29 research outputs found
Parched Prospects: The Emerging Water Crisis in South Africa
South Africa is over-exploiting its freshwater resources and water could
be a large constraint on the implementation of the National Development
Plan. Using the International Futures forecasting system, this paper models
and forecasts water demand and supply until 2035, the period covered by
the National Water Resource Strategy 2013. The authors’ research finds
that the gap between demand and supply increases and that the solutions
proposed by the Department of Water Affairs and Sanitation will not close
the gap without additional, aggressive measures. The authors propose such
measures for each sector of demand and each source of water supply.http://www.issafrica.org/futuresam201
Power and Influence in Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria and South Africa
This paper explores the changing power capabilities of Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia,
Nigeria, and South Africa (the ‘Big Five’) over the next 25 years. Of these countries,
Ethiopia and Nigeria are forecast to increase their power capabilities, whereas Algeria,
Egypt and South Africa are expected to stagnate or decline. Of the Big Five, two
currently punch above their weight – one that is rising, Ethiopia, and another whose
growth is stagnant, South Africa. If Nigeria were able to take the necessary steps that
would see far-reaching changes to the governance issues and social challenges that
currently beset the country, it could become Africa’s lone superpower.The Hanns Seidel Foundationhttp://www.issafrica.org/futuresam201