Evaluation of equity mutual funds’ performance using a multicriteria methodology

The evaluation of the performance of mutual funds has been a very interesting research topic for not only researchers, but also for managers of financial, banking and investment institutions. In this study a well-known MCDA method based on the theory of outranking relations, the PROMETHEE II method (Preference Ranking Organisation Method for Enrichment Evaluations; [Brans and Vincke (1985)]) is used to develop outranking models for mutual funds’ performance. This method is applied on real-world data of mutual funds derived from the Association of Greek Institutional Investors. The results of the PROMETHEE II method are indicative of ranking the funds from the best to the worst ones according to their performance.peer-reviewe

A multicriteria hierarchical discrimination approach for credit risk problems

Recently, banks and credit institutions have shown an increased interest in developing and implementing credit-scoring systems for taking corporate and consumer credit granting decisions. The objective of such systems is to analyze the characteristics of each applicant (firm or individual) and support the decision making process regarding the acceptance or the rejection of the credit application. This paper addresses this problem through the use of a multicriteria classi - fication technique, the M.H.DIS method (Multi-group Hierarchical DIScrimination). M.H.DIS is applied to real-world case studies regarding the assessment of corporate credit risk and the evaluation of credit card applications. The results obtained through the M.H.DIS method are compared to the results of three wellknown statistical techniques, namely linear and quadratic discriminant analysis, as well as logit analysis.peer-reviewe

An application of multicriteria decision aid models in the prediction of open market share repurchases

This study presents the first attempt to develop classification models for the prediction of share repurchase announcements using multicriteria decision aid (MCDA) techniques. We use three samples consisting of 434 UK firms, 330 French firms, and 296 German firms, to develop country-specific models. The MCDA techniques that are applied for the development of the models are the UTilités Additives DIScriminantes (UTADIS) and the ELimination and Choice Expressing REality (ELECTRE) TRI. We adopt a 10-fold cross validation approach, a re-sampling technique that allows us to split the datasets in training and validation sub-samples. Thus, at the first stage of the analysis the aim is the development of a model capable of reproducing the classification of the firms considered in the training samples. Once this stage is completed, the model can be used for the classification of new firms not included in the training samples (i.e. validation stage). The results show that both MCDA models achieve quite satisfactory classification accuracies in the validation sample and they outperform both logistic regression and chance predictions. The developed models could provide the basis for a decision tool for various stakeholders such as managers, shareholders, and investment analysts

Binary choice models for external auditors decisions in Asian banks

Summarization: The present study investigates the efficiency of four classification techniques, namely discriminant analysis, logit analysis, UTADIS multicriteria decision aid, and nearest neighbours, in the development of classification models that could assist auditors during the examination of Asian commercial banks. To develop the auditing models and examine their classification ability, the dataset is split into two distinct samples. The training sample consists of 1,701 unqualified financial statements and 146 ones that received a qualified opinion over the period 1996–2001. The models are tested in a holdout sample of 527 unqualified financial statements and 52 ones that received a qualified opinion over the period 2002–2004. The results show that the developed auditing models can discriminate between financial statements that should receive qualified opinions from the ones that should receive unqualified opinions with an out-of-sample accuracy around 60%. The highest classification accuracy is achieved by UTADIS, followed by logit analysis, nearest neighbours and discriminant analysis. Both financial variables and the environment in which banks operate appear to be important factors.Presented on: Operational Research, An International Journa