Traitement des incertitudes des avis à dire d'expert pour l'évaluation de la sûreté des digues

3rd European Conference on Flood Risk Management FLOODrisk 2016, Lyon, FRA, 17-/10/2016 - 21/10/2016International audienceIn France, levees remain most of the time badly maintained; these long linear structures show signs of weaknesses on numerous occasions. Only incomplete information is usually available. The general lack of data describing the behaviour of the infrastructure during unwanted events led to estimate their safety mainly from expert judgement. Thus the ability of the expert to predict the level of functioning of an infrastructure for a type of hazard and its intensity is crucial. An error of judgement can have very serious consequences and the production of reliable information requires the ability of the expert to report accurately the uncertainties in its estimations, as well as associated confidence. In order to meet this need, our research within Incertu project (French Ministry of Ecology funding) aims to produce relevant scientific approaches and tools for the collection and processing reliable experts'statements or combined with a confidence level in the context of uncertain information and input data

Modified differentials and basic cohomology for Riemannian foliations

We define a new version of the exterior derivative on the basic forms of a Riemannian foliation to obtain a new form of basic cohomology that satisfies Poincar\'e duality in the transversally orientable case. We use this twisted basic cohomology to show relationships between curvature, tautness, and vanishing of the basic Euler characteristic and basic signature.Comment: 20 pages, references added, minor corrections mad

Racial Disparities in Patients with Stage IIIC Endometrial Cancer

Purpose/Objective(s): To report the impact of race on clinical outcomes in patients with stage IIIC endometrial carcinoma (EC). Materials/Methods: A retrospective multi-institutional cohort study was conducted across 13 Northern American academic centers and included patients with stage IIIC endometrial carcinoma (EC) who received both chemotherapy and radiation in an adjuvant setting. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were calculated by Kaplan-Meier method. Univariable and multivariable analysis were performed by Cox proportional hazard models for RFS/OS. Propensity score matching was used to estimate the effect of race on survival outcomes. Statistical analyses were conducted using statistical software. Results: A total of 90 Black and 568 non-Black patients (83%) were identified with a median age at diagnosis of 62 (Interquartile Range (IQR) 55-70). Median follow-up was 45.3 months (IQR 24-71 months). Black patients were significantly older (p\u3c0.0001), had significantly more non-endometrioid histology (p\u3c0.0001), grade 3 tumors (p\u3c0.0001) and were more likely to have \u3e1 positive paraaortic lymph nodes (PALN) compared to non-black patients. The presence of lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI), depth of myometrial involvement, number of total nodes involved, adnexal and cervical involvement and stage were not correlated with race (all p\u3e0.1). As for treatment type, chemoradiotherapy sequencing approach was not correlated with race and no difference in number of chemotherapy cycles between Black and non-Black patients (p=0.32) was observed. Black patients were more often treated with external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) (43.3% and 24%, respectively) while a higher proportion of non-black patients received both EBRT and vaginal cuff brachytherapy (VBT) (65% vs. 38 %) (P\u3c0.0001) despite similar cervical involvement. The 5-year estimated OS and RFS rates were 45% and 47% compared to 77% and 68% for Black patients vs. non-black patients, respectively (p\u3c0.001). After propensity score matching, the 2 groups were well balanced for most of the covariates (age, histology, stage, grade, number of positive PALN, adnexal and cervical involvement) except for depth of myometrial invasion and radiation type. The estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of Black vs. non-Black patients were 1.613 (95% CI = (1.01, 2.575), p-value = 0.045) for OS and 1.487 (95% CI = (0.906, 2.440), p-value = 0.116) for RFS, indicating that Black patients have significantly worse OS. RFS differences did not reach statistical significance. Conclusion: Compared to non-Black patients, Black patients have higher rates of non-endometrioid histology, grade 3 tumors and number of PALNs. After propensity score matching, Black patients had worse OS but no statistically significant difference in RFS. Racial disparities could be mitigated by better access to care, equitable inclusion on randomized trials, and identification of genomic/molecular differences to better tailor adjuvant treatment

A Multi-Institutional Analysis of Adjuvant Chemotherapy and Radiation Sequence in Women With Stage IIIC Endometrial Cancer

