A Historical Survey of Sir Karl Popper's Contribution to Quantum Mechanics

Sir Karl Popper (1902-1994), though not trained as a physicist and embarrassed early in his career by a physics error pointed out by Einstein and Bohr, ultimately made substantial contributions to the interpretation of quantum mechanics. As was often the case, Popper initially formulated his position by criticizing the views of others - in this case Niels Bohr and Werner Heisenberg. Underlying Popper's criticism was his belief that, first, the Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics abandoned scientific realism and second, the assertion that quantum theory was complete (an assertion rejected by Einstein among others) amounted to an unfalsifiable claim. Popper insisted that the most basic predictions of quantum mechanics should continue to be tested, with an eye towards falsification rather than mere adding of decimal places to confirmatory experiments. His persistent attacks on the Copenhagen interpretation were aimed not at the uncertainty principle itself and the formalism from which it was derived, but at the acceptance by physicists of an unclear epistemology and ontology that left critical questions unanswered.Quanta 2012; 1: 1–12

Effects of Weather on Foraging Success and Hunting Frequency in Winter-Irruptive Snowy Owls (\u3ci\u3eBubo scandiacus\u3c/i\u3e) in Upstate New York

The effects of weather on an individual can often alter the population dynamics of a species. Knowledge of how weather influences individual behavior is therefore essential in understanding its full impact in the context of population ecology. Snowy Owls (Bubo scandiacus) exhibit expensive long-distance migrations in winters following population irruptions. During irruptive movements, many owls migrate past the southernmost extent of their traditional wintering grounds, the mechanism for which is still debated. We propose and test the “milder climate” hypothesis; Snowy Owls wintering in lower latitudes are better able to meet their metabolic demands due to higher temperatures and lower snow cover. During the Snowy Owl irruption of 2014–2015, we examined this hypothesis by assessing the influence of local weather variables on foraging success, frequency of prey capture attempts, and overall activity budgets in a sample of wintering Snowy Owls in New York, USA. We used eBird, an online citizen science resource, to help locate Snowy Owls, which we observed from an automobile. We found that none of the weather variables tested affected foraging success. However, the lack of effect of snow depth on foraging success may suggest that hearing is more important for hunting in Snowy Owls than previously thought. Hunting frequency decreased with increasing temperatures, suggesting Snowy Owls were better able to meet their metabolic demands in higher temperatures. We thus offer support for the milder climate hypothesis; Snowy Owls wintering in lower latitudes may be able to offset the energetic expenses of long-distance movements

Evaluating associations between the benefits and risks of drug therapy in type 2 diabetes:A joint modelling approach

This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Dove Medical Press via the DOI in this record.Data statement: No additional data are available from the authors although the individual participant data from the ADOPT trial used in this study are available from GlaxoSmithKline on application via www.clinicalstudydatarequest.comObjective: Precision medicine drug therapy seeks to maximise efficacy and minimise harm for individual patients. This will be difficult if drug response and side-effects are positively associated, meaning patients likely to respond best are at increased risk of side-effects. We applied joint longitudinal-survival models to evaluate associations between drug response (longitudinal outcome) and risk of side-effects (survival outcome) for patients initiating type 2 diabetes therapy. Study Design and Setting: Participants were randomised to metformin, sulfonylurea or thiazolidinedione therapy in the ADOPT drug-efficacy trial (n=4,351). Joint models were parameterised for: 1) current HbA1c response (change from baseline in HbA1c); 2) cumulative HbA1c response (total HbA1c change). Results: With metformin, greater HbA1c response did not increase risk of gastrointestinal events (Hazard ratio (HR) per 1% absolute greater current response 0.82 (95% confidence interval 0.67,1.01); HR per 1% higher cumulative response 0.90 (0.81,1.00)). With sulfonylureas, greater current response was associated with increased risk of hypoglycaemia (HR 1.41 (1.04,1.91)). With thiazolidinediones, greater response was associated with increased risk of oedema (current HR 1.45 (1.05,2.01); cumulative 1.22 (1.07,1.38)) but not fracture. Conclusion: Joint modelling provides a useful framework to evaluate the association between response to a drug and risk of developing side-effects. There may be great potential for widespread application of joint modelling to evaluate the risks and benefits of both new and established medications.This work was supported by the Medical Research Council (UK) (Grant MR/N00633X/1). ATH is a NIHR Senior Investigator and a Wellcome Trust Senior Investigator. ERP is a Wellcome Trust New Investigator (102820/Z/13/Z). AGJ is supported by an NIHR Clinician Scientist award. ATH and BMS are supported by the NIHR Exeter Clinical Research Facility. WEH received additional support from IQVIA and the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care South West Peninsula (NIHR CLAHRC South West Peninsula)

