Applying risk informed methodologies to improve the economics of sodium-cooled fast reactors

Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Nuclear Science and Engineering, February 2010.Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.Includes bibliographical references (p. 94-97).In order to support the increasing demand for clean sustainable electricity production and for nuclear waste management, the Sodium-Cooled Fast Reactor (SFR) is being developed. The main drawback has been its high capital and operating costs in comparison with traditional light water reactors. In order to compete, the SFR must be shown to be economically competitive. This study makes use of the proposed Technology Neutral Framework (TNF) being developed by the U.S. NRC. By applying this risk-based approach to safety, rather than the traditional approach of applying deterministic requirements, it will be shown that significant savings can be realized without compromising fundamental safety. A methodology was developed using the Technology Neutral Framework to judge design alternatives based on risk significance that provide acceptable safety within the framework at less cost. The key probabilistic metrics of Risk Achievement Worth and Limit Exceedence Factor will be used to assess whether a system or component plays an important safety function. If not the system, structure or component either can be eliminated, modified or its safety grade can be reduced resulting in cost savings. In addition, assessments were made to determine how to improve thermal efficiency by raising reactor exit temperature and by applying other design alternatives to reduce costs as evaluated on a safety, reliability and economic basis.(cont.) This methodology was applied in a series of case studies demonstrating the value of the approach in design. The probabilistic risk assessment, the reference economic model and the Technology Neutral Framework tools required for this methodology are described. A reference economic model for a pool-type SFR was developed using the G4-ECONS model since it is an acceptable standard model for economic analysis. Since cost predictions for sodium cooled fast reactors are highly uncertain, the results of the economic analysis are used to estimate the relative improvement in cost as a function of the design alternatives proposed by the TNF methodology approach. This study used generic and comparative numbers for the ALMR and SPRISM reactors for cost of components of the SFR, to identify capital cost drivers for further study and cost reduction. For comparative purposes, the light water reactor (LWR) economic model in the G4-ECONS model was used and benchmarked to current LWR data. As a result of the case studies in which the methodology was applied, it was shown that the capital cost of the SFR could be reduced by almost 18% ($336 million) over the reference design and the levelized generating costs could be reduced by over 10% (almost 1 cent/kw-hr). These savings come largely from improvements in thermal efficiency, elimination of the energetic core disruptive accident as a design basis event and simplification of the reactor shutdown system based on risk analysis and safety significance. Should this methodology be applied to the entire plant design, it is expected that significant additional savings could be identified.by Christopher C. Nitta.S.M

Gravitational Settling of ^{22}Ne in Liquid White Dwarf Interiors--Cooling and Seismological Effects

We assess the impact of the trace element ^{22}Ne on the cooling and seismology of a liquid C/O white dwarf (WD). Due to this elements' neutron excess, it sinks towards the interior as the liquid WD cools. The subsequent gravitational energy released slows the cooling of the WD by 0.25--1.6 Gyrs by the time it has completely crystallized, depending on the WD mass and the adopted sedimentation rate. The effects will make massive WDs or those in metal rich clusters (such as NGC 6791) appear younger than their true age. Our diffusion calculations show that the ^{22}Ne mass fraction in the crystallized core actually increases outwards. The stability of this configuration has not yet been determined. In the liquid state, the settled ^{22}Ne enhances the internal buoyancy of the interior and changes the periods of the high radial order g-modes by approximately 1%. Though a small adjustment, this level of change far exceeds the accuracy of the period measurements. A full assessment and comparison of mode frequencies for specific WDs should help constrain the still uncertain ^{22}Ne diffusion coefficient for the liquid interior.Comment: 26 pages (11 text pages with 15 figures); to appear in The Astrophysical Journa

Forecasting Battery Electric Vehicle Charging Behavior: A Deep Learning Approach Equipped with Micro-Clustering and SMOTE Techniques

