The development and validation of a scoring tool to predict the operative duration of elective laparoscopic cholecystectomy

Background: The ability to accurately predict operative duration has the potential to optimise theatre efficiency and utilisation, thus reducing costs and increasing staff and patient satisfaction. With laparoscopic cholecystectomy being one of the most commonly performed procedures worldwide, a tool to predict operative duration could be extremely beneficial to healthcare organisations. Methods: Data collected from the CholeS study on patients undergoing cholecystectomy in UK and Irish hospitals between 04/2014 and 05/2014 were used to study operative duration. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was produced in order to identify significant independent predictors of long (> 90 min) operations. The resulting model was converted to a risk score, which was subsequently validated on second cohort of patients using ROC curves. Results: After exclusions, data were available for 7227 patients in the derivation (CholeS) cohort. The median operative duration was 60 min (interquartile range 45–85), with 17.7% of operations lasting longer than 90 min. Ten factors were found to be significant independent predictors of operative durations > 90 min, including ASA, age, previous surgical admissions, BMI, gallbladder wall thickness and CBD diameter. A risk score was then produced from these factors, and applied to a cohort of 2405 patients from a tertiary centre for external validation. This returned an area under the ROC curve of 0.708 (SE = 0.013, p  90 min increasing more than eightfold from 5.1 to 41.8% in the extremes of the score. Conclusion: The scoring tool produced in this study was found to be significantly predictive of long operative durations on validation in an external cohort. As such, the tool may have the potential to enable organisations to better organise theatre lists and deliver greater efficiencies in care

The temporospatial epidemiology of rheumatic heart disease in Far North Queensland, tropical Australia 1997-2017; impact of socioeconomic status on disease burden, severity and access to care.

BackgroundThe incidence of rheumatic heart disease (RHD) among Indigenous Australians remains one of the highest in the world. Many studies have highlighted the relationship between the social determinants of health and RHD, but few have used registry data to link socioeconomic disadvantage to the delivery of patient care and long-term outcomes.MethodsA retrospective study of individuals living with RHD in Far North Queensland (FNQ), Australia between 1997 and 2017. Patients were identified using the Queensland state RHD register. The Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) Score-a measure of socioeconomic disadvantage-was correlated with RHD prevalence, disease severity and measures of RHD care.ResultsOf the 686 individuals, 622 (90.7%) were Indigenous Australians. RHD incidence increased in the region from 4.7/100,000/year in 1997 to 49.4/100,000/year in 2017 (pConclusionsThe incidence of RHD, RHD-related hospitalisations and RHD-related surgery continues to rise in FNQ. Whilst this is partly explained by increased disease recognition and improved delivery of care, the burden of RHD remains unacceptably high and is disproportionately borne by the socioeconomically disadvantaged Indigenous population

Emergency Department Assessment of Suspected Acute Coronary Syndrome Using the IMPACT Pathway in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander People

Objectives: The Improved Assessment of Chest pain Trial (IMPACT) pathway is an accelerated strategy for the assessment of emergency patients presenting with suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS). The objective of this study was to report outcomes for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander patients deemed low-, intermediate-, or high-risk according to this pathway. Design: This was a prospective observational trial conducted between November 2017 and December 2019. Setting: Regional hospital in Far North Queensland. Participants: Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people presenting to the Emergency Department with suspected ACS were asked to participate. Participants were stratified as low-, intermediate- or high-risk of ACS according to the IMPACT pathway. High-and intermediate risk patients were managed according to the IMPACT pathway. Management of low-risk patients included additional inpatient cardiac testing, which was not part of the original IMPACT pathway. Main Outcome Measures: The primary outcome was acute coronary syndrome within 30-days. Secondary outcomes included length of stay and prevalence of objective testing. Results: A total of 155 participants were classified as either at low-risk (n=18 11.6%), intermediate-risk (n=87 56.1%), or high-risk (n=50 32.3%) of ACS. Thirty-day (30-day) ACS occurred in 29 (18.6%) patients, which included 26 (52.0%) high-risk patients and three (3.4%) intermediate-risk patients. No patients in the low-risk group were diagnosed with ACS during their index presentation or by 30-days. Median hospital length-of-stay was 11.9 hours (interquartile range [IQR] 5.3–20.2 hrs) for low- and 15.5 hours (IQR 5.9–29.2 hrs) for intermediate-risk patients. Conclusion: The IMPACT pathway, which has been associated with reduced LOS in other settings, could be safely implemented for patients of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander origin, classifying two-thirds as low- or intermediate risk. However, a clinically significant proportion of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander patients experience cardiac events, which supports the need to provide early objective testing for coronary artery disease.</p

Current process and outcomes of the surgical management of LUTS due to benign prostatic enlargement: how consistent are we? - results from the multi-institutional audit of surgical management of BPE (AuSuM BPE) in the United Kingdom.

OBJECTIVE In view of changing landscape of surgical treatment for LUTS secondary to BPE, this audit was undertaken to assess key aspects of the processes and outcomes of the current interventional treatments for BPE, across different units in the UK. MATERIALS AND METHOD A multi-institutional snapshot audit was conducted for patients undergoing interventions for LUTS/BPE over 8-week period. Using Delphi process two-part proforma was designed to capture data. RESULTS 529 patients were included across 20 NHS trusts in England and Wales. Median age was 73 years. Indications for surgery were acute retention (47%) and LUTS (45%). 80% of patients had prior medical therapy. TURP formed the commonest procedure. 27% patients had <23 hour hospital stay. Immediate (21%) and delayed (18%) complications were Clavien-Dindo <2 category. High proportion of patients reported residual symptoms. Type and indication of surgery were significant predictor of complications, length of stay and failure of TWOC outcomes, on multivariate analyses. There were variations in departmental processes, 50% centres used PROMs. CONCLUSION Monopolar TURP still remains the commonest intervention for BPE. Most departments are adopting newer technologies. The audit identified opportunities for development of consistent, effective and patient centric practices as well as need for large-scale focused studies

Outcomes in Newly Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation and History of Acute Coronary Syndromes: Insights from GARFIELD-AF

BACKGROUND: Many patients with atrial fibrillation have concomitant coronary artery disease with or without acute coronary syndromes and are in need of additional antithrombotic therapy. There are few data on the long-term clinical outcome of atrial fibrillation patients with a history of acute coronary syndrome. This is a 2-year study of atrial fibrillation patients with or without a history of acute coronary syndromes