Progress in using the electronic health record to improve primary care.

Improvement science has been transformed by the electronic health record (EHR) making it possible to share data for patient and population benefit across primary and secondary care organisations, with further linkage to public health, social services, and national registries. Health data analysis is an enabling technology for systems of improvement, promoting behavioural change in professionals and social change and innovation in organisations for patient and citizen benefit. The ability to learn from every patient contact and provide appropriate organisational responses to population needs has been termed a learning health system. The development of IT enabled learning health systems is a journey on which health services have only recently begun. This report describes the impact trajectory over three decades of the Clinical Effectiveness Group (CEG), a quality improvement (QI) organisation serving a population of 2 million in east London. The core aims include delivering improvements to primary care disease management and reducing health inequalities. Commissioning support, public health and research linkage are further derivatives enabled from the curated EHR. CEG has built capacity for real-time monitoring of services from all inner east London GP practices, with support for QI programmes helping to transform service delivery across the primary/secondary interface. The clinical performance of these localities now rank top in national and some international performance metrics. CEG also supports new initiatives to deliver an integrated EHR platform for all primary, secondary and other health and social data sources to provide both direct clinical care and data for secondary uses. This agenda is aligned with national strategy in the NHS England Forward View and the Wachter Report both of which highlight the synergistic gains from aligning improved data uses, quality improvement and health data science

Patient safety and estimation of renal function in patients prescribed new oral anticoagulants for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE: In clinical trials of dabigatran and rivaroxaban for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF), drug eligibility and dosing were determined using the Cockcroft-Gault equation to estimate creatine clearance as a measure of renal function. This cross-sectional study aimed to compare whether using estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) by the widely available and widely used Modified Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equation would alter prescribing or dosing of the renally excreted new oral anticoagulants. PARTICIPANTS: Of 4712 patients with known AF within a general practitioner-registered population of 930 079 in east London, data were available enabling renal function to be calculated by both Cockcroft-Gault and MDRD methods in 4120 (87.4%). RESULTS: Of 4120 patients, 2706 were <80 years and 1414 were ≥80 years of age. Among those ≥80 years, 14.9% were ineligible for dabigatran according to Cockcroft-Gault equation but would have been judged eligible applying MDRD method. For those <80 years, 0.8% would have been incorrectly judged eligible for dabigatran and 5.3% would have received too high a dose. For rivaroxaban, 0.3% would have been incorrectly judged eligible for treatment and 13.5% would have received too high a dose. CONCLUSIONS: Were the MDRD-derived eGFR to be used instead of Cockcroft-Gault in prescribing these new agents, many elderly patients with AF would either incorrectly become eligible for them or would receive too high a dose. Safety has not been established using the MDRD equation, a concern since the risk of major bleeding would be increased in patients with unsuspected renal impairment. Given the potentially widespread use of these agents, particularly in primary care, regulatory authorities and drug companies should alert UK doctors of the need to use the Cockcroft-Gault formula to calculate eligibility for and dosing of the new oral anticoagulants in elderly patients with AF and not rely on the MDRD-derived eGFR

Reducing the use of inhaled corticosteroids in mild-moderate COPD: an observational study in east London

Inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) are often prescribed for worsening breathlessness, exacerbation frequency or lung function in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). In mild-moderate disease and infrequent exacerbations, treatment risks may outweigh benefits and ICS may be withdrawn safely under supervision. A systematic ICS deprescribing programme for patients with mild-moderate COPD was introduced in an east London Clinical Commissioning Group (CCG) in April 2017. Primary care patient record analysis found that prescribing fell from 34.9% (n = 701) in the 18 months pre-intervention to 26.9% (n = 538) by the second year of implementation, decreasing 0.84% per quarter post intervention (p = 0.006, linear regression). The relative decrease was greater than the comparison CCG (23.0% vs. 9.9%). Only South Asian ethnicity was associated with increased cessation (odds ratio 1.48, confidence interval (CI) 1.09-2.01), p = 0.013, logistic regression). Patient outcome data were not collected. A primary care-led programme comprising local education, financial incentivisation and consultant support led to a significant decrease in ICS prescribing

Variation in prescribing for anxiety and depression: a reflection of health inequalities, cultural differences or variations in access to care?

