Prediction of dissolved reactive phosphorus losses from small agricultural catchments: calibration and validation of a parsimonious model

Eutrophication of surface waters due to diffuse phosphorus (P) losses continues to be a severe water quality problem worldwide, causing the loss of ecosystem functions of the respective water bodies. Phosphorus in runoff often originates from a small fraction of a catchment only. Targeting mitigation measures to these critical source areas (CSAs) is expected to be most efficient and cost-effective, but requires suitable tools. <br><br> Here we investigated the capability of the parsimonious Rainfall-Runoff-Phosphorus (RRP) model to identify CSAs in grassland-dominated catchments based on readily available soil and topographic data. After simultaneous calibration on runoff data from four small hilly catchments on the Swiss Plateau, the model was validated on a different catchment in the same region without further calibration. The RRP model adequately simulated the discharge and dissolved reactive P (DRP) export from the validation catchment. Sensitivity analysis showed that the model predictions were robust with respect to the classification of soils into "poorly drained" and "well drained", based on the available soil map. Comparing spatial hydrological model predictions with field data from the validation catchment provided further evidence that the assumptions underlying the model are valid and that the model adequately accounts for the dominant P export processes in the target region. Thus, the parsimonious RRP model is a valuable tool that can be used to determine CSAs. Despite the considerable predictive uncertainty regarding the spatial extent of CSAs, the RRP can provide guidance for the implementation of mitigation measures. The model helps to identify those parts of a catchment where high DRP losses are expected or can be excluded with high confidence. Legacy P was predicted to be the dominant source for DRP losses and thus, in combination with hydrologic active areas, a high risk for water quality

Imperfect Homoclinic Bifurcations

Experimental observations of an almost symmetric electronic circuit show complicated sequences of bifurcations. These results are discussed in the light of a theory of imperfect global bifurcations. It is shown that much of the dynamics observed in the circuit can be understood by reference to imperfect homoclinic bifurcations without constructing an explicit mathematical model of the system.Comment: 8 pages, 11 figures, submitted to PR

Comparative predictions of discharge from an artificial catchment (Chicken Creek) using sparse data

Ten conceptually different models in predicting discharge from the artificial Chicken Creek catchment in North-East Germany were used for this study. Soil texture and topography data were given to the modellers, but discharge data was withheld. We compare the predictions with the measurements from the 6 ha catchment and discuss the conceptualization and parameterization of the models. The predictions vary in a wide range, e.g. with the predicted actual evapotranspiration ranging from 88 to 579 mm/y and the discharge from 19 to 346 mm/y. The predicted components of the hydrological cycle deviated systematically from the observations, which were not known to the modellers. Discharge was mainly predicted as subsurface discharge with little direct runoff. In reality, surface runoff was a major flow component despite the fairly coarse soil texture. The actual evapotranspiration (AET) and the ratio between actual and potential ET was systematically overestimated by nine of the ten models. None of the model simulations came even close to the observed water balance for the entire 3-year study period. The comparison indicates that the personal judgement of the modellers was a major source of the differences between the model results. The most important parameters to be presumed were the soil parameters and the initial soil-water content while plant parameterization had, in this particular case of sparse vegetation, only a minor influence on the results

Surface Grafting of Poly(L-glutamates). 3. Block Copolymerization

This paper describes for the first time the synthesis of surface-grafted AB-block copolypeptides, consisting of poly(γ-benzyl L-glutamate) (PBLG) as the A-block and poly(γ-methyl L-glutamate) (PMLG) as the B-block. Immobilized primary amine groups of (γ-aminopropyl)triethoxysilane (APS) on silicon wafers initiated the ring-opening polymerization of N-carboxyanhydrides of glutamic acid esters (NCAs). After removal of the BLG-NCA monomer solution after a certain reaction time, the amine end groups of the formed PBLG blocks acted as initiators for the second monomers. This method provides the possibility of making layered structures of surface-grafted block copolymers with tuned properties. Ellipsometry and small-angle X-ray reflection (SAXR) measurements revealed the thickness of the polypeptide layers ranging from 45-100 Å of the first block to 140-270 Å for the total block copolypeptides. The chemical composition of the blocks was determined by X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS). In addition, Fourier transform infrared transmission spectroscopy (FT-IR) revealed that the polypeptide main chains of both blocks consisted of pure R-helices. The average orientation of the helices ranging from 22-42° with respect to the substrate within the first block to 31-35° in the second block could be derived with FT-IR as well.