Energy systems, climate change, and public health are among the primary reasons for moving toward electrification in transportation. Transportation electrification is being promoted worldwide to reduce emissions. As a result, many automakers will soon start making only battery electric vehicles (BEVs). BEV adoption rates are rising in California, mainly due to climate change and air pollution concerns. While great for climate and pollution goals, improperly managed BEV charging can lead to insufficient charging infrastructure and power outages. This study develops a novel Micro Clustering Deep Neural Network (MCDNN), an artificial neural network algorithm that is highly effective at learning BEVs trip and charging data to forecast BEV charging events, information that is essential for electricity load aggregators and utility managers to provide charging stations and electricity capacity effectively. The MCDNN is configured using a robust dataset of trips and charges that occurred in California between 2015 and 2020 from 132 BEVs, spanning 5 BEV models for a total of 1570167 vehicle miles traveled. The numerical findings revealed that the proposed MCDNN is more effective than benchmark approaches in this field, such as support vector machine, k nearest neighbors, decision tree, and other neural network-based models in predicting the charging events.Comment: 18 pages,8 figures, 4 table

Hdelta-Selected Galaxies in the Sloan Digital Sky Survey I: The Catalog

[Abridged] We present here a new and homogeneous sample of 3340 galaxies selected from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) based solely on the observed strength of their Hdelta absorption line. These galaxies are commonly known as ``post-starburst'' or ``E+A'' galaxies, and the study of these galaxies has been severely hampered by the lack of a large, statistical sample of such galaxies. In this paper, we rectify this problem by selecting a sample of galaxies which possess an absorption Hdelta equivalent width of EW(Hdelta_max) - Delta EW(Hdelta_max) > 4A from 106682 galaxies in the SDSS. We have performed extensive tests on our catalog including comparing different methodologies of measuring the Hdelta absorption and studying the effects of stellar absorption, dust extinction, emission-filling and measurement error. The measured abundance of our Hdelta-selected (HDS) galaxies is 2.6 +/- 0.1% of all galaxies within a volume-limited sample of 0.05<z<0.1 and M(r*)<-20.5, which is consistent with previous studies of such galaxies in the literature. We find that only 25 of our HDS galaxies in this volume-limited sample (3.5+/-0.7%) show no evidence for OII and Halpha emission, thus indicating that true E+A (or k+a) galaxies are extremely rare objects at low redshift, i.e., only 0.09+/-0.02% of all galaxies in this volume-limited sample are true E+A galaxies. In contrast, 89+/-5% of our HDS galaxies in the volume-limited sample have significant detections of the OII and Halpha emission lines. We find 27 galaxies in our volume-limited HDS sample that possess no detectable OII emission, but do however possess detectable Halpha emission. These galaxies may be dusty star-forming galaxies. We provide the community with this new catalog of Hdelta-selected galaxies to aid in the understanding of these galaxies.Comment: Submitted to PASJ. Catalog of galaxies available at http://astrophysics.phys.cmu.edu/~tomo/ea

A Strategy for Finding Near Earth Objects with the SDSS Telescope

We present a detailed observational strategy for finding Near Earth Objects (NEOs) with the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) telescope. We investigate strategies in normal, unbinned mode as well as binning the CCDs 2x2 or 3x3, which affects the sky coverage rate and the limiting apparent magnitude. We present results from 1 month, 3 year and 10 year simulations of such surveys. For each cadence and binning mode, we evaluate the possibility of achieving the Spaceguard goal of detecting 90% of 1 km NEOs (absolute magnitude H <= 18 for an albedo of 0.1). We find that an unbinned survey is most effective at detecting H <= 20 NEOs in our sample. However, a 3x3 binned survey reaches the Spaceguard Goal after only seven years of operation. As the proposed large survey telescopes (PanStarss; LSST) are at least 5-10 years from operation, an SDSS NEO survey could make a significant contribution to the detection and photometric characterization of the NEO population.Comment: Accepted by AJ -- 12 pages, 11 figure

