109 research outputs found
Simultaneous appearance of leukemoid reaction and phlegmasia cerulea dolens
A leukemoid reaction is an extreme form of reactive leukocytosis defined as granulocytic
leukocytosis above 50
7 109/L produced by normal bone marrow, mostly in response to
systemic infection or cancer. The mechanism as to how the haematopoetic system is
altered to elevate production of myeloid cells is not known.
A 69-year-old man presented with phlegmasia cerulea dolens caused by massive iliofemoral
thrombosis. His workout at admission revealed absolute white blood cell count of 73.4
7 109/L,
with neutrophil granulocyte of 68.5
7 109/L. The new increase in white blood cell count
happened at day 5 after admission, when the haematoma of the anteromedial thigh was
evacuated in general anaesthesia. There was a gradual decrease in counts until they reached
the normal range. Deteriorated general condition with signs of systemic inflammatory
response syndrome improved with supportive therapy, and the patient was discharged from
hospital after 30 days. During hospitalization we did not identify any infectious focus, or any
malignancy. We could not exclude other occult chronic conditions (malignancy) but the
patient did not develop any other condition during 4.5 years of follow-up
Minimal-invasiver Zugang für EVAR: Chirurgisch oder rein interventionell?
Zusammenfassung: Komplikationen kommen sowohl beim rein chirurgischen als auch rein interventionellen (perkutanen) Gefäßzugang nicht selten vor. Sie beinhalten eine nicht zu unterschätzende Morbidität und können sogar zum Tod führen. Wir beschreiben eine Technik, die die Vorteile der chirurgisch offenen mit den rein perkutanen Zugangsmethoden kombiniert: die minimale chirurgische Freilegung des Zugangsgefäßes, gefolgt von einer schnellen und sicheren Punktion mittels einer modifizierten, offenen Seldinger-Technik unter direkter taktiler und visueller Kontrolle. Diese einzigartige Kombination verschiedener Techniken erhöht die Sicherheit des Gefäßzugangs derart, dass lokale Komplikationen fast vollständig vermieden werden können. Ökonomische und sicherheitsrelevante Betrachtungen werden diskutiert, abgerundet durch einen ausgewogenen Überblick über die Vorteile der verschiedenen Technike
Periskop-, Kamin- und Sandwichtechnik sowie VORTEC zur Vereinfachung der Behandlung von Aneurysmen der Aorta abdominalis und thoracoabdominalis
Zusammenfassung: VORTEC (Viabahn Open Revascularisation TEChnique) und die Kaminprothesentechnik sind Verfahren zur Erhaltung oder Wiederherstellung des Blutflusses von Aortenästen, die geplant oder als Notlösung bei offener Operation oder endovaskulärem Vorgehen eingesetzt werden können. VORTEC ist eine stentbasierte vaskuläre Verbindungstechnik zur Herstellung einer End-zu-End-Anastomose, die insbesondere geeignet ist, wenn die herkömmliche Nahttechnik schwierig ist (sein könnte). Es handelt sich um ein schnelles Verfahren, das praktisch ohne Blutflussunterbrechung und ohne Anastomosenblutung ist, die Durchgängigkeitsraten sind ähnlich gut wie bei Nahtanastomosen. Die Kamin-Periskop-Sandwich-Prothesentechnik ("chimney/periscope and sandwich graft technique”, CHIMPES) ist ein endovaskuläres Verfahren, bei dem parallele Endoprothesen zur Erhaltung oder Wiederherstellung des Blutflusses von Aortenästen verwendet werden, während ein herkömmlicher Aortenstent oberhalb ihres Ursprungs platziert wird. Es ist ein relativ schnelles Verfahren mit der Möglichkeit, selbst in Notfällen handelsübliche Produkte zu verwenden. Bei der Sandwichtechnik verlaufen parallele Prothesen zwischen 2Aortenstents. Publizierten Erfahrungen zufolge scheinen diese beiden Techniken besonders für die Behandlung von Aneurysmen der Aortenäste und der Aorta thoracoabdominalis geeignet zu sein, vor allem in Hochrisiko- oder Akutfällen. Die englische Volltextversion dieses Beitrags ist über SpringerLink (unter "Supplemental") verfügba