PURPOSE: Our purpose was to evaluate the effect of sequence and type of adjuvant therapy for patients with stage IIIC endometrial carcinoma (EC) on outcomes. METHODS AND MATERIALS: In a multi-institutional retrospective cohort study, patients with stage IIIC EC who had surgical staging and received both adjuvant chemotherapy and radiation therapy (RT) were included. Adjuvant treatment regimens were classified as adjuvant chemotherapy followed by sequential RT (upfront chemo), which was predominant sequence; RT with concurrent chemotherapy followed by chemotherapy (concurrent); systemic chemotherapy before and after RT (sandwich); adjuvant RT followed by chemotherapy (upfront RT); or chemotherapy concurrent with vaginal cuff brachytherapy alone (chemo-brachy). Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: A total of 686 eligible patients were included with a median follow-up of 45.3 months. The estimated 5-year OS and RFS rates were 74% and 66%, respectively. The sequence and type of adjuvant therapy were not correlated with OS or RFS (adjusted P = .68 and .84, respectively). On multivariate analysis, black race, nonendometrioid histology, grade 3 tumor, stage IIIC2, and presence of adnexal and cervical involvement were associated with worse OS and RFS (all P \u3c .05). Regardless of the sequence of treatment, the most common site of first recurrence was distant metastasis (20.1%). Vaginal only, pelvic only, and paraortic lymph node (PALN) recurrences occurred in 11 (1.6%),15 (2.2 %), and 43 (6.3 %) patients, respectively. Brachytherapy alone was associated with a higher rate of PALN recurrence (15%) compared with external beam radiation therapy (5%) P \u3c .0001. CONCLUSIONS: The sequence and type of combined adjuvant therapy did not affect OS or RFS rates. Brachytherapy alone was associated with a higher rate of PALN recurrence, emphasizing the role of nodal radiation for stage IIIC EC. The vast proportion of recurrences were distant despite systemic chemotherapy, highlighting the need for novel regimens

Phase IIa trial in Duchenne muscular dystrophy shows vamorolone is a first-in-class dissociative steroidal anti-inflammatory drug

\ua9 2018 The Authors We report a first-in-patient study of vamorolone, a first-in-class dissociative steroidal anti-inflammatory drug, in Duchenne muscular dystrophy. This 2-week, open-label Phase IIa multiple ascending dose study (0.25, 0.75, 2.0, and 6.0 mg/kg/day) enrolled 48 boys with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (4 to <7 years), with outcomes including clinical safety, pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamic biomarkers. The study design included pharmacodynamic biomarkers in three contexts of use: 1. Secondary outcomes for pharmacodynamic safety (insulin resistance, adrenal suppression, bone turnover); 2. Exploratory outcomes for drug mechanism of action; 3. Exploratory outcomes for expanded pharmacodynamic safety. Vamorolone was safe and well-tolerated through the highest dose tested (6.0 mg/kg/day) and pharmacokinetics of vamorolone were similar to prednisolone. Using pharmacodynamic biomarkers, the study demonstrated improved safety of vamorolone versus glucocorticoids as shown by reduction of insulin resistance, beneficial changes in bone turnover (loss of increased bone resorption and decreased bone formation only at the highest dose level), and a reduction in adrenal suppression. Exploratory biomarkers of pharmacodynamic efficacy showed an anti-inflammatory mechanism of action and a beneficial effect on plasma membrane stability, as demonstrated by a dose-responsive decrease in serum creatine kinase activity. With an array of pre-selected biomarkers in multiple contexts of use, we demonstrate the development of the first dissociative steroid that preserves anti-inflammatory efficacy and decreases steroid-associated safety concerns. Ongoing extension studies offer the potential to bridge exploratory efficacy biomarkers to clinical outcomes

Genetički polimorfizmi u dijabetesu: Utjecaj na terapiju oralnim antidijabeticima

