A rank based social norms model of how people judge their levels of drunkenness whilst intoxicated

Background: A rank based social norms model predicts that drinkers’ judgements about their drinking will be based on the rank of their breath alcohol level amongst that of others in the immediate environment, rather than their actual breath alcohol level, with lower relative rank associated with greater feelings of safety. This study tested this hypothesis and examined how people judge their levels of drunkenness and the health consequences of their drinking whilst they are intoxicated in social drinking environments. Methods: Breath alcohol testing of 1,862 people (mean age = 26.96 years; 61.86 % male) in drinking environments. A subset (N = 400) also answered four questions asking about their perceptions of their drunkenness and the health consequences of their drinking (plus background measures). Results: Perceptions of drunkenness and the health consequences of drinking were regressed on: (a) breath alcohol level, (b) the rank of the breath alcohol level amongst that of others in the same environment, and (c) covariates. Only rank of breath alcohol level predicted perceptions: How drunk they felt (b 3.78, 95 % CI 1.69 5.87), how extreme they regarded their drinking that night (b 3.7, 95 % CI 1.3 6.20), how at risk their long-term health was due to their current level of drinking (b 4.1, 95 % CI 0.2 8.0) and how likely they felt they would experience liver cirrhosis (b 4.8. 95 % CI 0.7 8.8). People were more influenced by more sober others than by more drunk others. Conclusion: Whilst intoxicated and in drinking environments, people base judgements regarding their drinking on how their level of intoxication ranks relative to that of others of the same gender around them, not on their actual levels of intoxication. Thus, when in the company of others who are intoxicated, drinkers were found to be more likely to underestimate their own level of drinking, drunkenness and associated risks. The implications of these results, for example that increasing the numbers of sober people in night time environments could improve subjective assessments of drunkenness, are discussed

Psychosocial mediators of change in physical activity in the Welsh national exercise referral scheme: secondary analysis of a randomised controlled trial

Objective: While an increasing number of randomised controlled trials report impacts of exercise referral schemes (ERS) on physical activity, few have investigated the mechanisms through which increases in physical activity are produced. This study examines whether a National Exercise Referral Scheme (NERS) in Wales is associated with improvements in autonomous motivation, self-efficacy and social support, and whether change in physical activity is mediated by change in these psychosocial processes.<p></p> Methods: A pragmatic randomised controlled trial of NERS across 12 LHBs in Wales. Questionnaires measured demographic data and physical activity at baseline. Participants (N = 2160) with depression, anxiety or CHD risk factors were referred by health professionals and randomly assigned to control or intervention. At six months psychological process measures were collected by questionnaire. At 12 months physical activity was assessed by 7 Day PAR telephone interview. Regressions tested intervention effects on psychosocial variables, physical activity before and after adjusting for mediators and socio demographic patterning.<p></p> Results: Significant intervention effects were found for autonomous motivation and social support for exercise at 6 months. No intervention effect was observed for self-efficacy. The data are consistent with a hypothesis of partial mediation of the intervention effect by autonomous motivation. Analysis of moderators showed significant improvements in relative autonomy in all subgroups. The greatest improvements in autonomous motivation were observed among patients who were least active at baseline.<p></p> Discussion: The present study offered key insights into psychosocial processes of change in an exercise referral scheme, with effects on physical activity mediated by autonomous motivation. Findings support the use of self-determination theory as a framework for ERS. Further research is required to explain socio-demographic patterning in responses to ERS, with changes in motivation occurring among all sub-groups of participants, though not always leading to higher adherence or behavioural change. This highlights the importance of socio-ecological approaches to developing and evaluating behaviour change interventions, which consider factors beyond the individual, including conditions in which improved motivation does or does not produce behavioural change

A career of choice: attracting talented young people into house building

The purpose of this research was to establish a better understanding of how young people view house building as a career choice and to provide insights to improve recruitment of those with enthusiasm and talent into the sector. It collected the views of over 500 teenagers and young men and women between the ages of 14 and 24, and the views of those who advise them on careers.NHBC Foundatio

