Climate effects on demographic parameters in an unhunted population of Alpine chamois (Rupicapra rupicapra)

Because of a rapidly changing climate, the need to understand how populations respond to varying climatic conditions has become increasingly important. Using long-term data from an unhunted population of Alpine chamois (Rupicapra rupicapra) and autoregressive time series models we investigated the extent to which the population demography was affected by local climate. Because density and weather are likely to operate differently on various sex—age categories, anticipated effects were assumed to vary among categories. Generally, elevated densities in 1 year negatively influenced the subsequent change in population size. Severe snow conditions during late winter negatively affected total population growth, and growth of the male, yearling, and juvenile segments of the population. A lagged effect of early winter snow on the change in animal numbers was demonstrated for females. Winter temperatures positively affected the growth rate of juveniles, whereas they appeared to have negative consequences for male and yearling growth rates. The juvenile-female ratio was negatively affected by the current female density, but did not respond to the various climate variables. Winter survival of juveniles was negatively influenced by the juvenile number during the preceding summer and harsh snow conditions during early winter. Our results indicate that winter climate shapes the demography of Alpine chamois. Particularly, winters with a lot of snow might have long-lasting consequences for the population. Considering the juveniles, lagged effects apparently operate through the body condition of their mothers. The conflicting effects of temperature on the different sex—age categories make the direction of expected population response to global warming difficult to predic

Marketing as a means to transformative social conflict resolution: lessons from transitioning war economies and the Colombian coffee marketing system

Social conflicts are ubiquitous to the human condition and occur throughout markets, marketing processes, and marketing systems.When unchecked or unmitigated, social conflict can have devastating consequences for consumers, marketers, and societies, especially when conflict escalates to war. In this article, the authors offer a systemic analysis of the Colombian war economy, with its conflicted shadow and coping markets, to show how a growing network of fair-trade coffee actors has played a key role in transitioning the country’s war economy into a peace economy. They particularly draw attention to the sources of conflict in this market and highlight four transition mechanisms — i.e., empowerment, communication, community building and regulation — through which marketers can contribute to peacemaking and thus produce mutually beneficial outcomes for consumers and society. The article concludes with a discussion of implications for marketing theory, practice, and public policy

Climate effects on demographic parameters in an unhunted population of Alpine chamois (Rupicapra rupicapra)

Because of a rapidly changing climate, the need to understand how populations respond to varying climatic conditions has become increasingly important. Using long-term data from an unhunted population of Alpine chamois (Rupicapra rupicapra) and autoregressive time series models we investigated the extent to which the population demography was affected by local climate. Because density and weather are likely to operate differently on various sex—age categories, anticipated effects were assumed to vary among categories. Generally, elevated densities in 1 year negatively influenced the subsequent change in population size. Severe snow conditions during late winter negatively affected total population growth, and growth of the male, yearling, and juvenile segments of the population. A lagged effect of early winter snow on the change in animal numbers was demonstrated for females. Winter temperatures positively affected the growth rate of juveniles, whereas they appeared to have negative consequences for male and yearling growth rates. The juvenile-female ratio was negatively affected by the current female density, but did not respond to the various climate variables. Winter survival of juveniles was negatively influenced by the juvenile number during the preceding summer and harsh snow conditions during early winter. Our results indicate that winter climate shapes the demography of Alpine chamois. Particularly, winters with a lot of snow might have long-lasting consequences for the population. Considering the juveniles, lagged effects apparently operate through the body condition of their mothers. The conflicting effects of temperature on the different sex—age categories make the direction of expected population response to global warming difficult to predic