11 research outputs found

    Can a Single Neuron Learn Predictive Uncertainty?

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    Uncertainty estimation methods using deep learning approaches strive against separating how uncertain the state of the world manifests to us via measurement (objective end) from the way this gets scrambled with the model specification and training procedure used to predict such state (subjective means) — e.g., number of neurons, depth, connections, priors (if the model is bayesian), weight initialization, etc. This poses the question of the extent to which one can eliminate the degrees of freedom associated with these specifications and still being able to capture the objective end. Here, a novel nonparametric quantile estimation method for continuous random variables is introduced, based on the simplest neural network architecture with one degree of freedom: a single neuron. Its advantage is first shown in synthetic experiments comparing with the quantile estimation achieved from ranking the order statistics (specifically for small sample size) and with quantile regression. In real-world applications, the method can be used to quantify predictive uncertainty under the split conformal prediction setting, whereby prediction intervals are estimated from the residuals of a pre-trained model on a heldout validation set and then used to quantify the uncertainty in future predictions — the single neuron used here as a structureless “thermometer” that measures how uncertain the pre-trained model is. Benchmarking regression and classification experiments demonstrate that the method is competitive in quality and coverage with state-of-the-art solutions, with the added benefit of being more computationally efficient

    Look ATME: The Discriminator Mean Entropy Needs Attention

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    Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are successfully used for image synthesis but are known to face instability during training. In contrast, probabilistic diffusion models (DMs) are stable and generate high-quality images, at the cost of an expensive sampling procedure. In this paper, we introduce a simple method to allow GANs to stably converge to their theoretical optimum, while bringing in the denoising machinery from DMs. These models are combined into a simpler model (ATME) that only requires a forward pass during inference, making predictions cheaper and more accurate than DMs and popular GANs. ATME breaks an information asymmetry existing in most GAN models in which the discriminator has spatial knowledge of where the generator is failing. To restore the information symmetry, the generator is endowed with knowledge of the entropic state of the discriminator, which is leveraged to allow the adversarial game to converge towards equilibrium. We demonstrate the power of our method in several image-to-image translation tasks, showing superior performance than state-of-the-art methods at a lesser cost. Code is available at https://github.com/DLR-MI/atmeComment: Accepted for the CVPR 2023 Workshop on Generative Models for Computer Vision, https://generative-vision.github.io/workshop-CVPR-23

    Learning Representative Vessel Trajectories Using Behavioral Cloning

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    We suggest a data-driven approach to predict vessel trajectories by mimicking the underlying policy of human captains. Decisions made by those experts are recorded by the automatic identification system (AIS) signals and can be fused with additional non-kinematic factors like destination, weather condition, current tide level or ship size to get a more accurate snapshot of the situation that led to chosen maneuvers. In this work, we explore the usage of a method meant for optimal control, namely Behavioral Cloning, in a forecasting problem, in order to generate end-to-end vessel trajectories purely based on a given initial state. The training and test datasets consist of trajectories from the coast of Bremerhaven, having more than one thousand unique ships and different motion clusters. These are processed by a single deep-learning model, showing promising results in terms of accuracy and providing a research avenue for a near real-time application where vessel trajectories are to be forecast from a given snapshot of the situation - not from the costly history of all the vessels present

    Look ATME: The Discriminator Mean Entropy Needs Attention

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    Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are successfully used for image synthesis but are known to face instability during training. In contrast, probabilistic diffusion models (DMs) are stable and generate high-quality images, at the cost of an expensive sampling procedure. In this paper, we introduce a simple method to allow GANs to stably converge to their theoretical optimum, while bringing in the denoising machinery from DMs. These models are combined into a simpler model (ATME) that only requires a forward pass during inference, making predictions cheaper and more accurate than DMs and popular GANs. ATME breaks an information asymmetry existing in most GAN models in which the discriminator has spatial knowledge of where the generator is failing. To restore the information symmetry, the generator is endowed with knowledge of the entropic state of the discriminator, which is leveraged to allow the adversarial game to converge towards equilibrium. We demonstrate the power of our method in several image-to-image translation tasks, showing superior performance than state-of-the-art methods at a lesser cost. Code is available at https://github.com/DLR-MI/atme

    The 2nd Workshop on Maritime Computer Vision (MaCVi) 2024

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    The 2nd Workshop on Maritime Computer Vision (MaCVi) 2024 addresses maritime computer vision for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) and Unmanned Surface Vehicles (USV). Three challenges categories are considered: (i) UAV-based Maritime Object Tracking with Re-identification, (ii) USV-based Maritime Obstacle Segmentation and Detection, (iii) USV-based Maritime Boat Tracking. The USV-based Maritime Obstacle Segmentation and Detection features three sub-challenges, including a new embedded challenge addressing efficicent inference on real-world embedded devices. This report offers a comprehensive overview of the findings from the challenges. We provide both statistical and qualitative analyses, evaluating trends from over 195 submissions. All datasets, evaluation code, and the leaderboard are available to the public at https://macvi.org/workshop/macvi24.Comment: Part of 2nd Workshop on Maritime Computer Vision (MaCVi) 2024 IEEE Xplore submission as part of WACV 202

    Can a single neuron learn quantiles?

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    A novel non-parametric quantile estimation method for continuous random variables is introduced, based on a minimal neural network architecture consisting of a single unit. Its advantage over estimations from ranking the order statistics is shown, specifically for small sample size. In a regression context, the method can be used to quantify predictive uncertainty under the split conformal prediction setting, where prediction intervals are estimated from the residuals of a pre-trained model on a held-out validation set to quantify the uncertainty in future predictions. Benchmarking experiments demonstrate that the method is competitive in quality and coverage with state-of-the-art solutions, with the added benefit of being more computationally efficient.Comment: 20 pages (10 of contents + 10 of supplementary material

    Detection and Geovisualization of Abnormal Vessel Behavior from Video

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    Intelligent maritime situational awareness pursues an effective understanding of the majority of the activities related to the maritime domain (impacting the safety, security, economy, or environment), with the aid of artificial intelligence systems. Such an understanding requires the development of automated processes capable of not only detecting abnormal behavior but also of visually-representing and interpreting it. Although much progress has been made in anomaly detection and visualization using vessel self-reporting positioning data, there have been no corresponding advances using video data, despite the increasing use of cameras for maritime surveillance. In this work, we introduce a framework which goes beyond vessel tracking for anomaly detection in video, and is therefore applicable to scenes with a high density of vessels. The proposed framework detects abnormal behavior using a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) and interprets this knowledge using metrics derived from clustering the positions and courses provided by an independent vessel/motion detector. These detections are geovisualized using an advanced displaying tool where detected abnormal behavior may be localized on the globe, providing an infrastructure for intelligent maritime situational awareness

    ATME: Trained models and logs

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    <p>These are the models trained for the 4 datasets in the paper, including logs for training/testing configurations, loss evolution, and predicted images during training.</p&gt
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