Porosity estimation of (Moso bamboo) by computed tomography and backscattered electron imaging

This study aims to investigate and quantify the porosity in the cross section of Phyllostachys edulis (Moso bamboo) culm wall. The porosity results are expected to be utilised in numerical study of heat and moisture transfer. Computed tomography (CT) and backscattered electron (BSE) imaging methods are utilised in this study because these two methods allow measurements of the anisotropic features of bamboo specimens. The results of these two methods can be represented as the function of the real dimension rather than the pore size distribution of the specimen. The specimens are obtained from eight different locations along the Moso bamboo culms. Both internodes and nodes specimens are measured in this study. The average porosity, standard deviation (SD) and coefficient of variation (COV) are calculated for BSE and CT results. Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient (PPMCC) is also calculated in this study to analyse the correlation between the BSE results and CT results. Typical porosity results from 400 sampling points and 10 portions average porosity are analysed in this study. The CT scanning results show similar trend with BSE results. The correlation relationship between BSE and CT results approaches moderate correlation level to strong correlation level. The average porosity of internode specimens is from 43.9 to 58.8 % by BSE measurement and from 44.9 to 63.4 % by CT measurement. The average porosity of node specimens is from 37.4 to 56.6 % by BSE measurement and from 32.1 to 62.2 % by CT measurement

Porosity estimation of Phyllostachys edulis (Moso bamboo) by computed tomography and backscattered electron imaging

This study aims to investigate and quantify the porosity in the cross section of Phyllostachys edulis (Moso bamboo) culm wall. The porosity results are expected to be utilised in numerical study of heat and moisture transfer. Computed tomography (CT) and backscattered electron (BSE) imaging methods are utilised in this study because these two methods allow measurements of the anisotropic features of bamboo specimens. The results of these two methods can be represented as the function of the real dimension rather than the pore size distribution of the specimen. The specimens are obtained from eight different locations along the Moso bamboo culms. Both internodes and nodes specimens are measured in this study. The average porosity, standard deviation (SD) and coefficient of variation (COV) are calculated for BSE and CT results. Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient (PPMCC) is also calculated in this study to analyse the correlation between the BSE results and CT results. Typical porosity results from 400 sampling points and 10 portions average porosity are analysed in this study. The CT scanning results show similar trend with BSE results. The correlation relationship between BSE and CT results approaches moderate correlation level to strong correlation level. The average porosity of internode specimens is from 43.9 to 58.8 % by BSE measurement and from 44.9 to 63.4 % by CT measurement. The average porosity of node specimens is from 37.4 to 56.6 % by BSE measurement and from 32.1 to 62.2 % by CT measurement

Increasing Dominance - the Role of Advertising, Pricing and Product Design

Despite the empirical relevance of advertising strategies in concentrated markets, the economics literature is largely silent on the effect of persuasive advertising strategies on pricing, market structure and increasing (or decreasing) dominance. In a simple model of persuasive advertising and pricing with differentiated goods, we analyze the interdependencies between ex-ante asymmetries in consumer appeal, advertising and prices. Products with larger initial appeal to consumers will be advertised more heavily but priced at a higher level - that is, advertising and price discounts are strategic substitutes for products with asymmetric initial appeal. We find that the escalating effect of advertising dominates the moderating effect of pricing so that post-competition market shares are more asymmetric than pre-competition differences in consumer appeal. We further find that collusive advertising (but competitive pricing) generates the same market outcomes, and that network effects lead to even more extreme market outcomes, both directly and via the effect on advertising

Cognitive Information Processing

Contains research objectives and reports on five research projects.Joint Services Electronics Programs (U. S. Army, U.S. Navy, and U.S. Air Force) under Contract DA 36-039-AMC-03200(E)National Science Foundation (Grant GK-835)National Institutes of Health (Grant 2 P01 MH-04737-06)National Aeronautics and Space Administration (Grant NsG 496

The unidentified TeV source (TeVJ2032+4130) and surrounding field: Final HEGRA IACT-System results

The unidentified TeV source in Cygnus is now confirmed by follow-up observations from 2002 with the HEGRA stereoscopic system of Cherenkov Telescopes. Using all data (1999 to 2002) we confirm this new source as steady in flux over the four years of data taking, extended with radius 6.2 arcmin (+-1.2 arcmin (stat) +-0.9 arcmin (sys)) and exhibiting a hard spectrum with photon index -1.9. It is located in the direction of the dense OB stellar association, Cygnus OB2. Its integral flux above energies E>1 TeV amounts to \~5% of the Crab assuming a Gaussian profile for the intrinsic source morphology. There is no obvious counterpart at radio, optical nor X-ray energies, leaving TeVJ2032+4130 presently unidentified. Observational parameters of this source are updated here and some astrophysical discussion is provided. Also included are upper limits for a number of other interesting sources in the FoV, including the famous microquasar Cygnus X-3.Comment: 7 pages, 3 figures. Accepted for publication in Astronomy & Astrophysic