13 research outputs found

    The Java tsunami model: Using highly-resolved data to model the past event and to estimate the future hazard

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    This study is to validate the tsunami model with extensive field observation data gathered from the 2006 Java tsunami. In the relevant study area, where highly-resolved geometric data were recently made available and other related posttsunami field data have been collected, the tsunami maximum run-up onto land and its marigram have been simulated and evaluated. Several plausible tsunami sources are proposed to adequately mimic the 2006 Java tsunami by including the influence of low rigidity material in the accretionary prism as well as its single-multi fault source type's effect. Since it has a significant role on tsunami excitation, this parameter and other assumptions are then employed to study an estimated set of reasonable maximum magnitude earthquake-tsunami scenario and projected inundation areas for probable future tsunami on the South Java coastline. In a final step tentative technical mitigation measures are proposed and assessed to deal with adequate coastal protection issues by means of soft (greenbelt, etc.) and hard engineering (sand dunes, etc.) approaches. Their effectiveness in terms of reducing inundation area is assessed and general recommendations for coastal planning authorities are dealt with

    South Java tsunami model using highly resolved data and probable tsunamigenic sources

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    Model validation and error estimation of tsunami runup using high resolution data in Sadeng Port, Gunungkidul, Yogyakarta

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    A tsunami model using high resolution geometric data is indispensable in efforts to tsunami mitigation, especially in tsunami prone areas. It is one of the factors that affect the accuracy results of numerical modeling of tsunami. Sadeng Port is a new infrastructure in the Southern Coast of Java which could potentially hit by massive tsunami from seismic gap. This paper discusses validation and error estimation of tsunami model created using high resolution geometric data in Sadeng Port. Tsunami model validation uses the height wave of Tsunami Pangandaran 2006 recorded by Tide Gauge of Sadeng. Tsunami model will be used to accommodate the tsunami numerical modeling involves the parameters of earthquake-tsunami which is derived from the seismic gap. The validation results using t-test (student) shows that the height of the tsunami modeling results and observation in Tide Gauge of Sadeng are considered statistically equal at 95% confidence level and the value of the RMSE and NRMSE are 0.428 m and 22.12%, while the differences of tsunami wave travel time is 12 minutes

    Spatial correlation of the maximum shear strain loading rate and the correlation dimension along the Sumatra subduction margin for potential earthquake and tsunami hazard study and analysis

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    ABSTRACTThe potential earthquake and tsunami hazard along the Sumatra subduction margin, especially around the coast of West Sumatra-Bengkulu, was investigated based on the availability of pre-seismic surface displacement data and shallow crustal earthquake catalogue data from 1907 to 2016. The pre-seismic surface displacement data is based on the displacement data prior to and corrected displacement data after major earthquakes. Using the results of our previous study on the local covariance function and the relationship of Correlation Dimension (DC) with the b-value of Gutenberg-Richter (GR) Law, we estimated the maximum horizontal crustal strain rate (SHmax) and DC around the study area. Least squares prediction based on horizontal displacement data using the local covariance function is used to estimate the displacement model in the entire gridding study area with a 10 km × 10 km size. Furthermore, DC is calculated based on the b-value using the maximum likelihood method based on the input of a constant number of earthquake samples, assuming the regional b-value of GR Law equals 1. Furthermore, the spatial correlation of SHmax and DC can define the area of possible earthquake hazard potential. The identification results are then linked with previous stress reconstruction results for seismic hazard study and analysis. Based on the finding, we then estimate the Seismic Hazard Function (SHF) and Tsunami Height simulation to estimate the possible hazard risk at several observation points. We suggest that the result of this study could be beneficial to understand better the potential seismic and tsunami hazard in the future, mainly to support mitigation purposes

    Extreme run-up from the 17 July 2006 Java tsunami

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    Summarization: The 17 July 2006 magnitude Mw 7.8 earthquake off the south coast of western Java, Indonesia, generated a tsunami that effected over 300 km of coastline and killed more than 600 people, with locally focused runup heights exceeding 20 m. This slow earthquake was hardly felt on Java, and wind waves breaking masked any preceding withdrawal of the water from the shoreline, making this tsunami difficult to detect before impact. An International Tsunami Survey Team was deployed within one week and the investigation covered more than 600 km of coastline. Measured tsunami heights and run-up distributions were uniform at 5 to 7 m along 200 km of coast; however there was a pronounced peak on the south coast of Nusa Kambangan, where the tsunami impact carved a sharp trimline in a forest at elevations up to 21 m and 1 km inland. Local flow depth exceeded 8 m along the elevated coastal plain between the beach and the hill slope. We infer that the focused tsunami and runup heights on the island suggest a possible local submarine slump or mass movement.Presented on: Geophysical Research Letter

    The September 28th, 2018, Tsunami In Palu-Sulawesi, Indonesia: A Post-Event Field Survey

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    On September 28th, 2018, a powerful earthquake (Mw 7.5) struck the Island of Sulawesi in Indonesia. The earthquake was followed by a destructive and deadly tsunami that hit the Bay of Palu. A UNESCO international tsunami survey team responded to the disaster and surveyed 125 km of coastline along the Palu Bay up to the earthquake epicentre region. The team performed 78 tsunami runup and inundation height measurements throughout the surveyed coastline. Measured values reached 9.1 m for the runup height and 8.7 m for the inundation height, both at Benteng village. The survey team also identified ten large coastal sectors that collapsed into the sea of Palu Bay after the earthquake. The distribution of the measured tsunami data within Palu Bay exhibits a clear localised impact suggesting the contribution of secondary non-seismic local sources to the generation of the tsunami. Findings of the field reconnaissance are discussed to provide an insight into the remaining debated source of the Palu tsunami.JRC.E.1-Disaster Risk Managemen
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