Utilizing risk-controlling prediction calibration to reduce false alarm rates in epileptic seizure prediction

IntroductionEpilepsy is a neurological disease characterized by sudden, unprovoked seizures. The unexpected nature of epileptic seizures is a major component of the disease burden. Predicting seizure onset and alarming patients may allow timely intervention, which would improve clinical outcomes and patient quality of life. Currently, algorithms aiming to predict seizures suffer from a high false alarm rate, rendering them unsuitable for clinical use.MethodsWe adopted here a risk-controllingprediction calibration method called Learn then Test to reduce false alarm rates of seizure prediction. This method calibrates the output of a “black-box” model to meet a specified false alarm rate requirement. The method was initially validated on synthetic data and subsequently tested on publicly available electroencephalogram (EEG) records from 15 patients with epilepsy by calibrating the outputs of a deep learning model.Results and discussionValidation showed that the calibration method rigorously controlled the false alarm rate at a user-desired level after our adaptation. Real data testing showed an average of 92% reduction in the false alarm rate, at the cost of missing four of nine seizures of six patients. Better-performing prediction models combined with the proposed method may facilitate the clinical use of real-time seizure prediction systems

Experimentally revealing anomalously large dipoles in the dielectric of a quantum circuit

Quantum two-level systems (TLSs) intrinsic to glasses induce decoherence in many modern quantum devices, such as superconducting qubits. Although the low-temperature physics of these TLSs is usually well-explained by a phenomenological standard tunneling model of independent TLSs, the nature of these TLSs, as well as their behavior out of equilibrium and at high energies above 1 K, remain inconclusive. Here we measure the non-equilibrium dielectric loss of TLSs in amorphous silicon using a superconducting resonator, where energies of TLSs are varied in time using a swept electric field. Our results show the existence of two distinct ensembles of TLSs, interacting weakly and strongly with phonons, where the latter also possesses anomalously large electric dipole moment. These results may shed new light on the low temperature characteristics of amorphous solids, and hold implications to experiments and applications in quantum devices using time-varying electric fields

Roadmap on Superoscillations

Superoscillations are band-limited functions with the counterintuitive property that they can vary arbitrarily faster than their fastest Fourier component, over arbitrarily long intervals. Modern studies originated in quantum theory, but there were anticipations in radar and optics. The mathematical understanding—still being explored—recognises that functions are extremely small where they superoscillate; this has implications for information theory. Applications to optical vortices, sub-wavelength microscopy and related areas of nanoscience are now moving from the theoretical and the demonstrative to the practical. This Roadmap surveys all these areas, providing background, current research, and anticipating future developments

Roadmap on superoscillations

Superoscillations are band-limited functions with the counterintuitive property that they can vary arbitrarily faster than their fastest Fourier component, over arbitrarily long intervals. Modern studies originated in quantum theory, but there were anticipations in radar and optics. The mathematical understanding—still being explored—recognises that functions are extremely small where they superoscillate; this has implications for information theory. Applications to optical vortices, sub-wavelength microscopy and related areas of nanoscience are now moving from the theoretical and the demonstrative to the practical. This Roadmap surveys all these areas, providing background, current research, and anticipating future developments