BACKGROUND: There are large variations in mental health prescribing in UK populations. However the underlying reasons for these differences, which may be related to differences in prevalence, cultural expectations or practical difficulties in access to treatment, remain uncertain. METHODS: Linear modelling was used to investigate whether population characteristics or access to primary care account for variations in mental health prescribing across 39 deprived neighbourhoods. RESULTS: The proportion of sampled respondents whose first language was not English and the ratio of general practitioners to population explained 61% of variation. Deprivation and mental health status were not significant predictors of prescribing in these relatively deprived communities. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that mental health prescribing, within deprived areas, as well as reflecting cultural and social differences in prescribing, may also be a proxy measure of access to care

Open String Creation by S-Branes

An sp-brane can be viewed as the creation and decay of an unstable D(p+1)-brane. It is argued that the decaying half of an sp-brane can be described by a variant of boundary Liouville theory. The pair creation of open strings by a decaying s-brane is studied in the minisuperspace approximation to the Liouville theory. In this approximation a Hagedorn-like divergence is found in the pair creation rate, suggesting the s-brane energy is rapidly transferred into closed string radiation.Comment: Talk presented at the Hangzhou String 2002 Conference, August 12-1

Patient safety and estimation of renal in function in patients prescribed new oral anticoagulants for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE: In clinical trials of dabigatran and rivaroxaban for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF), drug eligibility and dosing were determined using the Cockcroft-Gault equation to estimate creatine clearance as a measure of renal function. This cross-sectional study aimed to compare whether using estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) by the widely available and widely used Modified Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equation would alter prescribing or dosing of the renally excreted new oral anticoagulants. PARTICIPANTS: Of 4712 patients with known AF within a general practitioner-registered population of 930 079 in east London, data were available enabling renal function to be calculated by both Cockcroft-Gault and MDRD methods in 4120 (87.4%). RESULTS: Of 4120 patients, 2706 were <80 years and 1414 were ≥80 years of age. Among those ≥80 years, 14.9% were ineligible for dabigatran according to Cockcroft-Gault equation but would have been judged eligible applying MDRD method. For those <80 years, 0.8% would have been incorrectly judged eligible for dabigatran and 5.3% would have received too high a dose. For rivaroxaban, 0.3% would have been incorrectly judged eligible for treatment and 13.5% would have received too high a dose. CONCLUSIONS: Were the MDRD-derived eGFR to be used instead of Cockcroft-Gault in prescribing these new agents, many elderly patients with AF would either incorrectly become eligible for them or would receive too high a dose. Safety has not been established using the MDRD equation, a concern since the risk of major bleeding would be increased in patients with unsuspected renal impairment. Given the potentially widespread use of these agents, particularly in primary care, regulatory authorities and drug companies should alert UK doctors of the need to use the Cockcroft-Gault formula to calculate eligibility for and dosing of the new oral anticoagulants in elderly patients with AF and not rely on the MDRD-derived eGFR

Spatially Resolved Magnetic Field Structure in the Disk of a T Tauri Star

Magnetic fields in accretion disks play a dominant role during the star formation process but have hitherto been observationally poorly constrained. Field strengths have been inferred on T Tauri stars themselves and possibly in the innermost part of the accretion disk, but the strength and morphology of the field in the bulk of the disk have not been observed. Unresolved measurements of polarized emission (arising from elongated dust grains aligned perpendicular to the field) imply average fields aligned with the disks. Theoretically, the fields are expected to be largely toroidal, poloidal, or a mixture of the two, which imply different mechanisms for transporting angular momentum in the disks of actively accreting young stars such as HL Tau. Here we report resolved measurements of the polarized 1.25 mm continuum emission from HL Tau's disk. The magnetic field on a scale of 80 AU is coincident with the major axis (~210 AU diameter) of the disk. From this we conclude that the magnetic field inside the disk at this scale cannot be dominated by a vertical component, though a purely toroidal field does not fit the data well either. The unexpected morphology suggests that the magnetic field's role for the accretion of a T Tauri star is more complex than the current theoretical understanding.Comment: Accepted for publication in Natur

Handwriting-Based Gender Classification Using End-to-End Deep Neural Networks

Handwriting-based gender classification is a well-researched problem that has been approached mainly by traditional machine learning techniques. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning-based approach for this task. Specifically, we present a convolutional neural network (CNN), which performs automatic feature extraction from a given handwritten image, followed by classification of the writer's gender. Also, we introduce a new dataset of labeled handwritten samples, in Hebrew and English, of 405 participants. Comparing the gender classification accuracy on this dataset against human examiners, our results show that the proposed deep learning-based approach is substantially more accurate than that of humans