Prediksi Harga Beras Sultan Dan Membramo Di Kota Manado Dengan Menggunakan Model ARIMA

Pada makalah ini diuraikan model ARIMA dari harga beras di kota Manado yang meliputi beras Sultan dan beras Membramo. Data yang diamati adalah data bulanan dari Januari 2007 sampai dengan Maret 2012. Hasil analisis time series menunjukan bahwa untuk beras Sultan diperoleh model ARIMA(1,1,1) dan beras Membramo diperoleh model ARIMA(1,1,0). Hasil diagnosis menunjukan bahwa galat dari model untuk beras Sultan dan beras Membramo sudah berdistribusi normal dengan p-value lebih dari 0,05 yaitu masing-masing 0,15 dan 0,07. Prediksi harga beras untuk tiga periode kedepan untuk beras Sultan berkisar antara Rp. 8.287 sampai Rp. 8.389, dan beras Membramo berkisar antara Rp. 8.482 sampai Rp. 8.593.This paper described ARIMA models of the rice prince in Manado, that is sultan and membramo rice. The observed data is monthly from January-2007 to March-2012. The result show that the models for sultan is ARIMA(1,1,1) and for membramo is ARIMA(1,1,0). The diagnosis results show that the residuals of the models for sultan and membramo is normally distributed with a p-value more than 0,05, that is 0,15 and 0,07 respectively. The prediction of price for the next three periods for sultan from Rp. 8.287,30 to Rp. 8.389,92 and for membramo from Rp. 8.482 to Rp. 8.593

Krila "Keripik Kelapa Muda"

Coconut is a kind of fruits which has many benefits from almost all of its parts. Unfortunately, coconut processing for consumption is somehow monotonous, especially its flesh. The white flesh of coconut is commonly used in beverages, pudding as well as cakes. The monotonous foods and beverages made of young green coconut flesh may make people get bored. This has encouraged us to make innovation in consuming coconut flesh that is by making coconut crispy chips (KRILA: Keripik Kelapa Muda). The process in making coconut crispy chips is done by using vacuum fryer, that is a kind of vacuum frying device which can keep nutrition of the coconut flesh and keep its color remain the same. The presence of KRILA is expected to give innovation in culinary related to green coconut as well as broaden job vacancy for people particularly in Malang. In order to introduce KRILA to society, several ways are done such as by distributing brochure in tourism places, campus and other public places around Veteran street; giving tester to people in those strategic places to know the society\u27s favorite flavor of KRILA as well as get comment about KRILA, and doing socialization to the society. KRILA has been sold through several ways such as doing direct selling in tourism places, campus, and Veteran street; selling via BBM; and having cooperation with some stores (Toko Karina, Toko Andika, dan Toko Intan)

In situ annealing of superconducting MgB2 films prepared by pulsed laser deposition

The in situ annealing conditions of pulsed laser deposited MgB2 films were studied. The precursor films were deposited at 250 C from a stoichiometric MgB2 target in a 120mTorr Ar atmosphere. The films were then in situ annealed at a temperature from 450 C to 800 C and an annealing time from 1 minute to 10 minutes. We found that the superconducting properties depend in a crucial way on the annealing conditions: temperature, heating rate and time. The best film with a thickness of ~600nm was obtained under the following annealing conditions: Tanneal=680-690 C, tanneal=1 min, heating rate= 38 C/min. The Tc onset of the film is 28K with a transition width of ~10K. The hysteresis loop of magnetic moment of the film indicates weak field dependence in high fields. Magneto-optical imaging of the film showed quite homogeneous magnetic flux penetration, indicating structural homogeneity. The films without annealing showed no superconductivity.Comment: 12 pages, 6 figure

Role of laparoscopic simulators in the development and assessment of laparoscopic surgical skills in laparoscopic surgery and gynecology (Review)

The aim of the present review article was to provide an overview of the evaluation and capability of the different types of laparoscopic simulators in the application of training in laparoscopic gynecological surgery. The literature suggests that the acquisition of surgical psychomotor skills is best achieved in a simulated laboratory outside of the live operating environment. The present review article includes scientific publications on current laparoscopic gynecological simulators, including laparoscopic box trainers, laparoscopic virtual reality simulators, animal models, human cadavers and lightly embalmed human cadavers. At present, controversy exists as to the superiority of virtual reality simulators over laparoscopic box trainers on the transferability and development of minimally invasive surgical skills for the justification of their increased cost. The present review article covers the role of simulation-based surgical education in the development and assessment of the appropriated surgical skills for laparoscopic gynecological procedures. Within the surgical curriculum, the tertiary laparoscopic training hospitals should include surgical simulation-based programs for laparoscopic training to gynecologists outside the live operation rooms under appropriate supervision. © 2020 Spandidos Publications. All rights reserved

