Consumers' Willingness to Pay for Genetically Modified Foods in Kenya

A survey of 600 consumers was conducted in Nairobi to determine attitudes and willingness to pay (WTP) for GM maize meal. WTP was estimated using the double-bounded logit model. Overall, 38% are aware of GM crops. Most consumers believe in the technology's positive impacts, but are concerned about environmental and health risks. Majority (68%) would buy GM maize meal at the price of their favourite maize meal brand. The mean WTP for GM maize meal is KShs 58 for a 2kg packet, a premium of 13.7 % over mean average price of favourite brands. WTP is influenced more by subjective than socioeconomic characteristics.GMO, biotechnology, consumer, Africa, maize, Consumer/Household Economics, D12, C25, Q16,

Economic Analysis of Alternative Maize Storage Technologies in Kenya

Upcoming technologies for maize storage have sometimes been promoted without being subjected to trials and economic analysis. In the recent past, new storage technologies, actellic super, super grain bag and the metal silo have been developed. In this paper, the results of crop loss trials are combined with measures of project worth to determine the attractiveness of investing in new storage technologies. Determination of the benefit was based on the amount of loss the new technology could abate. A one ton metal silo, with negligible % crop loss abated USD 100 in 12 months. These benefits were found to increase with time meaning that a farmer benefits by storing longer. Measures of project worth, the NPV and BCR were used to analyze the attractiveness of investing in the new technologies at a discount rate of 15% and an investment period of 15 years. Sensitivity analysis was done by varying the discount rate and the investment period. When six metal silo sizes were subjected to this analysis, the results showed that the three largest silos were attractive for all these scenarios. On the other hand, the smaller the silo size the higher the requirement that the interest rate be small and the period of investment bigger for it to be an attractive investment. Therefore, promoting larger silos would be more cost-effective to the farmer.Storage, LGB, economic analysis, Kenya, Crop Production/Industries,

Comparing Accuracy and Costs of Revealed and Stated Preferences: The Case of Consumer Acceptance of Yellow Maize in East Africa

For quite a while, stated preferences have been a major tool to measure consumer preferences for new products and services. Revealed preference methods, in particular experimental economics, have gained popularity recently because they have been shown to be more incentive compatible, and therefore more accurate. However, this advantage comes at the expense of higher survey costs. In the developing countries with limited funding for research, it is important to determine whether the extra cost can be justified by the extra gain in accuracy. A survey of 100 farmers was carried out in Western Kenya to determine consumer preference for yellow maize using the contingent valuation, choice experiments and experimental auction methods. Experimental auctions produced the most realistic results for mean willingness to pay. They are also the most accurate at all budget levels, but also the most expensive. Considering their accuracy and realistic results, we conclude that they should be the recommended method in measuring consumer preference in developing countries, since the extra cost is more than recovered by the gain in accuracy.Kenya, maize, consumer, experimental auctions, stated preference, WTP, Crop Production/Industries, Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety, D6, Q12,

Improving the Use of Experimental Auctions in Africa: Theory and Evidence

Experimental auctions have not been widely used in Africa. However, auctions are important tools for evaluating new products and technologies. To increase the quality of these experiments, we explore an alternative first-price bidding mechanism that is more similar to African market exchanges and we analyze factors likely to affect bidding. Experiments with African consumers show that the proposed first-price mechanism has no advantage over conventional second-price mechanisms. Results show high and significant cash-in-hand, experimenter, and time of day effects in main rounds, and significant ordering effects in test rounds. These effects need to be carefully considered when applying the Becker-DeGroot-Marschak mechanism in Africa.Africa, BDM mechanism, experimenter effect, first-price auction, income effect, order effect, time of day effect, Research Methods/ Statistical Methods,

Does Land Use Patterns Matter for Bt-Maize: The Case of Maize Farming System in Kenya

Population pressures and the need to optimize the use of limited available land has led to increasing cropping affluence levels within the maize agro-ecologies in Kenya, and a shift from large to smallholder intensification and multiple cropping patterns. Using a geographic information system, this study relates cropping patterns, by area share, maize productivity and household incomes across maize agro-ecologies, with the purpose to establish a decision support system for optimizing land allocation and in priority setting for introduction of new technologies such as Bt maize varieties. Results show that land use patterns and maize productivity in maize farming systems differ between agroecological zones. The high potential areas experience high maize yields, with maize grown alongside major cash crops such as tea and coffee. In contrast, lowland coastal strip and lake Victoria region tend to grow drought tolerant tuber crops (such as cassava and sweet potatoes) alongside maize in appreciable land sizes. Similarly the dry areas grow drought tolerant legumes such as pigeon pea alongside maize. These low potential areas thus concentrate on meeting their subsistence food self-sufficiency needs, pointing at risk management strategies against drought and pests such as stem borer, unlike high potential areas with high value cash crops. Maize breeders should therefore consider insertion of Bt- genes in maize varieties that would achieve high production and which are also capable of safely growing side by side with crops that meet different food security conditions in different agro-ecological zones in Kenya.Land use, Smallholders, Maize production, Food security, Kenya, Crop Production/Industries, Land Economics/Use,