The Gore Hybrid Vascular Graft in renovisceral debranching for complex aortic aneurysm repair
Objective This study reports our initial experience with the Gore Hybrid Vascular Graft (GHVG; W. L. Gore & Associates, Flagstaff, Ariz) for staged hybrid open renovisceral debranching and endovascular aneurysm repair in patients affected by thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms and pararenal abdominal aortic aneurysms (PAAAs). Methods Between December 2012 and December 2013, we analyzed outcomes of 13 patients who underwent open surgical debranching of renovisceral vessels for thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm and PAAAs. All patients were considered at high risk for conventional surgery. Inclusion criterion was treatment by open surgical debranching of at least one visceral artery (renal artery, superior mesenteric artery [SMA], or celiac trunk [CT]) using the GHVG. In a second step, the aortic stent graft was implanted to exclude the aneurysm. If required, parallel grafts to the remaining visceral arteries were deployed in the same procedure. One patient had a symptomatic descending thoracic aortic aneurysm and another had a ruptured PAAA. Perioperative measured outcomes were immediate technical success rate, mortality, and morbidity. Median follow-up was 24.8 months (range, 0-15; mean, 8.2; standard deviation, 4 months). Results All open surgical debranching of renovisceral vessels were completed as intended. GHVG was used to revascularize 20 visceral vessels in 13 patients with a mean of 1.54 vessels per patient. Six renal arteries (30%; 2 right and 4 left), 9 SMAs (45%), and 5 CTs (25%) were debranched. In nine of 13 (66%) patients, other renovisceral arteries were addressed with chimney/periscope, Viabahn Open Revascularization Technique, and end-to-side anastomosis. Two of 13 patients (15%) died of bowel ischemia. Neither patient had GHVG revascularization to the SMA or CT. Perioperative complications occurred in three patients (23%; 1 renal hematoma, 1 respiratory insufficiency, and 1 small-bowel ischemia related to a SMA GHVG thrombosis). At 24 months, estimated survival was 85%, and estimated primary and secondary patency were 94% and 100%, respectively. Conclusions This limited series extracted from a more consistent hybrid procedure experience showed a mortality rate similar to most recent reports. Technical feasibility and the short-term patency rate of the GHVG for renovisceral debranching during staged hybrid open and endovascular procedures were satisfactory. Use of GHVGs may represent a useful revascularization adjunct to minimize visceral ischemia in these challenging patients
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Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Background
Accurate assessments of current and future fertility—including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions—are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour supply, education, gender equality, and family planning and support. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 produced up-to-date and comprehensive demographic assessments of key fertility indicators at global, regional, and national levels from 1950 to 2021 and forecast fertility metrics to 2100 based on a reference scenario and key policy-dependent alternative scenarios.
