Coupling News Sentiment with Web Browsing Data Improves Prediction of Intra-Day Price Dynamics

The new digital revolution of big data is deeply changing our capability of understanding society and forecasting the outcome of many social and economic systems. Unfortunately, information can be very heterogeneous in the importance, relevance, and surprise it conveys, affecting severely the predictive power of semantic and statistical methods. Here we show that the aggregation of web users’ behavior can be elicited to overcome this problem in a hard to predict complex system, namely the financial market. Specifically, our in-sample analysis shows that the combined use of sentiment analysis of news and browsing activity of users of Yahoo! Finance greatly helps forecasting intra-day and daily price changes of a set of 100 highly capitalized US stocks traded in the period 2012–2013. Sentiment analysis or browsing activity when taken alone have very small or no predictive power. Conversely, when considering a news signal where in a given time interval we compute the average sentiment of the clicked news, weighted by the number of clicks, we show that for nearly 50% of the companies such signal Granger-causes hourly price returns. Our result indicates a “wisdom-of-the-crowd” effect that allows to exploit users’ activity to identify and weigh properly the relevant and surprising news, enhancing considerably the forecasting power of the news sentiment

Determinants of an abnormal response to exercise in patients with asymptomatic valvular aortic stenosis.

AIM: Patients with asymptomatic aortic stenosis (AS) and abnormal haemodynamic responses to exercise testing are at increased risk of cardiac events. This study assesses the Doppler echocardiographic determinants of a positive exercise test in a cohort of asymptomatic patients with AS. METHODS AND RESULTS: One hundred and twenty-eight patients with AS underwent quantitative Doppler echocardiographic measurements at rest and during exercise test. Of these patients, 60 had an abnormal response to exercise. Two independent determinants of an abnormal exercise response were selected in multivariate analysis: a larger increase in mean transaortic pressure gradient (P = 0.00014) and a limited contractile reserve-latent left ventricular dysfunction-as indicated by smaller changes in ejection fraction (P = 0.0002). Limiting symptoms were associated with greater increase in mean transaortic pressure gradient, smaller changes in systolic blood pressure and a lower ejection fraction at peak exercise. The increase in pressure gradient was associated with smaller exercise-induced changes in aortic valve area and in ejection fraction and new or worsening mitral regurgitation during exercise. CONCLUSION: Abnormal responses to exercise in asymptomatic AS patients are mediated by a larger increase in mean transaortic pressure gradient and/or a limited contractile reserve characterized by an inadequate increase in ejection fraction at exercise

Age-Related Mortality in STEMI Patients: Insight from One Year of HUB Centre Experience during the Pandemic

Background: Old patients have a poor prognosis when affected by ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). The aim of our study was to evaluate the impact of age on acute and mid-term mortality in STEMI patients over one year in the pandemic period. Methods: we collected data on 283 STEMI patients divided into three groups according to age (not old, “Not-O”, ≤74 y/o; old, “O”, 75–84 y/o; very old, “Very-O”, ≥85 y/o). Results: the three groups did not differ in their clinical or procedural characteristics. The Very-O patients had a significantly increased incidence of in-hospital MACE (35%), mortality (30.0%), and percentage of cardiac death (25.0%). The only two independent predictors of in-hospital mortality were the ejection fraction (EF) [OR:0.902 (95% CI) 0.868–0.938; p < 0.0001] and COVID-19 infection [OR:3.177 (95% CI) 1.212–8.331; p = 0.019]. At follow-up (430 +/− days), the survival rates were decreased significatively among the age groups (Not-O 2.9% vs. O 14.8% vs. Very-O 28.6%; p < 0.0001), and the only two independent predictors of the follow-up mortality were the EF [OR:0.935 (95% CI) 0.891–0.982; p = 0.007] and age [OR:1.06 (95% CI) 1.018–1.110; p = 0.019]. Conclusions: in very old patients, all the accessory procedures that may be performed should be accurately and independently weighed up in terms of the risk–benefit balance and the real impact on the quality of life because of the poor mid-term prognosis

