Clinical trials impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic : adaptive designs to the rescue?

Very recently the new pathogen severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was identified and the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization. The pandemic has a number of consequences for ongoing clinical trials in non-COVID-19 conditions. Motivated by four current clinical trials in a variety of disease areas we illustrate the challenges faced by the pandemic and sketch out possible solutions including adaptive designs. Guidance is provided on (i) where blinded adaptations can help; (ii) how to achieve type I error rate control, if required; (iii) how to deal with potential treatment effect heterogeneity; (iv) how to utilize early read-outs; and (v) how to utilize Bayesian techniques. In more detail approaches to resizing a trial affected by the pandemic are developed including considerations to stop a trial early, the use of group-sequential designs or sample size adjustment. All methods considered are implemented in a freely available R shiny app. Furthermore, regulatory and operational issues including the role of data monitoring committees are discussed

Modulation of Human Time Processing by Subthalamic Deep Brain Stimulation

Timing in the range of seconds referred to as interval timing is crucial for cognitive operations and conscious time processing. According to recent models of interval timing basal ganglia (BG) oscillatory loops are involved in time interval recognition. Parkinsońs disease (PD) is a typical disease of the basal ganglia that shows distortions in interval timing. Deep brain stimulation (DBS) of the subthalamic nucleus (STN) is a powerful treatment of PD which modulates motor and cognitive functions depending on stimulation frequency by affecting subcortical-cortical oscillatory loops. Thus, for the understanding of BG-involvement in interval timing it is of interest whether STN-DBS can modulate timing in a frequency dependent manner by interference with oscillatory time recognition processes. We examined production and reproduction of 5 and 15 second intervals and millisecond timing in a double blind, randomised, within-subject repeated-measures design of 12 PD-patients applying no, 10-Hz- and ≥130-Hz-STN-DBS compared to healthy controls. We found under(re-)production of the 15-second interval and a significant enhancement of this under(re-)production by 10-Hz-stimulation compared to no stimulation, ≥130-Hz-STN-DBS and controls. Milliseconds timing was not affected. We provide first evidence for a frequency-specific modulatory effect of STN-DBS on interval timing. Our results corroborate the involvement of BG in general and of the STN in particular in the cognitive representation of time intervals in the range of multiple seconds

Effects of saxagliptin added to sub-maximal doses of metformin compared with uptitration of metformin in type 2 diabetes: the PROMPT study.

OBJECTIVE: The PROMPT study compared efficacy and tolerability of two treatment intensification strategies: adding saxagliptin or uptitrating metformin monotherapy, in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and inadequate glycaemic control on a sub-maximal metformin dose. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: In this double-blind, 24-week study, metformin-tolerant patients with T2D on metformin monotherapy were randomised to receive fixed-dose metformin 1500 mg/day, plus either add-on saxagliptin 5 mg/day (SAXA-MET) or a two-step metformin uptitration (MET-UP) to a maximum dose (2500 mg/day). CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01006590. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary: absolute change from baseline in glycated haemoglobin A(1c) (HbA(1c)) (Week 24). Secondary: proportion of patients achieving a therapeutic glycaemic response (Week 24); change from baseline in fasting plasma glucose (Week 24); safety and tolerability. Exploratory analyses comprised three patient-related questionnaires, including the validated 5-dimension Digestive Health Status Index (DHSI). RESULTS: A total of 286 patients were randomised: (SAXA-MET: 147; MET-UP: 139). Baseline mean (SD) HbA(1c): 7.71 (0.85; SAXA-MET); 7.80 (0.82; MET-UP). Adjusted mean reductions from baseline in HbA(1c) (Week 24): -0.47% (SAXA-MET); -0.38% (MET-UP); mean (95% CI) difference in treatment effect, -0.10% (-0.26, 0.07); p = 0.260. The proportion of patients (95% CI) achieving a therapeutic glycaemic response (HbA(1c) < 7%): 43.8% (34.8, 49.6) (SAXA-MET) vs. 35.0% (29.0, 43.8) (MET-UP). Of the five DHSI domains, mean (95% CI) differences were observed for diarrhoea-predominant score (+0.8 [-2.5, 4.0] vs. +7.9 [4.6, 11.2]) and dysmotility score (-0.5 [-2.0, 1.0] vs. +1.9 [0.3, 3.4]), (SAXA-MET and MET-UP, respectively). The most common adverse event was diarrhoea: 6.1% (SAXA-MET) vs. 12.2% (MET-UP). CONCLUSIONS: In metformin-tolerant patients with T2D (inadequately controlled on sub-maximal metformin monotherapy), saxagliptin was well tolerated. Although HbA(1c) reduction was not significantly different between treatment groups, the lower occurrence of gastrointestinal symptoms in the SAXA-MET group suggests that saxagliptin add-on treatment may be a suitable alternative treatment strategy to metformin uptitration

Association of FKBP5 genotype with depressive symptoms in patients with coronary heart disease: a prospective study

Depression and coronary heart disease (CHD) are prevalent and often co-occurring disorders. Both have been associated with a dysregulated stress system. As a central element of the stress system, the FKBP5 gene has been shown to be associated with depression. In a prospective design, this study aims to investigate the association of FKBP5 with depressive symptoms in CHD patients. N = 268 hospitalized CHD patients were included. Depressive symptoms were measured using the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS-D) at four time points (baseline, and after 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months). The functional FKBP5 single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) rs1360780 was selected for genotyping. Linear regression models showed that a higher number of FKBP5 C alleles was associated with more depressive symptoms in CHD patients both at baseline (p = 0.015) and at 12-months follow-up (p = 0.025) after adjustment for confounders. Further analyses revealed that this effect was driven by an interaction of FKBP5 genotype with patients' prior CHD course. Specifically, only in patients with a prior myocardial infarction or coronary revascularization, more depressive symptoms were associated with a higher number of C alleles (baseline: p = 0.046; 1-month: p = 0.026; 6-months: p = 0.028). Moreover, a higher number of C alleles was significantly related to a greater risk for dyslipidemia (p = .016). Our results point to a relevance of FKBP5 in the association of the two stress-related diseases depression and CHD

Mean results of time discrimination.

<p>Point of subjective equality (PSE) and just noticeable difference (JND) in ms (with SEM) for controls, PD-patients with stimulation OFF, > = 130 Hz and 10 Hz.</p

Patient characteristics with sex, age, disease duration, daily anti-parkinson medication, months since implantation in the subthalamic nucleus, disease type, predominant side, MDRS and BDI scores.

<p>Patient characteristics with sex, age, disease duration, daily anti-parkinson medication, months since implantation in the subthalamic nucleus, disease type, predominant side, MDRS and BDI scores.</p

Control characteristics with sex, age, MDRS and BDI scores.

<p>Abbreviations: MDRS  =  Mattis Dementia Rating Scale; BDI  =  Beck Depression Inventory; HR  =  hypokinetic-rigid; T  =  tremor dominant; L  =  left; R  =  right.</p