An emerging and enigmatic spectral class of isolated DAe white dwarfs

Two recently discovered white dwarfs, WDJ041246.84$+$754942.26 and WDJ165335.21$-$100116.33, exhibit H$\alpha$ and H$\beta$ Balmer line emission similar to stars in the emerging DAHe class, yet intriguingly have not been found to have detectable magnetic fields. These white dwarfs are assigned the spectral type DAe. We present detailed follow-up of the two known DAe stars using new time-domain spectroscopic observations and analysis of the latest photometric time-series data from TESS and ZTF. We measure the upper magnetic field strength limit of both stars as $B < 0.05$ MG. The DAe white dwarfs exhibit photometric and spectroscopic variability, where in the case of WDJ041246.84$+$754942.26 the strength of the H$\alpha$ and H$\beta$ emission cores varies in anti-phase with its photometric variability over the spin period, which is the same phase relationship seen in DAHe stars. The DAe white dwarfs closely cluster in one region of the Gaia Hertzsprung-Russell diagram together with the DAHe stars. We discuss current theories on non-magnetic and magnetic mechanisms which could explain the characteristics observed in DAe white dwarfs, but additional data are required to unambiguously determine the origin of these stars.Comment: 20 pages, 16 figures. Accepted for publication in MNRA

The Environment of Passive Spiral Galaxies in the SDSS

In previous work on galaxy clusters, several authors reported a discovery of an unusual population of galaxies, which have spiral morphologies, but do not show any star formation activity. These galaxies are called ``passive spirals'', and have been interesting since it has been difficult to understand the existence of such galaxies. Using a volume limited sample (0.05<z<0.1 and Mr<-20.5; 25813 galaxies) of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey data, we have found 73 (0.28$\pm$0.03%) passive spiral galaxies and studied their environments. It is found that passive spiral galaxies live in local galaxy density 1-2 Mpc$^{-2}$ and 1-10 cluster-centric virial radius. Thus the origins of passive spiral galaxies are likely to be cluster related. These characteristic environments coincide with the previously reported environment where galaxy star formation rate suddenly declines and the so-called morphology-density relation turns. It is likely that the same physical mechanism is responsible for all of these observational results. The existence of passive spiral galaxies suggests that a physical mechanism that works calmly is preferred to dynamical origins such as major merger/interaction since such a mechanism can destroy spiral arm structures. Compared with observed cluster galaxy evolution such as the Butcher-Oemler effect and the morphological Butcher-Oemler effect, passive spiral galaxies are likely to be a galaxy population in transition between red, elliptical/S0 galaxies in low redshift clusters and blue, spiral galaxies more numerous in higher redshift clusters.Comment: 31 pages, 13 figures, PASJ in pres

First-Year Spectroscopy for the SDSS-II Supernova Survey

This paper presents spectroscopy of supernovae discovered in the first season of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey-II Supernova Survey. This program searches for and measures multi-band light curves of supernovae in the redshift range z = 0.05 - 0.4, complementing existing surveys at lower and higher redshifts. Our goal is to better characterize the supernova population, with a particular focus on SNe Ia, improving their utility as cosmological distance indicators and as probes of dark energy. Our supernova spectroscopy program features rapid-response observations using telescopes of a range of apertures, and provides confirmation of the supernova and host-galaxy types as well as precise redshifts. We describe here the target identification and prioritization, data reduction, redshift measurement, and classification of 129 SNe Ia, 16 spectroscopically probable SNe Ia, 7 SNe Ib/c, and 11 SNe II from the first season. We also describe our efforts to measure and remove the substantial host galaxy contamination existing in the majority of our SN spectra.Comment: Accepted for publication in The Astronomical Journal(47pages, 9 figures

SDSS J0806+2006 and SDSS J1353+1138: Two New Gravitationally Lensed Quasars from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey

We report the discoveries of two, two-image gravitationally lensed quasars selected from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey: SDSS J0806+2006 at z_s=1.540 and SDSS J1353+1138 at z_s=1.629 with image separations of 1.40" and 1.41" respectively. Spectroscopic and optical/near-infrared imaging follow-up observations show that the quasar images have identical redshifts and possess extended objects between the images that are likely to be lens galaxies at z_l~0.6 in SDSS J0806+2006 and z_l~0.3 in SDSS J1353+1138. The field of SDSS J0806+2006 contains several nearby galaxies that may significantly perturb the system, and SDSS J1353+1138 has an extra component near its Einstein ring that is probably a foreground star. Simple mass models with reasonable parameters reproduce the quasar positions and fluxes of both systems.Comment: 27 pages, 7 figures, The Astronomical Journal accepte