Meta-Analysis of Placebo-Controlled Trials of Levosimendan in Acute Myocardial Infarction

The treatment of acute myocardial infarction is early revascularization. Heart failure and cardiogenic shock may complicate acute myocardial infarction despite applying the best available strategy. Levosimendan is a relatively new drug to treat heart failure with a peculiar mechanism of action: calcium sensitization of myocardial fibres. Levosimendan has a direct inotropic effect but also pleiotropic effects; through the K+ATP channel’s opening, it also has a vasodilator effect which may participate concretely in the global effects of the drug. The focus of the literature is on the anti-heart failure and anti-cardiogenic shock properties of Levosimendan, but it may have effects also preventing the development of myocardial insufficiency in acute myocardial infarction. The aim of the meta-analysis is to evaluate the effect of Levosimendan on acute myocardial infarction in placebo-controlled trials. Based on the eight studies selected, we found a beneficial effect of Levosimendan on acute and long-term mortality of patients affected by acute myocardial infarction. With caution in interpreting the results of this meta-analysis, our data support the idea that Levosimendan may already have a role in the treatment of acute ischemic heart disease. Further studies specifically designed to investigate the early role in the treatment of ischemic heart failure are needed

The “Woggle” Technique for Venous Access Site Management: An Old Technique for a New Need

Background: Several closure devices are routinely used for percutaneous arterial access, while a relatively low number is available for the management of large bore venous accesses. The Woggle technique is a modification of the purse-string suture which was introduced several years ago in patients undergoing hemodialysis. Methods: A population of 45 patients who underwent transvenous femoral structural heart interventions was retrospectively evaluated. The Woggle technique consists of a purge string suture with a collar to maintain the tension as stable over time and a suture lock to tighten the suture. Results: Sheaths magnitude ranged from 8 French (F) to 14 F. A rapid post-procedural hemostasis was achieved in the whole population, and in 95% of cases, definite hemostasis was obtained after the first single release; the mean time of release was 302 ± 83 min. Although no relevant bleedings were reported, a significant reduction in hemoglobin levels was found in the whole population. This decrement was statistically significant only in the group with sheaths higher than 12 F. A single mild local hematoma was recorded in the group in which smaller sheaths were used. Seventy-two percent of patients were pre-treated with a dual antiplatelet therapy. Conclusions: The Woggle technique has shown to be a simple, effective, and safe approach for the management of large bore venous in percutaneous structural heart interventions

New Onset Atrial Fibrillation in STEMI Patients: Main Prognostic Factors and Clinical Outcome

The indications for the treatment of patients with known atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are clear, while less is available about the management of new-onset AF (NOAF) during ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). The aim of this study is to evaluate mortality and clinical outcome of this high-risk subgroup of patients. We analyzed 1455 consecutive patients undergoing PCI for STEMI. NOAF was detected in 102 subjects, 62.7% males, with a mean age of 74.8 ± 10.6 years. The mean ejection fraction (EF) was 43.5 ± 12.1% and the mean atrial volume was increased (58 ± 20.9 mL). NOAF occurred mainly in the peri-acute phase and had a very variable duration (8.1 ± 12.5 min). During hospitalization, all the patients were treated with enoxaparin, but only 21.6% of them were discharged with long term oral anticoagulation. The majority of patients had a CHA2DS2-VASc score >2 and a HAS-BLED score of 2 or 3. The in-hospital mortality was 14.2%, while the 1-year mortality was 17.2% and long-term mortality 32.1% (median follow-up 1820 days). We identified age as an independent predictor of mortality both at short- and long-term follow-ups, while EF was the only independent predictor for in-hospital mortality and arrhythmia duration for 1-year mortality. At the 1-year follow-up, we recorded three ischemic strokes and no bleeding complications