştirilen ‘İşletmecilik Kongresi’ 17. Oturumunda uluslararası bir nitelik kazandırılarak gerçekleştirilmiştir. Bu vesile ile kongrenin 17. Oturumu ‘Uluslararası Katılımlı İşletmecilik Kongresi’ olarak tanımlanmıştır. Kongrenin bu niteliği kazanmasında katkıları olan herkese teşekkür ederiz. Umut ederiz ki bu kıymetli kongrenin ileriki oturumlarının da bu nitelikte gerçekleşmesidir. 17. Uluslararası İşletmecilik Kongresi’ne akademi, iş dünyası, sivil toplum kuruluşları ve bireysel olarak yaklaşık 700 katılımcı ilgi göstermiştir. Kongrede sunulmak üzere 400’den fazla çalışma tarafımıza ulaşmıştır. Bu çalışmalardan kongrede sunumu yapılan 236 tane tebliğ bu kitapta yer almaktadır. Kongrenin düzenlenmesi sırasında her zaman desteklerini hissettiğimiz Danışma Kurulu değerli üyelerine, bildiri tam metin ve özetlerini dikkatle ve özenle değerlendiren Bilim Kurulu üyelerine ve kongre sponsorlarına çok teşekkür ederiz. Prof.Dr. Hayrettin USUL 17. Uluslararası Katılımlı İşletmecilik Kongresi Dönem Başkan