Computational methods for prediction of in vitro effects of new chemical structures

Background With a constant increase in the number of new chemicals synthesized every year, it becomes important to employ the most reliable and fast in silico screening methods to predict their safety and activity profiles. In recent years, in silico prediction methods received great attention in an attempt to reduce animal experiments for the evaluation of various toxicological endpoints, complementing the theme of replace, reduce and refine. Various computational approaches have been proposed for the prediction of compound toxicity ranging from quantitative structure activity relationship modeling to molecular similarity-based methods and machine learning. Within the “Toxicology in the 21st Century” screening initiative, a crowd-sourcing platform was established for the development and validation of computational models to predict the interference of chemical compounds with nuclear receptor and stress response pathways based on a training set containing more than 10,000 compounds tested in high-throughput screening assays. Results Here, we present the results of various molecular similarity-based and machine-learning based methods over an independent evaluation set containing 647 compounds as provided by the Tox21 Data Challenge 2014. It was observed that the Random Forest approach based on MACCS molecular fingerprints and a subset of 13 molecular descriptors selected based on statistical and literature analysis performed best in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values. Further, we compared the individual and combined performance of different methods. In retrospect, we also discuss the reasons behind the superior performance of an ensemble approach, combining a similarity search method with the Random Forest algorithm, compared to individual methods while explaining the intrinsic limitations of the latter. Conclusions Our results suggest that, although prediction methods were optimized individually for each modelled target, an ensemble of similarity and machine-learning approaches provides promising performance indicating its broad applicability in toxicity prediction

The Catch-22 of Predicting hERG Blockade Using Publicly Accessible Bioactivity Data

Drug-induced inhibition of the human ether-à-go-go-related gene (hERG)-encoded potassium ion channels can lead to fatal cardiotoxicity. Several marketed drugs and promising drug candidates were recalled because of this concern. Diverse modeling methods ranging from molecular similarity assessment to quantitative structure–activity relationship analysis employing machine learning techniques have been applied to data sets of varying size and composition (number of blockers and nonblockers). In this study, we highlight the challenges involved in the development of a robust classifier for predicting the hERG end point using bioactivity data extracted from the public domain. To this end, three different modeling methods, nearest neighbors, random forests, and support vector machines, were employed to develop predictive models using different molecular descriptors, activity thresholds, and training set compositions. Our models demonstrated superior performance in external validations in comparison with those reported in the previous studies from which the data sets were extracted. The choice of descriptors had little influence on the model performance, with minor exceptions. The criteria used to filter bioactivity data, the activity threshold settings used to separate blockers from nonblockers, and the structural diversity of blockers in training data set were found to be the crucial indicators of model performance. Training sets based on a binary threshold of 1 μM/10 μM to separate blockers (IC₅₀/<i>K</i>_i ≤ 1 μM) from nonblockers (IC₅₀/<i>K</i>_i > 10 μM) provided superior performance in comparison with those defined using a single threshold (1 μM or 10 μM). A major limitation in using the public domain hERG activity data is the abundance of blockers in comparison with nonblockers at usual activity thresholds, since not many studies report the latter

TCRD and Pharos 2021:mining the human proteome for disease biology

In 2014, the National Institutes of Health (NIH) initiated the Illuminating the Druggable Genome (IDG) program to identify and improve our understanding of poorly characterized proteins that can potentially be modulated using small molecules or biologics. Two resources produced from these efforts are: The Target Central Resource Database (TCRD) (http://juniper.health.unm.edu/tcrd/) and Pharos (https://pharos.nih.gov/), a web interface to browse the TCRD. The ultimate goal of these resources is to highlight and facilitate research into currently understudied proteins, by aggregating a multitude of data sources, and ranking targets based on the amount of data available, and presenting data in machine learning ready format. Since the 2017 release, both TCRD and Pharos have produced two major releases, which have incorporated or expanded an additional 25 data sources. Recently incorporated data types include human and viral-human protein-protein interactions, protein-disease and protein-phenotype associations, and drug-induced gene signatures, among others. These aggregated data have enabled us to generate new visualizations and content sections in Pharos, in order to empower users to find new areas of study in the druggable genome