Viewpoint: A Pragmatic Approach to Constructing a Minimum Data Set for Care of Patients with HIV in Developing Countries

Providing quality health care requires access to continuous patient data that developing countries often lack. A panel of medical informatics specialists, clinical human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) specialists, and program managers suggests a minimum data set for supporting the management and monitoring of patients with HIV and their care programs in developing countries. The proposed minimum data set consists of data for registration and scheduling, monitoring and improving practice management, and describing clinical encounters and clinical care. Data should be numeric or coded using standard definitions and minimal free text. To enhance accuracy, efficiency, and availability, data should be recorded electronically by those generating them. Data elements must be sufficiently detailed to support clinical algorithms/guidelines and aggregation into broader categories for consumption by higher level users (e.g., national and international health care agencies). The proposed minimum data set will evolve over time as funding increases, care protocols change, and additional tests and treatments become available for HIV-infected patients in developing countrie

Transplantation of Ciliary Neurotrophic Factor-Expressing Adult Oligodendrocyte Precursor Cells Promotes Remyelination and Functional Recovery after SpinalCord Injury

Demyelination contributes to the dysfunction after traumatic spinal cord injury (SCI). We explored whether the combination of neurotrophic factors and transplantation of adult rat spinal cord oligodendrocyte precursor cells (OPCs) could enhance remyelination and functional recovery after SCI. Ciliary neurotrophic factor (CNTF) was the most effective neurotrophic factor to promote oligodendrocyte (OL) differentiation and survival of OPCs in vitro. OPCs were infected with retroviruses expressing enhanced green fluorescent protein (EGFP) or CNTF and transplanted into the contused adult thoracic spinal cord 9 d after injury. Seven weeks after transplantation, the grafted OPCs survived and integrated into the injured spinal cord. The survival of grafted CNTF-OPCs increased fourfold compared with EGFP-OPCs. The grafted OPCs differentiated into adenomatus polyposis coli (APC+) OLs, and CNTF significantly increased the percentage of APC+ OLs from grafted OPCs. Immunofluorescent and immunoelectron microscopic analyses showed that the grafted OPCs formed central myelin sheaths around the axons in the injured spinal cord. The number of OL-remyelinated axons in ventrolateral funiculus (VLF) or lateral funiculus (LF) at the injured epicenter was significantly increased in animals that received CNTF-OPC grafts compared with all other groups. Importantly, 75% of rats receiving CNTF-OPC grafts recovered transcranial magnetic motor-evoked potential and magnetic interenlargement reflex responses, indicating that conduction through the demyelinated axons in VLF or LF, respectively, was partially restored. More importantly, recovery of hindlimb locomotor function was significantly enhanced in animals receiving grafts of CNTF-OPCs. Thus, combined treatment with OPC grafts expressing CNTF can enhance remyelination and facilitate functional recovery after traumatic SCI

Microenvironmental modulation of the developing tumour: an immune-stromal dialogue.

Successful establishment of a tumour relies on a cascade of interactions between cancer cells and stromal cells within an evolving microenvironment. Both immune and nonimmune cellular components are key factors in this process, and the individual players may change their role from tumour elimination to tumour promotion as the microenvironment develops. While the tumour-stroma crosstalk present in an established tumour is well-studied, aspects in the early tumour or premalignant microenvironment have received less attention. This is in part due to the challenges in studying this process in the clinic or in mouse models. Here, we review the key anti- and pro-tumour factors in the early microenvironment and discuss how understanding this process may be exploited in the clinic

Racial Categories in Medical Practice: How Useful Are They?

Is it good medical practice for physicians to "eyeball" a patient's race when assessing their medical status or even to ask them to identify their race

Time trends in prescribing of type 2 diabetes drugs, glycaemic response and risk factors:a retrospective analysis of primary care data, 2010-2017