Heavy quark diffusion in perturbative QCD at next-to-leading order

We compute the momentum diffusion coefficient of a nonrelativistic heavy quark in a hot QCD plasma, to next-to-leading order in the weak coupling expansion. Corrections arise at O(g); physically they represent interference between overlapping scatterings, as well as soft, electric scale ($p\sim gT$) gauge field physics, which we treat using the hard thermal loop (HTL) effective theory. In 3-color, 3-flavor QCD, the momentum diffusion constant of a fundamental representation heavy quark at NLO is $\kappa = \frac{16\pi}{3} \alpha_s^2 T^3 (\ln \frac{1}{g} + 0.07428 + 1.8869 g)$. The convergence of the weak coupling expansion is poor.Comment: 4 pages, 3 figure

Establishing Croatia’s lifelong career guidance service

On July 1st 2013, Croatia became the 28th member state of the European Union. One requirement for Croatia’s accession to the EU was the establishment of comprehensive life-long career guidance (LLCG) provision. In 2011, the Croatian Employment Service, the traditional provider of career guidance services to the unemployed, embarked on a programme to establish eight public facing pilot LLCG centres funded through EU transition funding. This article uses the results of an early evaluation of the new LLCG centres undertaken at the end of the pilot stage to explore the inter-relationship between this EU imperative and the policy and practice developments required to establish LLCG in a post-conflict and post command economy emerging EU country

Corporate Tax Competition between Firms

Firms' tax planning decisions, similar to their other operational decisions, are made in a competitive environment. Various stakeholders observe the tax payments and evaluate these against the relevant peer group, which creates interdependencies in the tax planning activities of firms. Introducing the concept of reputational loss we show the positive interdependence in a theoretical model and test it in a spatial econometric model. Empirical evidence suggests that benchmarking takes place both within countries and within industries, however for the latter it is important to include firms in large non-EU OECD countries. Further, the analysis shows that spatial interdependence is stronger for the largest firms and if they have an average effective tax rate above the statutory tax rate.Corporate Taxation; Benchmarking; Tax Competition; Spatial Econometrics

Stochasticity & Predictability in Terrestrial Planet Formation

Terrestrial planets are thought to be the result of a vast number of gravitational interactions and collisions between smaller bodies. We use numerical simulations to show that practically identical initial conditions result in a wide array of final planetary configurations. This is a result of the chaotic evolution of trajectories which are highly sensitive to minuscule displacements. We determine that differences between systems evolved from virtually identical initial conditions can be larger than the differences between systems evolved from very different initial conditions. This implies that individual simulations lack predictive power. For example, there is not a reproducible mapping between the initial and final surface density profiles. However, some key global properties can still be extracted if the statistical spread across many simulations is considered. Based on these spreads, we explore the collisional growth and orbital properties of terrestrial planets which assemble from different initial conditions (we vary the initial planetesimal distribution, planetesimal masses, and giant planet orbits). Confirming past work, we find that the resulting planetary systems are sculpted by sweeping secular resonances. Configurations with giant planets on eccentric orbits produce fewer and more massive terrestrial planets on tighter orbits than those with giants on circular orbits. This is further enhanced if the initial mass distribution is biased to the inner regions. In all cases, the outer edge of the system is set by the final location of the $\nu_6$ resonance and we find that the mass distribution peaks at the $\nu_5$ resonance. Using existing observations, we find that extrasolar systems follow similar trends. Although differences between our numerical modelling and exoplanetary systems remain, we suggest that CoRoT-7, HD 20003, and HD 20781 may host undetected giant planets.Comment: replaced to match published version, 20 pages, 11 figures, published in MNRAS, simulation outputs available at https://cheleb.net/astro/sp15

Matching the density of the rugby playing population to the medical services available in the Eastern Cape, South Africa

