DAG-Based Attack and Defense Modeling: Don't Miss the Forest for the Attack Trees

This paper presents the current state of the art on attack and defense modeling approaches that are based on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). DAGs allow for a hierarchical decomposition of complex scenarios into simple, easily understandable and quantifiable actions. Methods based on threat trees and Bayesian networks are two well-known approaches to security modeling. However there exist more than 30 DAG-based methodologies, each having different features and goals. The objective of this survey is to present a complete overview of graphical attack and defense modeling techniques based on DAGs. This consists of summarizing the existing methodologies, comparing their features and proposing a taxonomy of the described formalisms. This article also supports the selection of an adequate modeling technique depending on user requirements

Attack-defense trees

Attack-defense trees are a novel methodology for graphical security modelling and assessment. They extend the well- known formalism of attack trees by allowing nodes that represent defensive measures to appear at any level of the tree. This enlarges the modelling capabilities of attack trees and makes the new formalism suitable for representing interactions between an attacker and a defender. Our formalization supports different semantical approaches for which we provide usage scenarios. We also formalize how to quantitatively analyse attack and defense scenarios using attribute