Multiple Cyclic Tornado Production Modes in the 5 May 2007 Greensburg, Kansas Supercell Storm

Long-track, violent tornadoes are rare events, but are responsible for a disproportionate majority of tornado fatalities, injuries, and property damage. It has been observed that such tornadoes are often generated as part of a series produced by one supercell, and preceded by one or more smaller tornadoes. At some point, a transition in the tornado production mode occurs, from short-track, cyclic tornado production (mode I), to long-track, single (plus satellite) tornado production (mode II). This transition has been documented only a few times at close range by Doppler weather radars.A cyclic, tornadic supercell ("the Greensburg storm") generated at least 22 tornadoes in southwest Kansas on 5 May 2007. One of these was the first documented EF-5 tornado ("the Greensburg tornado"), which destroyed 95% of the buildings in Greensburg, Kansas and caused 11 fatalities. The University of Massachusetts X-band, polarimetric, mobile Doppler radar (UMass X-Pol), which was operating in the area as part of a severe storms research project, collected data in the Greensburg storm for over an hour, including its transition from tornado production mode I to mode II. The first 10 tornadoes produced by the Greensburg storm can be seen in this UMass X-Pol data set.In this study, the UMass X-Pol data (as well as contemporaneous data from the WSR-88D at Dodge City, Kansas, or KDDC) are analyzed with the aim of diagnosing whether this transition occurred as a result of changes in the environmental wind profile, interaction of tornadoes with the storm's cold pool, or a combination of the two. These efforts met with limited success, largely because of the relative scarcity of observations of low-level flow in the inflow sector of the Greensburg storm. However, in the process, features of the Greensburg storm related to tornado production (such as vortices, updrafts, and polarimetric signatures) are documented, and relationships among them before, during, and after this transition are diagnosed. In particular, it is found that:*The horizontal motions of the earlier tornadoes (mode I) tracked to the left with respect to the updraft motion, while the motion of the Greensburg tornado and its satellites (mode II) more closely matched that of the updraft.*The vortex signatures in the UMass X-Pol data matched with the surveyed damage tracks. In addition, several non-tornadic circulations were documented.*A forward surge and retreat of a RFGF was documented a few minutes before the development of the Greensburg tornado.*At least two cyclonic-anticyclonic pairs of satellite tornadoes (of the Greensburg tornado) occurred, possibly indicating the upward arching of low-level horizontal vortex lines over bulges in the RFGF.*Weak-echo holes are documented in several tornadoes, and found to be consistently collocated with corresponding vortex signatures in azimuth but biased slightly far from the radar in range.*A polarimetric tornadic debris signature is found near the surface in the mature Greensburg tornado. In addition, a ZDR arc is documented whose presence corroborates increasing low-level vertical wind shear in the inflow sector. Other polarimetric supercell features are consistent with those found in previous studies.In an attempt to retrieve in-storm variables not observed by radar, KDDC and UMass X-Pol radar data were assimilated into a numerical weather prediction model using the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) technique. Two sets of experiments were performed, one in which UMass X-Pol data were either included or withheld from assimilation with KDDC data, and another in which the 0 - 3 km AGL initial environmental wind profile was modified to include a low-level jet, or not.Assimilation of UMass X-Pol data results in more pronounced changes to the analyses than the addition of a low-level jet, although both changes result in near-surface vortices that are stronger, deeper, and longer-lived than in experiments without. When UMass X-Pol data are assimilated, vortices appear in the analyses that correspond to mode I tornadoes, and the southward-spreading, surface cold pool from the Greensburg storm (which likely results from the use of a relatively simple microphysical parameterization scheme) deflects around the assimilated observations of southerly flow at the UMass X-Pol deployment site. Neither of these features appear when UMass X-Pol data are withheld.I close by discussing the implications of these results for future avenues of research involving analysis and assimilation of data from mobile Doppler radars, including storm-scale prediction

Near-Surface Vortex Structure in a Tornado and in a Sub-Tornado-Strength Convective-Storm Vortex Observed by a Mobile, W-Band Radar during VORTEX2

Abstract As part of the Second Verification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment (VORTEX2) field campaign, a very high-resolution, mobile, W-band Doppler radar collected near-surface (≤200 m AGL) observations in an EF-0 tornado near Tribune, Kansas, on 25 May 2010 and in sub-tornado-strength vortices near Prospect Valley, Colorado, on 26 May 2010. In the Tribune case, the tornado's condensation funnel dissipated and then reformed after a 3-min gap. In the Prospect Valley case, no condensation funnel was observed, but evidence from the highest-resolution radars in the VORTEX2 fleet indicates multiple, sub-tornado-strength vortices near the surface, some with weak-echo holes accompanying Doppler velocity couplets. Using high-resolution Doppler radar data, the authors document the full life cycle of sub-tornado-strength vortex beneath a convective storm that previously produced tornadoes. The kinematic evolution of these vortices, from genesis to decay, is investigated via ground-based velocity track display (GBVTD) analysis of the W-band velocity data. It is found that the azimuthal velocities in the Tribune tornado fluctuated in concert with the (dis)appearance of the condensation funnel. However, the dynamic pressure drop associated with the retrieved azimuthal winds was not sufficient to account for the condensation funnel. In the Prospect Valley case, the strongest and longest-lived sub-tornado-strength vortex exhibited similar azimuthal velocity structure to the Tribune tornado, but had weaker azimuthal winds. In both cases, the radius of maximum azimuthal wind was inversely related to the wind speed, and changes in the axisymmetric azimuthal component of velocity were consistent with independent indicators of vortex intensification and decay