Methods
To estimate fertility indicators from 1950 to 2021, mixed-effects regression models and spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression were used to synthesise data from 8709 country-years of vital and sample registrations, 1455 surveys and censuses, and 150 other sources, and to generate age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) for 5-year age groups from age 10 years to 54 years. ASFRs were summed across age groups to produce estimates of total fertility rate (TFR). Livebirths were calculated by multiplying ASFR and age-specific female population, then summing across ages 10–54 years. To forecast future fertility up to 2100, our Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) forecasting model was based on projections of completed cohort fertility at age 50 years (CCF50; the average number of children born over time to females from a specified birth cohort), which yields more stable and accurate measures of fertility than directly modelling TFR. CCF50 was modelled using an ensemble approach in which three sub-models (with two, three, and four covariates variously consisting of female educational attainment, contraceptive met need, population density in habitable areas, and under-5 mortality) were given equal weights, and analyses were conducted utilising the MR-BRT (meta-regression—Bayesian, regularised, trimmed) tool. To capture time-series trends in CCF50 not explained by these covariates, we used a first-order autoregressive model on the residual term. CCF50 as a proportion of each 5-year ASFR was predicted using a linear mixed-effects model with fixed-effects covariates (female educational attainment and contraceptive met need) and random intercepts for geographical regions. Projected TFRs were then computed for each calendar year as the sum of single-year ASFRs across age groups. The reference forecast is our estimate of the most likely fertility future given the model, past fertility, forecasts of covariates, and historical relationships between covariates and fertility. We additionally produced forecasts for multiple alternative scenarios in each location: the UN Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) for education is achieved by 2030; the contraceptive met need SDG is achieved by 2030; pro-natal policies are enacted to create supportive environments for those who give birth; and the previous three scenarios combined. Uncertainty from past data inputs and model estimation was propagated throughout analyses by taking 1000 draws for past and present fertility estimates and 500 draws for future forecasts from the estimated distribution for each metric, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) given as the 2·5 and 97·5 percentiles of the draws. To evaluate the forecasting performance of our model and others, we computed skill values—a metric assessing gain in forecasting accuracy—by comparing predicted versus observed ASFRs from the past 15 years (2007–21). A positive skill metric indicates that the model being evaluated performs better than the baseline model (here, a simplified model holding 2007 values constant in the future), and a negative metric indicates that the evaluated model performs worse than baseline.
Findings
During the period from 1950 to 2021, global TFR more than halved, from 4·84 (95% UI 4·63–5·06) to 2·23 (2·09–2·38). Global annual livebirths peaked in 2016 at 142 million (95% UI 137–147), declining to 129 million (121–138) in 2021. Fertility rates declined in all countries and territories since 1950, with TFR remaining above 2·1—canonically considered replacement-level fertility—in 94 (46·1%) countries and territories in 2021. This included 44 of 46 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, which was the super-region with the largest share of livebirths in 2021 (29·2% [28·7–29·6]). 47 countries and territories in which lowest estimated fertility between 1950 and 2021 was below replacement experienced one or more subsequent years with higher fertility; only three of these locations rebounded above replacement levels. Future fertility rates were projected to continue to decline worldwide, reaching a global TFR of 1·83 (1·59–2·08) in 2050 and 1·59 (1·25–1·96) in 2100 under the reference scenario. The number of countries and territories with fertility rates remaining above replacement was forecast to be 49 (24·0%) in 2050 and only six (2·9%) in 2100, with three of these six countries included in the 2021 World Bank-defined low-income group, all located in the GBD super-region of sub-Saharan Africa. The proportion of livebirths occurring in sub-Saharan Africa was forecast to increase to more than half of the world's livebirths in 2100, to 41·3% (39·6–43·1) in 2050 and 54·3% (47·1–59·5) in 2100. The share of livebirths was projected to decline between 2021 and 2100 in most of the six other super-regions—decreasing, for example, in south Asia from 24·8% (23·7–25·8) in 2021 to 16·7% (14·3–19·1) in 2050 and 7·1% (4·4–10·1) in 2100—but was forecast to increase modestly in the north Africa and Middle East and high-income super-regions. Forecast estimates for the alternative combined scenario suggest that meeting SDG targets for education and contraceptive met need, as well as implementing pro-natal policies, would result in global TFRs of 1·65 (1·40–1·92) in 2050 and 1·62 (1·35–1·95) in 2100. The forecasting skill metric values for the IHME model were positive across all age groups, indicating that the model is better than the constant prediction.
Interpretation
Fertility is declining globally, with rates in more than half of all countries and territories in 2021 below replacement level. Trends since 2000 show considerable heterogeneity in the steepness of declines, and only a small number of countries experienced even a slight fertility rebound after their lowest observed rate, with none reaching replacement level. Additionally, the distribution of livebirths across the globe is shifting, with a greater proportion occurring in the lowest-income countries. Future fertility rates will continue to decline worldwide and will remain low even under successful implementation of pro-natal policies. These changes will have far-reaching economic and societal consequences due to ageing populations and declining workforces in higher-income countries, combined with an increasing share of livebirths among the already poorest regions of the world
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