Market Liberalization and Agricultural Intensification in Kenya (1992-2002)

This study analyses the impact of the liberalization on the intensification of maize production in Kenya. It first analyses the impact of liberalization on input and output prices, followed by an analysis of farmer practices comparing two major farmer surveys, from 1992 and 2002. The results show that liberalization has had a general positive impact on the evolution of prices, with a decrease of input/output price ratios. However, fluctuations of maize prices has become very high and, combined with a decrease of marketing by the marketing board, has increased the uncertainty in maize production. The liberalization has also resulted in a decrease in extension services. Fortunately, farmers have an increased access to credit services. The combined effect of prices and access to services has resulted in little change in the number of farmers using new maize technologies, in particular improved varieties and fertilizer. The dose of fertilizer per ha has, however, decreased. As a result, yields have not increased. The analysis also showed that credit and extension have a major effect on adoption and, indirectly, on yield. The results indicate that an effort is needed to improve extension access. While the improved access to credit is encouraging, more than half the farmers still miss this essential service. Finally, the increased price fluctuation and market uncertainty should be addressed through improved use of price buffer mechanisms. Market access can also substantially be improved through investment in infrastructure.liberalization, intensification, adoption, maize, Africa, International Development, International Relations/Trade,

Ukama Ustawi Baseline Survey Report for Zambia

A baseline survey for Zambia was undertaken November 2022. A total of 705 households were interviewed in this survey from 7th to 19th November, in 8 camps within 5 districts in Southern and Eastern provinces. These sites are earmarked for intervention by the UU initiative. The questionnaire focused on the October 2021-May 2022 rainy season targeting 5 main crops. The baseline report summarizes the main descriptive findings of the analysis of this baseline data. The study was led by WorldFish, and it was done in partnership with Kula Vyema Center of Food Economics and BrandComm Ltd Zambia. The report concludes with the observation that there is much room for improving inputs use, crop productivity, adoption of SIPs and CSA practices, adoption of mechanization, extension access, female participation in decision making, credit access, and household nutrition

Biocontrol-based strategies for improving soil health and managing plant-parasitic nematodes in coffee production

Coffee is an important commodity for Kenya, where production is steadily declining, despite a global rise in demand. Of the various constraints affecting production, plant-parasitic nematodes are a significant, but often overlooked, threat. As a perennial crop, treating plantations once infected with nematodes becomes difficult. The current study evaluated the drenching application of two biocontrol agents, Trichoderma asperellum and Purpureocillium lilacinum, for their nematode control efficacy, as well as their impact on the soil nematode community structure on mature, established coffee trees in Kenya. Seven Arabica coffee field trials were conducted over two years on trees of various ages. All the fields were heavily infested with Meloidogyne hapla, the first report of the species on coffee in Kenya. Both fungal biocontrol agents were detected endophytically infecting roots and recovered from soil but not until six months after initial applications. The population densities of M. hapla had significantly declined in roots of treated trees 12 months after the initial application, although soil nematode density data were similar across treatments. Based upon the maturity index and the Shannon index, treatment with T. asperellum led to improved soil health conditions and enrichment of diversity in the microbial community. Application of P. lilacinum, in particular, led to an increased abundance of fungivorous nematodes, especially Aphelenchus spp., for which P. lilacinum would appear to be a preferred food source. The soils in the trials were all stressed and denuded, however, which likely delayed the impact of such treatments or detection of any differences between treatments using indices, such as the functional metabolic footprint, over the period of study. A longer period of study would therefore likely provide a better indication of treatment benefits. The current study positively demonstrates, however, the potential for using biologically based options for the environmentally and climate-smart management of nematode threats in a sustainable manner on established, mature coffee plantations

The Nutrition Transition and Indicators of Child Malnutrition

We analyze how the nutrition transition affects child malnutrition in developing countries. It is often assumed that the nutrition transition affects child weight but not child growth, which could be one reason why child underweight decreases faster than child stunting. But these effects have hardly been analyzed empirically. Our cross-country panel regressions show that the nutrition transition reduces child underweight, while no consistent effect on child overweight is found. Against common views, our results also suggest that the nutrition transition reduces child stunting. Further research is required to confirm these findings