This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available on open access from Wiley via the DOI in this recordAim: Prescribing in type 2 diabetes has changed markedly in recent years, with increasing use of newer, more expensive glucose-lowering drugs. We aimed to describe population-level time trends in both prescribing patterns and short-term patient outcomes (HbA1c, weight, blood pressure, hypoglycemia and treatment discontinuation) after initiating new therapy. Materials and methods: We studied 81,532 UK patients with type 2 diabetes initiating a first to fourth line drug in primary care between 2010-2017 inclusive (Clinical Practice Research Datalink). Trends in new prescriptions and subsequent six and twelve-month adjusted changes in glycemic response (reduction in HbA1c), weight, blood pressure, and rates of hypoglycemia and treatment discontinuation were examined. Results: DPP4-inhibitor use second-line near doubled (41% of new prescriptions in 2017 vs. 22% 2010), replacing sulfonylureas as the most common second-line drug (29% 2017 vs. 53% 2010). SGLT2-inhibitors, introduced in 2013, comprised 17% of new first-fourth line prescriptions by 2017. First-line use of metformin remained stable (91% of new prescriptions in 2017 vs. 91% 2010). Over the study period there was little change in average glycemic response and treatment discontinuation. There was a modest reduction in weight second and third-line (second line 2017 vs. 2010: -1.5 kg (95%CI -1.9;-1.1), p<0.001), and a slight reduction in systolic blood pressure first to third-line (2017 vs. 2010 difference range -1.7 to -2.1 mmHg, all p<0.001). Hypoglycemia rates decreased second-line (incidence rate ratio 0.94 per-year (95%CI 0.88;1.00, p=0.04)), mirroring the decline in use of sulfonylureas. 4 Conclusions: Recent changes in prescribing of therapy in type 2 diabetes have not led to a change in glycemic response and have resulted in modest improvements in other population-level short-term patient outcomes.Medical Research Council (MRC)National Institute for Health Research (NIHR)Wellcome Trus

Patient stratification for determining optimal second-line and third-line therapy for type 2 diabetes:the TriMaster study

This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Nature Research via the DOI in this recordData availability: To minimize the risk of patient re-identification, de-identified individual patient-level clinical data are available under restricted access. Requests for access to anonymized individual participant data and study documents should be made to the corresponding author and will be reviewed by the Peninsula Research Bank Steering Committee. Access to data through the Peninsula Research Bank will be granted for requests with scientifically valid questions by academic teams with the necessary skills appropriate for the research. Data that can be shared will be released with the relevant transfer agreement.Code availability: Requests for access to code should be made to the corresponding author and will be reviewed by the Peninsula Research Bank Steering Committee. Access to code through the Peninsula Research Bank will be granted for requests with scientifically valid questions by academic teams with the necessary skills appropriate for the research. Code will be released by the lead statistician.Precision medicine aims to treat an individual based on their clinical characteristics. A differential drug response, critical to using these features for therapy selection, has never been examined directly in type 2 diabetes. In this study, we tested two hypotheses: (1) individuals with body mass index (BMI) > 30 kg/m2, compared to BMI ≤ 30 kg/m2, have greater glucose lowering with thiazolidinediones than with DPP4 inhibitors, and (2) individuals with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 60-90 ml/min/1.73 m2, compared to eGFR >90 ml/min/1.73 m2, have greater glucose lowering with DPP4 inhibitors than with SGLT2 inhibitors. The primary endpoint for both hypotheses was the achieved HbA1c difference between strata for the two drugs. In total, 525 people with type 2 diabetes participated in this UK-based randomized, double-blind, three-way crossover trial of 16 weeks of treatment with each of sitagliptin 100 mg once daily, canagliflozin 100 mg once daily and pioglitazone 30 mg once daily added to metformin alone or metformin plus sulfonylurea. Overall, the achieved HbA1c was similar for the three drugs: pioglitazone 59.6 mmol/mol, sitagliptin 60.0 mmol/mol and canagliflozin 60.6 mmol/mol (P = 0.2). Participants with BMI > 30 kg/m2, compared to BMI ≤ 30 kg/m2, had a 2.88 mmol/mol (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.98, 4.79) lower HbA1c on pioglitazone than on sitagliptin (n = 356, P = 0.003). Participants with eGFR 60-90 ml/min/1.73 m2, compared to eGFR >90 ml/min/1.73 m2, had a 2.90 mmol/mol (95% CI: 1.19, 4.61) lower HbA1c on sitagliptin than on canagliflozin (n = 342, P = 0.001). There were 2,201 adverse events reported, and 447/525 (85%) randomized participants experienced an adverse event on at least one of the study drugs. In this precision medicine trial in type 2 diabetes, our findings support the use of simple, routinely available clinical measures to identify the drug class most likely to deliver the greatest glycemic reduction for a given patient. (ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT02653209 ; ISRCTN registration: 12039221 .).Medical Research Council (MRC)National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR