Exploration vs Exploitation vs Safety: Risk-averse Multi-Armed Bandits

Motivated by applications in energy management, this paper presents the Multi-Armed Risk-Aware Bandit (MARAB) algorithm. With the goal of limiting the exploration of risky arms, MARAB takes as arm quality its conditional value at risk. When the user-supplied risk level goes to 0, the arm quality tends toward the essential infimum of the arm distribution density, and MARAB tends toward the MIN multi-armed bandit algorithm, aimed at the arm with maximal minimal value. As a first contribution, this paper presents a theoretical analysis of the MIN algorithm under mild assumptions, establishing its robustness comparatively to UCB. The analysis is supported by extensive experimental validation of MIN and MARAB compared to UCB and state-of-art risk-aware MAB algorithms on artificial and real-world problems.Comment: 16 page

Self-Adaptive Surrogate-Assisted Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy

This paper presents a novel mechanism to adapt surrogate-assisted population-based algorithms. This mechanism is applied to ACM-ES, a recently proposed surrogate-assisted variant of CMA-ES. The resulting algorithm, saACM-ES, adjusts online the lifelength of the current surrogate model (the number of CMA-ES generations before learning a new surrogate) and the surrogate hyper-parameters. Both heuristics significantly improve the quality of the surrogate model, yielding a significant speed-up of saACM-ES compared to the ACM-ES and CMA-ES baselines. The empirical validation of saACM-ES on the BBOB-2012 noiseless testbed demonstrates the efficiency and the scalability w.r.t the problem dimension and the population size of the proposed approach, that reaches new best results on some of the benchmark problems.Comment: Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference (GECCO 2012) (2012

Structural Agnostic Modeling: Adversarial Learning of Causal Graphs

A new causal discovery method, Structural Agnostic Modeling (SAM), is presented in this paper. Leveraging both conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries in the data, SAM aims at recovering full causal models from continuous observational data along a multivariate non-parametric setting. The approach is based on a game between $d$ players estimating each variable distribution conditionally to the others as a neural net, and an adversary aimed at discriminating the overall joint conditional distribution, and that of the original data. An original learning criterion combining distribution estimation, sparsity and acyclicity constraints is used to enforce the end-to-end optimization of the graph structure and parameters through stochastic gradient descent. Besides the theoretical analysis of the approach in the large sample limit, SAM is extensively experimentally validated on synthetic and real data

Black-box optimization benchmarking of IPOP-saACM-ES on the BBOB-2012 noisy testbed

In this paper, we study the performance of IPOP-saACM-ES, recently proposed self-adaptive surrogate-assisted Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy. The algorithm was tested using restarts till a total number of function evaluations of $10^6D$ was reached, where $D$ is the dimension of the function search space. The experiments show that the surrogate model control allows IPOP-saACM-ES to be as robust as the original IPOP-aCMA-ES and outperforms the latter by a factor from 2 to 3 on 6 benchmark problems with moderate noise. On 15 out of 30 benchmark problems in dimension 20, IPOP-saACM-ES exceeds the records observed during BBOB-2009 and BBOB-2010.Comment: Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference (GECCO 2012) (2012