To be submitted to Monthly Weather Review

On the morning of 12 June 2002, a series of boundary layer water vapor oscillation events occurred at the “Homestead ” site of the International H2O Project (IHOP_2002). Atmospheric water vapor magnitude within the boundary layer decreased and increased within a matter of minutes. High temporal-resolution data of the water vapor oscillations collected by an array of instruments deployed for this intensive observation period are presented. The results of an Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS) mesoscale numerical simulation of the weather conditions around the time period in question are also discussed. The ARPS model reproduced the water vapor oscillations with a remarkable accuracy. Both the observational data and ARPS numerical model output indicate that the water vapor oscillations were due to interaction between a dry air mass descending from the Rocky Mountains and a cold pool/internal undular bore couplet propagating over the Homestead site from a mesoscale convective complex to the north. The water vapor oscillations are believed to be a secondary indicator of such bores. This type of water vapor oscillation was observed at other times during IHOP_2002, and the oscillations are believed to be a relatively rare occurrence

Motivating a Synergistic Mixing-Layer Height Retrieval Method Using Backscatter Lidar Returns and Microwave-Radiometer Temperature Observations

Mixing-layer-height (MLH) retrieval methods using backscattered lidar signals from a ceilometer (Jenoptik CHM -15k Nimbus) and temperature profiles from a microwave radiometer (MWR) and Humidity And Temperature PROfiler (HATPRO) radiometer physics GmbH (RPG) are compared in terms of their complementary capabilities and associated uncertainties. The extended Kalman filter (EKF) is used for MLH retrieval from backscattered lidar signals, and the parcel method is used for MLH retrieval from MWR-derived potentialerature profiles. The two principal sources of uncertainty in ceilometer-based MLH estimates are: 1) incorrect layer attribution ( ∼ hundreds of meters) and 2) noise-induced errors (about 50 m at 3 σ ). MWR MLH uncertainties comprise: 1) the total uncertainty in the retrieved potential temperature profile and 2) ±0.5 K uncertainty in the surface temperature. Ceilometer- and MWR-based MLH estimates are, in turn, compared with reference to MLH estimates from radiosoundings. Twenty-one measurement days from the high definition clouds and precipitation for advancing climate prediction (HD(CP) 2) Observational Prototype Experiment (HOPE) campaign at Jülich, Germany, are considered. It is shown that the MWR can track the full mixed layer (ML) diurnal cycle (i.e., including morning and evening transitions) with height-increasing error bars. The ceilometer-EKF MLH estimates are much smaller errorbars than those from the MWR under the well-developed clear-sky ML, but the ceilometer-EKF is prone to ambiguous tracking some multilayer scenarios (e.g., the residual layer). We, therefore, introduce the synergistic MLH retrieval approach that combines both ceilometer and MWR estimates in order to optimize the benefits of both

Near-Surface Vortex Structure in a Tornado and in a Sub-Tornado-Strength Convective-Storm Vortex Observed by a Mobile, W-Band Radar during VORTEX2

Abstract As part of the Second Verification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment (VORTEX2) field campaign, a very high-resolution, mobile, W-band Doppler radar collected near-surface (≤200 m AGL) observations in an EF-0 tornado near Tribune, Kansas, on 25 May 2010 and in sub-tornado-strength vortices near Prospect Valley, Colorado, on 26 May 2010. In the Tribune case, the tornado's condensation funnel dissipated and then reformed after a 3-min gap. In the Prospect Valley case, no condensation funnel was observed, but evidence from the highest-resolution radars in the VORTEX2 fleet indicates multiple, sub-tornado-strength vortices near the surface, some with weak-echo holes accompanying Doppler velocity couplets. Using high-resolution Doppler radar data, the authors document the full life cycle of sub-tornado-strength vortex beneath a convective storm that previously produced tornadoes. The kinematic evolution of these vortices, from genesis to decay, is investigated via ground-based velocity track display (GBVTD) analysis of the W-band velocity data. It is found that the azimuthal velocities in the Tribune tornado fluctuated in concert with the (dis)appearance of the condensation funnel. However, the dynamic pressure drop associated with the retrieved azimuthal winds was not sufficient to account for the condensation funnel. In the Prospect Valley case, the strongest and longest-lived sub-tornado-strength vortex exhibited similar azimuthal velocity structure to the Tribune tornado, but had weaker azimuthal winds. In both cases, the radius of maximum azimuthal wind was inversely related to the wind speed, and changes in the axisymmetric azimuthal component of velocity were consistent with independent indicators of vortex intensification and decay