Critical slowing-down as indicator of approach to the loss of stability

We consider stochastic electro-mechanical dynamics of an overdamped power system in the vicinity of the saddle-node bifurcation associated with the loss of global stability such as voltage collapse or phase angle instability. Fluctuations of the system state vector are driven by random variations of loads and intermittent renewable generation. In the vicinity of collapse the power system experiences so-called phenomenon of critical slowing-down characterized by slowing and simultaneous amplification of the system state vector fluctuations. In generic case of a co-dimension 1 bifurcation corresponding to the threshold of instability it is possible to extract a single mode of the system state vector responsible for this phenomenon. We characterize stochastic fluctuations of the system state vector using the formal perturbative expansion over the lowest (real) eigenvalue of the system power flow Jacobian and verify the resulting expressions for correlation functions of the state vector by direct numerical simulations. We conclude that the onset of critical slowing-down is a good marker of approach to the threshold of global instability. It can be straightforwardly detected from the analysis of single-node autostructure and autocorrelation functions of system state variables and thus does not require full observability of the grid.Comment: Shorter version submitted to IEEE SmartGridComm 2014; 6 pages, 4 figures, discussion of autostructure functions adde

Data-Driven Diagnostics of Mechanism and Source of Sustained Oscillations

Sustained oscillations observed in power systems can damage equipment, degrade the power quality and increase the risks of cascading blackouts. There are several mechanisms that can give rise to oscillations, each requiring different countermeasure to suppress or eliminate the oscillation. This work develops mathematical framework for analysis of sustained oscillations and identifies statistical signatures of each mechanism, based on which a novel oscillation diagnosis method is developed via real-time processing of phasor measurement units (PMUs) data. Case studies show that the proposed method can accurately identify the exact mechanism for sustained oscillation, and meanwhile provide insightful information to locate the oscillation sources.Comment: The paper has been accepted by IEEE Transactions on Power System

Construction of power flow feasibility sets

We develop a new approach for construction of convex analytically simple regions where the AC power flow equations are guaranteed to have a feasible solutions. Construction of these regions is based on efficient semidefinite programming techniques accelerated via sparsity exploiting algorithms. Resulting regions have a simple geometric shape in the space of power injections (polytope or ellipsoid) and can be efficiently used for assessment of system security in the presence of uncertainty. Efficiency and tightness of the approach is validated on a number of test networks

Random load fluctuations and collapse probability of a power system operating near codimension 1 saddle-node bifurcation

For a power system operating in the vicinity of the power transfer limit of its transmission system, effect of stochastic fluctuations of power loads can become critical as a sufficiently strong such fluctuation may activate voltage instability and lead to a large scale collapse of the system. Considering the effect of these stochastic fluctuations near a codimension 1 saddle-node bifurcation, we explicitly calculate the autocorrelation function of the state vector and show how its behavior explains the phenomenon of critical slowing-down often observed for power systems on the threshold of blackout. We also estimate the collapse probability/mean clearing time for the power system and construct a new indicator function signaling the proximity to a large scale collapse. The new indicator function is easy to estimate in real time using PMU data feeds as well as SCADA information about fluctuations of power load on the nodes of the power grid. We discuss control strategies leading to the minimization of the collapse probability.Comment: 5 pages, 1 figure, submission to IEEE PES General Meeting 201

Voltage Multistability and Pulse Emergency Control for Distribution System with Power Flow Reversal

High levels of penetration of distributed generation and aggressive reactive power compensation may result in the reversal of power flows in future distribution grids. The voltage stability of these operating conditions may be very different from the more traditional power consumption regime. This paper focused on demonstration of multistability phenomenon in radial distribution systems with reversed power flow, where multiple stable equilibria co-exist at the given set of parameters. The system may experience transitions between different equilibria after being subjected to disturbances such as short-term losses of distributed generation or transient faults. Convergence to an undesirable equilibrium places the system in an emergency or \textit{in extremis} state. Traditional emergency control schemes are not capable of restoring the system if it gets entrapped in one of the low voltage equilibria. Moreover, undervoltage load shedding may have a reverse action on the system and can induce voltage collapse. We propose a novel pulse emergency control strategy that restores the system to the normal state without any interruption of power delivery. The results are validated with dynamic simulations of IEEE $13$-bus feeder performed with SystemModeler software. The dynamic models can be also used for characterization of the solution branches via a novel approach so-called the admittance homotopy power flow method.Comment: 13 pages, 22 figures. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 2015, in pres

A Framework for Robust Assessment of Power Grid Stability and Resiliency

Security assessment of large-scale, strongly nonlinear power grids containing thousands to millions of interacting components is a computationally expensive task. Targeting at reducing the computational cost, this paper introduces a framework for constructing a robust assessment toolbox that can provide mathematically rigorous certificates for the grids' stability in the presence of variations in power injections, and for the grids' ability to withstand a bunch sources of faults. By this toolbox we can "off-line" screen a wide range of contingencies or power injection profiles, without reassessing the system stability on a regular basis. In particular, we formulate and solve two novel robust stability and resiliency assessment problems of power grids subject to the uncertainty in equilibrium points and uncertainty in fault-on dynamics. Furthermore, we bring in the quadratic Lyapunov functions approach to transient stability assessment, offering real-time construction of stability/resiliency certificates and real-time stability assessment. The effectiveness of the proposed techniques is numerically illustrated on a number of IEEE test cases

Geometry-based Estimation of Stability Region for A Class of Structure Preserving Power Grids

The increasing development of the electric power grid, the largest engineered system ever, to an even more complicated and larger system requires a new generation of stability assessment methods that are computationally tractable and feasible in real-time. In this paper we first extend the recently introduced Lyapunov Functions Family (LFF) transient stability assessment approach, that has potential to reduce the computational cost on large scale power grids, to structure-preserving power grids. Then, we introduce a new geometry-based method to construct the stability region estimate of power systems. Our conceptual demonstration shows that this new method can certify stability of a broader set of initial conditions compared to the minimization-based LFF method and the energy methods (closest UEP and controlling UEP methods)