Background: Rugby Union is a popular contact sport played worldwide. The physical demands of the game are characterized by short duration, high intensity bouts of activity, with collisions between players, often while running fast. The head, neck, upper limb and lower limb are common sites for injury. Although catastrophic injuries are rare in rugby, they do occur. Immediate action (4-hour window) must occur after the injury to minimise the damage incurred from a catastrophic injury. This infers that a well-functioning medical infrastructure should be available to anticipate injuries of this nature and provide treatment for the best possible outcome. Currently there is no system information/map in South Africa describing the medical infrastructure in relation to places where clubs and schools practice and play matches. Such a system may assist providing early and immediate transfer of injured players to the appropriate treatment facility. This would minimise the damaging effects caused by delays in medical treatment. Therefore the aim of this study was to; (i) investigate and report on the location, distance and travel time from rugby playing/training venues in the Eastern Cape to the nearest specialist hospital where a player may be able to receive adequate treatment for a catastrophic injury, and ii) report on safety equipment available at these playing venues to facilitate this transport in a safe manner. Methods: All the clubs (n=403) and schools (n =264) that played rugby in the Eastern Cape were accounted for in the study. However, only 15 clubs and 35 schools were included in the analysis as they had their own facilities for training and playing matches. Distances between clubs/schools and the nearest public, private and specialized hospital (able to treat catastrophic injuries) were measured. In addition driving time was also estimated between the clubs/schools and nearest specialized hospital to determine if an injured player could be transported within four hours to receive medical treatment for a catastrophic injury. In addition medical safety equipment was audited (according to information provided by SA RUGBY)) for each club and school to identify if they were meeting the minimum safety standards as set by SA RUGBY. Results: Twenty schools were identified as being less than one hour away from the nearest hospital equipped to deal with catastrophic rugby injuries; nine schools were between 1-2 hours away and six schools were between 2-3 hours away. All schools were within 100 km driving distance of the nearest public hospital; 28 schools were within 100km driving distance to the nearest private hospital. For seven schools, the nearest private hospital was between 100 and 150 km away. Fourteen schools had spinal boards, eleven had neck braces, ten had harnesses, nine had change rooms, five had floodlights, and twenty-two had trained first aiders. Six schools were located 2-3 hours away and were at higher risk due to a lack of first aid equipment. Ten clubs were less than an hour away from the nearest hospital equipped to treat catastrophic injuries; two clubs were between 1-2 hours away, two were between 2-3 hours away and one was between 3-4 hours away. All clubs were within 100 km driving distance of the nearest public hospital. Nine clubs were within 100km driving distance to the nearest private hospital, three clubs were based between 100 and 150 km from the nearest private hospital and three were based over 150km away from the nearest private hospital. Twelve clubs had a spinal board, eleven clubs had neck braces, ten clubs had harnesses, ten clubs had change rooms, seven clubs had floodlights and twelve clubs had first aid trainers. One club was classified as high risk as it was located 2-3 hours away from the nearest hospital equipped to manage a catastrophic injury and had no first aid equipment. Discussion/Conclusion: No clubs or schools included in the study were more than four hours away from a hospital that was equipped to deal with a catastrophic rugby injury. Therefore, any player who suffers a catastrophic injury should be able to get to treatment within the 4-hour window period. Another finding was that not all clubs or schools possessed the minimum equipment required to host training or a rugby match. SA RUGBY can take appropriate action towards these clubs and schools to ensure that they maintain the safest possible practice to not put their own players at increased risk

All things being equal? Equality and diversity in careers education,information, advice and guidance

In its education chapter, the Commission’s first Triennial Review of evidence on inequality, How Fair is Britain? Equality, Human Rights and Good Relations in 2010, found that educational attainment has been transformed in recent years. Around half of young people are now getting good qualifications at 16 (5+ A*-C GCSEs or equivalent including English and Maths) and, in 2008/09, 2.4 million students enrolled in higher education in the UK – a considerable change from a time when educational opportunities were only available to a minority of young people. However, the evidence shows that educational attainment continues to be strongly associated with socio-economic background. Stereotypical information and guidance can limit young people’s options and aspirations at an early age. Careers advice often reinforces traditional choices and young people have limited information on the pay advantages of nontraditional routes. Nearly one in four young people say that they have not had enough information to make choices for their future. This rises to just under a quarter of disabled young people

Application of chicken microarrays for gene expression analysis in other avian species

BACKGROUND: With the threat of emerging infectious diseases such as avian influenza, whose natural hosts are thought to be a variety of wild water birds including duck, we are armed with very few genomic resources to investigate large scale immunological gene expression studies in avian species. Multiple options exist for conducting large gene expression studies in chickens and in this study we explore the feasibility of using one of these tools to investigate gene expression in other avian species. RESULTS: In this study we utilised a whole genome long oligonucleotide chicken microarray to assess the utility of cross species hybridisation (CSH). We successfully hybridised a number of different avian species to this array, obtaining reliable signals. We were able to distinguish ducks that were infected with avian influenza from uninfected ducks using this microarray platform. In addition, we were able to detect known chicken immunological genes in all of the hybridised avian species. CONCLUSION: Cross species hybridisation using long oligonucleotide microarrays is a powerful tool to study the immune response in avian species with little available genomic information. The present study validated the use of the whole genome long oligonucleotide chicken microarray to investigate gene expression in a range of avian species