Novel nomograms for survival and progression in HPV+ and HPV- oropharyngeal cancer:a population-based study of 1,542 consecutive patients

BACKGROUND: No study has combined tumour and clinical covariates for survival to construct an individual risk-profile for overall survival (OS), time to progression (TTP), and survival after progression (SAP) in patients with HPV+ and HPV– oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). Based on the largest-to-date, unselected, population-based cohort of patients diagnosed with OPSCC, we performed a comprehensive analysis of long-term OS, TTP, and SAP and constructed novel nomograms to evaluate patients' prognoses. RESULTS: At a median follow-up of 4.0 years (range: 0.8–15.8 yrs.), 690 deaths were recorded. The 5-year OS, TTP, and SAP for the HPV+/p16+ subgroup were 77%, 82%, and 33, vs. 30%, 66%, and 6% for the HPV–/p16– group (P < 0.01). 376 patients failed to maintain disease control with a median TTP of 13 months in the HPV+/p16+ subgroup vs. 8.5 months in the HPV–/p16– subgroup (P < 0.05). HPV combined with p16 status remained one of the most informative covariates in the final Cox regression model for OS, TTP, and SAP. METHODS: We included all patients diagnosed with OPSCC (n = 1,542) between 2000–2014 in Eastern Denmark. Survival rates were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to construct predictive, internally validated nomograms. CONCLUSION: The HPV+/p16+ subgroup had improved OS, TTP, and SAP compared with other combinations of HPV and p16 after adjusting for covariates. Nomograms were constructed for 1-, 5- and 10-year survival probability. Models may aid patients and clinicians in their clinical decision making as well as in counselling, research, and trial design

A Web-Based Intervention for Postpartum Depression. An Assessment of User Acceptability and Information System Evaluation

Treating and preventing postpartum depression is related to a number of attitudinal and practical barriers. Addressing these barriers are web-interventions using persuasive technology, aiming to identify women at risk, prevent development of depressive symptoms, and increase subjective well-being. The purpose of this study was to investigate persuasive features and acceptability among users of Mamma Mia ; a web-intervention for perinatal depression. Based on mixed-model design, semi-structured interviews were conducted on ten perinatal well-educated, employed women with partners (age 28-41). The statements derived from the interviews were unitized and coded into two theoretical and methodological frameworks; SWOT and Persuasive Systems Design (PSD) Model. Results from content and thematic analyses show that the PSD-model and SWOT framework capture significant aspects and qualities of persuasive features in explaining information systems interaction with its users. Thematic analysis indicates that the Mamma Mia intervention is perceived as acceptable, and professional, which are qualities predicting adherence. The study contributes support for assessing persuasive features to develop successful persuasive systems, utilizing specific persuasive features that predict adherence, and qualities of features to enhance user satisfaction, and effectiveness of mental health interventions

Data quality of the monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance diagnosis in a hospital registry

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the positive predictive value (PPV) and completeness of the monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) diagnosis coding in a hospital registry within a population-based health-care setting. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Through the Danish National Patient Registry (DNPR), we identified 627 patients registered with MGUS in two Danish regions during the period January 2001–February 2011. We reviewed the medical records of all patients registered with MGUS at the Department of Hematology, Aalborg University Hospital, and a sample of patients registered at the other three hematological departments in the two regions. We estimated the PPV of the MGUS diagnosis based on this sample of 327 medical records. We also estimated the completeness of the DNPR by linking data from the DNPR and data from a previously validated MGUS cohort of 791 patients identified through the laboratory system covering North Jutland Region. RESULTS: The diagnosis of MGUS was confirmed in 231 patients and assessed as probable in an additional 38 patients, corresponding to a PPV of 82.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 78.1%–86.4%). By contrast, 58 (17.7%) of the patients did not definitively meet the diagnostic criteria for MGUS. When we excluded patients registered with malignant monoclonal gammopathy recorded prior to or within the first year after registration of MGUS in the DNPR, the PPV increased to 88.3% (95% CI 84.5%–92.1%). The DNPR only registered a diagnosis of MGUS in 133 of the 791 MGUS patients identified through the laboratory system, corresponding to a completeness of 16.8% (95% CI 14.1%–19.6%). CONCLUSION: The PPV of the diagnosis coding for MGUS in the DNPR is high and can be further improved by simple data restriction. However, the low completeness raises concern that MGUS patients registered in the hospital system may be highly selected