Expression of p53 and PTEN in human primary endometrial carcinomas: Clinicopathological and immunohistochemical analysis and study of their concomitant expression

Endometrial carcinoma is a common malignancy of the female genital tract. Alterations in the expression levels of various oncogenes and tumor suppressor genes serve important roles in the carcinogenesis and biological behavior of endometrial carcinoma. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the combination and individual expression of p53 and phosphatase and tensin homolog (PTEN) protein in human endometrial carcinoma. In addition, the correlation of these proteins with clinicopathological parameters was also assessed. Retrospective immunohistochemical analysis of the expression of p53 and PTEN tumor suppressor proteins was conducted in 99 women with endometrial carcinoma. The overall rate of p53 and PTEN positivity was 89 and 77%, respectively, according to the sum of stain intensity and scores of immunopositive cells. The sum of p53 positivity correlated strongly with PTEN expression (ρ=0.256; P=0.044). The concomitant sum of p53 and PTEN expression was identified in 45% of patients with endometrial adenocarcinoma. Notably, the sum of the immunohistochemical expression of p53 was significantly correlated with patient age (P=0.037), histologic type (P=0.008), histologic grade (P=0.002) and fallopian and/or ovarian invasion (P=0.014). Furthermore, PTEN expression was associated with myometrial invasion (ρ=-0.377; P=0.002) and clinical stage (P=0.019). In addition, concomitant p53 and PTEN expression was correlated with patient age (P=0.008) and histologic differentiation (P=0.028). The findings indicated a correlation between the expression of p53 and PTEN in endometrial adenocarcinoma, which suggested an intrinsic association between expression levels of these tumor suppressor genes. The study also suggested that concomitant p53 and PTEN expression contributed in characterizing the tumor behavior of endometrial carcinoma. Taken together, the present study suggested the combined expression of p53 and PTEN in the development of high-grade endometrial carcinoma in older patients. In addition, the findings indicated activation of different molecular pathways in the tumor progression between low-grade and high-grade endometrial carcinomas. © 2019, Spandidos Publications. All rights reserved

Architettura della Rigenerazione Urbana. Progetti, tentativi, strategie

Progetti, strategie, tattiche di intervento, politiche urbane: il volume offre una panoramica a livello nazionale sullo stato di salute delle città e dell’architettura. Urbanisti, architetti, docenti e studiosi raccontano i loro progetti in un quadro di trasformazione generale che vede il loro lavoro muoversi entro nuove condizioni: la crisi come motore di innovazione, una condivisione di responsabilità tra pubblico e privato, l’ottimizzazione dei processi edilizi. Dal loro confronto emerge un quadro articolato sull’importanza del dialogo tra progetto di architettura e strategie di rigenerazione urbana, inteso a tutti gli effetti come una politica per lo sviluppo sostenibile delle città

On integral and differential porosity models for urban flooding simulation

A novel differential porosity model for urban flooding, namely the Binary Single Porosity model (BSP), is proposed in the present paper. The BSP model, which is derived from the Single Porosity (SP) model by constraining the porosity to attain only the values zero inside the buildings and one in the voids among the buildings, is local and independent on the existence of a Representative Elementary Volume (REV). The BSP model satisfies the Galilean invariance, while the corresponding wave speeds are identical to those of the Shallow water Equations model, and its integral formulation coincides with the original integral model by Sanders et al. (2008). The structure of the BSP model implies that the solution of the SP Riemann problem is the numerical building block for the construction of the corresponding Finite Volume schemes. This observation prompts a further study of the SP model and its solutions, demonstrating that the exact SP Riemann problem solution has the potential to take into account the transient energy losses due to wave reflections through the urban fabric in BSP models. Nonetheless, a further comparison with the two-dimensional SWE results demonstrates that additional stationary energy dissipations must be accurately taken into account through porosity reductions in the case of supercritical flow. The numerical experiments show that available approximate SP Riemann solvers may cause a systematic underestimation of the energy dissipation through the urban fabric and an overestimation of the flood celerity. The improvement of SP Riemann solvers could limit the resort to additional drag and momentum dissipation terms that are frequently added in numerical models. Finally, the investigation of the differential porosity models where different definitions are used for storage and conveyance porosity shows that these models suffer from a fundamental lack of physical congruence, implying that they cannot be used for the analysis of flood wave propagation through the urban fabric

Synthesis of triple helix forming oligonucleotides with a phenanthroline moiety into the 3’-3’ inversion site of polarity

A protocol for the synthesis of triplex forming oligonucleotides containing a chelating molecule in the 3'-3' inversion site of polarity is reported. A number of 16-mers have been synthesized and UV spectroscopy employed to evaluate the stability of their triple helix complexes with the pertinent double-strand oligonucleotide targets