Due to new genetic insights, etiologic classification of diabetes is under constant scrutiny. Hundreds, or even thousands, of genes are linked with type 2 diabetes. Three common variants (Lys23 of KCNJ11, Pro12 of PPARG, and the T allele at rs7903146 of TCF7L2) have been shown to be predisposed to type 2 diabetes mellitus across many large studies. Individually, each of these polymorphisms is only moderately predisposed to type 2 diabetes. On the other hand, monogenic forms of diabetes such as MODY and neonatal diabetes are characterized by unique clinical features and the possibility of applying a tailored treatment. Genetic polymorphisms in drug-metabolizing enzymes, transporters, receptors, and other drug targets have been linked to interindividual differences in the efficacy and toxicity of a number of medications. Mutations in genes important in drug absorption, distribution, metabolism and excretion (ADME) play a critical role in pharmacogenetics of diabetes. There are currently five major classes of oral pharmacological agents available to treat type 2 diabetes: sulfonylureas, meglitinides, metformin (a biguanide), thiazolidinediones, and α-glucosidase inhibitors. Other classes are also mentioned in literature. In this work, different types of genetic mutations (mutations of the gene for glucokinase, HNF 1, HNF1ß and Kir6.2 and SUR1 subunit of KATP channel, PPAR-γ, OCT1 and OCT2, cytochromes, direct drug-receptor (KCNJ11), as well as the factors that influence the development of the disease (TCF7L2) and variants of genes that lead to hepatosteatosis caused by thiazolidinediones) and their influence on the response to therapy with oral antidiabetics will be reviewed.Dijabetes tipa 2 dosegao je proporcije epidemije u SAD (> 18 milijuna) i cijelom svijetu (170 milijuna oboljelih osoba) te ima tendenciju daljnjeg dramatičnog rasta. Stoga se u posljednje vrijeme ulažu napori da se otkriju i razviju novi farmakološki agensi za liječenje ove bolesti. Klasifikacija šećerne bolesti proširena je uspjesima istraživača na području genetike. Da bismo razumjeli farmakogenetiku antidijabetika neophodno je razumjeti genetiku samog dijabetesa. Kao što će biti prikazano u ovom radu veliki broj gena koji su povezani s razvojem dijabetesa takođe utječu i na odgovor na terapiju antidijabeticima. S druge strane, mutacije gena koji utječu na ADME (apsorpcija, distribucija, metabolizam i ekskrecija) lijeka imaju značajan utjecaj na farmakogenetiku oralnih antidijabetika. Utvrđeno je da je dijabetes genetički heterogena bolest. Uobičajeni oblici dijabetesa su gotovo uvijek poligenski i za razvoj same bolesti vrlo su značajne snažne interakcije među različitim genima kao i između gena i okoliša. Zbog toga mutacije ili polimorfizmi koji u manjoj mjeri utječu na funkciju gena mogu postati klinički značajni samo u slučaju kada se kombiniraju s drugim faktorima odnosno genima. Smatra se da u razvoju dijabetesa mogu sudjelovati stotine pa čak i tisuće gena. Do 2006. identificirano je nekoliko uobičajenih alela koji povećavaju rizik za razvoj dijabetesa, od kojih su najznačajniji PPARG (Pro12), KCNJ11 (Lys23) i TCF7L2 (T na rs7903146). Do danas je najveći uspjeh postignut u identifikaciji gena odgovornih za razmjerno rijetke oblike ove bolesti poput ”Maturity-onset diabetes of the young” (MODY) i neonatalnog dijabetesa. Monogenske oblike dijabetesa odlikuju jedinstvene kliničke karakteristike i mogućnost primjene individualnog tretmana. Genetički polimorfizmi enzima koji utječu na metabolizam lijekova, transportera, receptora i drugih ciljeva djelovanja lijekova povezani su s interindividualnim razlikama u efikasnosti i toksičnosti mnogih lijekova. Vrlo je važno da se na temelju farmakogenetičkih istraživanja mogu predvidjeti neki neželjeni efekti lijekova. Trenutačno postoji pet glavnih klasa oralnih antidijabetika: sulfoniluree, meglitinidi, metformin (bigvanid), tiazolidindioni i inhibitori α-glukozidaze. U literaturi se također spominju inhibitori dipeptidil peptidaze IV (DPP-IV), selektivni antagonisti kanabinoidnog receptora 1 (CB-1), glukagonu slični peptid 1 mimetici i amilin mimetici. Razumijevanje mehanizama koji rezultiraju disfunkcijom β stanica na fiziološkom i molekularnom nivou neophodno je za napredak u razumijevanju tretmana dijabetesa. U ovom radu dat je pregled različitih genetičkih mutacija (mutacije gena za glukokinazu, HNF 1, HNF1ß, Kir6.2 i SUR 1 podjedinicu KATP kanala ß stanica, PPAR-γ, OCT1 i OCT2, citohrome, KCNJ11, faktore koji utječu na razvoj bolesti (TCF7L2) i varijante gena koji dovode do hepatosteatoze uzrokovane tiazolidindionima) te njihov utjecaj na odgovor na terapiju oralnim antidijabeticima

Necrotrophism Is a Quorum-Sensing-Regulated Lifestyle in Bacillus thuringiensis

How pathogenic bacteria infect and kill their host is currently widely investigated. In comparison, the fate of pathogens after the death of their host receives less attention. We studied Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) infection of an insect host, and show that NprR, a quorum sensor, is active after death of the insect and allows Bt to survive in the cadavers as vegetative cells. Transcriptomic analysis revealed that NprR regulates at least 41 genes, including many encoding degradative enzymes or proteins involved in the synthesis of a nonribosomal peptide named kurstakin. These degradative enzymes are essential in vitro to degrade several substrates and are specifically expressed after host death suggesting that Bt has an active necrotrophic lifestyle in the cadaver. We show that kurstakin is essential for Bt survival during necrotrophic development. It is required for swarming mobility and biofilm formation, presumably through a pore forming activity. A nprR deficient mutant does not develop necrotrophically and does not sporulate efficiently in the cadaver. We report that necrotrophism is a highly regulated mechanism essential for the Bt infectious cycle, contributing to spore spreading