Machine learning-based lifetime breast cancer risk reclassification compared with the BOADICEA model: impact on screening recommendations

BACKGROUND: The clinical utility of machine-learning (ML) algorithms for breast cancer risk prediction and screening practices is unknown. We compared classification of lifetime breast cancer risk based on ML and the BOADICEA model. We explored the differences in risk classification and their clinical impact on screening practices. METHODS: We used three different ML algorithms and the BOADICEA model to estimate lifetime breast cancer risk in a sample of 112,587 individuals from 2481 families from the Oncogenetic Unit, Geneva University Hospitals. Performance of algorithms was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AU-ROC) curve. Risk reclassification was compared for 36,146 breast cancer-free women of ages 20-80. The impact on recommendations for mammography surveillance was based on the Swiss Surveillance Protocol. RESULTS: The predictive accuracy of ML-based algorithms (0.843 </= AU-ROC </= 0.889) was superior to BOADICEA (AU-ROC = 0.639) and reclassified 35.3% of women in different risk categories. The largest reclassification (20.8%) was observed in women characterised as 'near population' risk by BOADICEA. Reclassification had the largest impact on screening practices of women younger than 50. CONCLUSION: ML-based reclassification of lifetime breast cancer risk occurred in approximately one in three women. Reclassification is important for younger women because it impacts clinical decision- making for the initiation of screening

Metabolic syndrome in rural Peruvian adults living at high altitudes using different cookstoves

This study determined the prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in open fire stoves and improved cookstoves users (ICS) in the rural Peruvian Andes. Participants answered a socioeconomic questionnaire, one 24-hour food recall and underwent a physical examination. We analysed data from 385 participants, 190 (112 women and 78 men) were ICS users and 195 (123 women and 72 men) were open fire stove users. The prevalence of MetS was 21.3, 26.4% in women and 13.3% in men. We found no statistically significant association between the type of cookstove and MetS. Body mass index and altitude were important determinants of MetS. Research on cardiometabolic diseases and open fire stove use contributes to understanding the effect of household air pollution on health in high altitude populations

Regional differences and trends in breast cancer surgical procedures and their relation to socioeconomic disparities and screening patterns

Background Important regional disparities in patterns of care in breast cancer have recently been described. In Switzerland, nationwide data on hospitalisations have been collected since 1998. They have not been used up to now to explore space–time patterns and trends of breast cancer healthcare-related procedures for control and health planning purposes. We aimed to assess geographical and temporal variation of mastectomy rates. Methods Bayesian negative-binomial spatio-temporal models have been applied. Covariates included patient characteristics as provided in the hospital data, data on mammography screening programme duration, and surgeon and gynaecologist density. Results We analyzed more than 70,000 patients. Mastectomy rates declined from 43% to 30% in Switzerland between 2000 and 2012 for patients aged 50–69 and from 61% to 43% for those 70+, and remained stable for those under 50. Important geographical differences in rates were present. Rates were significantly influenced by age [relative rate ratio (RR) 50–69: 0.92, RR 70+: 1.25], differences in co-morbidity (RR one co-morbidity: 1.17, RR more than one: 1.35), higher surgeon or gynaecologist density (RR surgeons: 1.01, RR gynaecologists: 1.06). Regions in the French-speaking part (RR: 0.72) and/or with mammography screening programmes showed significantly lower rates (RR: 0.87). No difference was found for patients in different socio-economic groups or with different insurance types. Conclusion This research unveiled important differences in mastectomy rates in Switzerland. The results play an essential role in the identification of regions where special attention is required, and indications for extensive surgery in breast cancer should be revisited

Heart rate variability in association with frequent use of household sprays and scented products in SAPALDIA

Background: Household cleaning products are associated with adverse respiratory health outcomes, but the cardiovascular health effects are largely unknown.Objective: We determined if long-term use of household sprays and scented products at home was associated with reduced heart rate variability (HRV), a marker of autonomic cardiac dysfunction.Methods: We recorded 24-hr electrocardiograms in a cross-sectional survey of 581 Swiss adults, 1, 1-3, or 4-7 days/week, unexposed (reference)] of using cleaning sprays, air freshening sprays, and scented products.Results: Decreases in 24-hr SDNN and TP were observed with frequent use of all product types, but the strongest reductions were associated with air freshening sprays. Compared with unexposed participants, we found that using air freshening sprays 4-7 days/week was associated with 11% [95% confidence interval (CI): -20%, -2%] and 29% (95% CI: -46%, -8%) decreases in 24-hr SDNN and TP, respectively. Inverse associations of 24-SDNN and TP with increased use of cleaning sprays, air freshening sprays, and scented products were observed mainly in participants with obstructive lung disease (p > 0.05 for interactions).Conclusions: In predominantly older adult women, long-term frequent use of household spray and scented products was associated with reduced HRV, which suggests an increased risk of cardiovascular health hazards. People with preexisting pulmonary conditions may be more susceptibl

Predictors of state-of-the-art management of early breast cancer in Switzerland

Background: The aim of this study was to investigate predictors of state-of-the-art management of early breast cancer in Switzerland. Patients and methods: The study included 3499 women aged 25-79 years diagnosed with invasive breast cancer stages I-IIIA in 2003-2005. Patients were identified through population-based cancer registries and treated in all kinds of settings. Concordance with national and international recommendations was assessed for 10 items covering surgery, radiotherapy, systemic adjuvant therapy and histopathology reporting. We used multivariate logistic regression to identify independent predictors of high (10 points) and low (≤7 points) concordance. Results: In one-third of the patients, management met guidelines in all items, whereas in about one-fifth, three or more items did not comply. Treatment by a surgeon with caseload in the upper tercile and team involved in clinical research were independent predictors of a high score, whereas treatment by a surgeon with a caseload in the lower tercile was associated with a low score. Socioeconomic characteristics such as income and education were not independent predictors, but patient's place of residence and age independently predicted management according to recommendations. Conclusion: Specialization and involvement in clinical research seem to be key elements for enhancing the quality of early breast cancer management at population leve

Depression and cardiovascular disease are not linked by high blood pressure: findings from the SAPALDIA cohort

Depression and cardiovascular disease (CVD) are main contributors to the global disease burden and are linked. Pathophysiological pathways through increased blood pressure (BP) are a common focus in studies aiming to explain the relationship. However, studies to date have not differentiated between the predictive effect of depression on the course of BP versus hypertension diagnosis. Hence, we aimed to elucidate this relationship by incorporating these novel aspects in the context of a cohort study. We included initially normotensive participants (n = 3214) from the second (2001-2003), third (2009-2011), and fourth (2016-2018) waves of the Swiss Cohort Study on Air Pollution and Lung and Heart Diseases in Adults (SAPALDIA). We defined depression based on physician diagnosis, depression treatment and/or SF-36 Mental Health score < 50. The prospective association between depression and BP change was quantified using multivariable censored regression models, and logistic regression for the association between depression and incident hypertension diagnosis. All models used clustered robust standard errors to account for repeat measurements. The age-related increase in systolic BP was slightly lower among people with depression at baseline (beta = - 2.08 mmHg/10 years, 95% CI - 4.09 to - 0.07) compared to non-depressed. A similar trend was observed with diastolic BP (beta = - 0.88 mmHg/10 years, 95% CI - 2.15 to 0.39), albeit weaker and not statistically significant. Depression predicted the incidence of hypertension diagnosis (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.33 to 2.60). Our findings do not support the hypothesis that depression leads to CVD by increasing BP. Future research on the role of depression in the pathway to hypertension and CVD is warranted in larger cohorts, taking into account healthcare utilization as well as medication for depression and hypertension