2,778 research outputs found
Welfare and excess volatility of exchange rates
We study the properties of a GEI model with nominal assets, outside money (injected into the economy as in Magill and Quinzii), and multiple currencies. We analyze the existence of monetary equilibria and the structure of the equilibrium set under two different assumptions on the determination of the exchange rates. If currencies are perfect substitutes, equilibrium allocations are indeterminate and, generically, sunspot equilibria exist. Generically, given a nonsunspot equilibrium, there are Pareto improving (and Pareto worsening) sunspot equilibria associated with an increase in the volatility of the future exchange rates. We interpret this property as showing that, in general, there is no clear-cut effect on welfare of the excess volatility of exchange rates, even when due to purely extrinsic phenomena.
Fiscal rules, inertia and discretionary fiscal policy
In current practice, changes in the cyclically-adjusted budget balance (CAB) are generally interpreted as reflecting the effort of discretionary fiscal policy. This paper shows that such an interpretation is not a sufficiently accurate description of the behaviour of fiscal policy, and, in some cases, it may even conceal an important deficit bias. Specifically, as growth projections are an important building block of budgetary plans, optimism in forecasting growth, coupled with pervasive lags and inertia in the implementation phase of the budget, will result in a fiscal expansion, even in the absence of discretionary measures.fiscal policy, cyclically-adjusted budget balance, potential output, forecast accuracy, policy inaction, Larch, Salto
Minimal Negation in the Ternary Relational Semantics
Minimal Negation is defined within the basic positive relevance logic in the relational ternary semantics: B+. Thus, by defining a number of subminimal negations in the B+ context, principles of weak negation are shown to be isolable. Complete ternary semantics are offered for minimal negation in B+. Certain forms of reductio are conjectured to be undefinable (in ternary frames) without extending the positive logic. Complete semantics for such kinds of reductio in a properly extended positive logic are offered
A comparison of different recombination operators for the 2-dimensional strip packing problem
In this paper, the three-stage two-dimensional rectangular strip packing problem is tackled using genetic algorithms. A new problem dependent recombination operator, called best inherited levels recombination (BIL), is introduced. A comparison of its performance is carried out with respect to four classical recombination operators. A complete study of the influence of the recombination operators on the genetic search, including the trade-off between exploration and exploitation in the search process, is presented. The results show that the use of our specialized BIL recombination outperforms the others more generic on all problem instances for all the metrics testedVII Workshop de Agentes y Sistemas Inteligentes (WASI)Red de Universidades con Carreras en Informática (RedUNCI
Sustainable construction: construction and demolition waste reconsidered
Although the construction sector has suffered a great increase and development in later decades acting as the main economic leading force in many European countries, it has produced, nevertheless, a great problem regarding the increase in the generation of construction and demolition waste (C&DW). This, together with the fact that in many European countries the amount of recycled and reused C&DW is still quite low has engendered a serious environmental problem and an urge to develop strategies and management plans to solve it. As it is well known, demolition waste has quite a potential for reuse, although a correct and available development within the construction industry is, to a great extend, still missing due to the lack of sustainable and practical mechanisms provided. This article summarizes the different applications that are presently prospering in the elaboration of alternative uses for C&DW and proposes various measures and strategies to improve the processing of this waste. In order to be environmentally more effective, a conscious and thoughtful management plan needs to be implemented. More precisely, this study unfolds a holistic approach towards waste, in which ethical, and environmental as well as new applications in construction issues interact in order to improve the situation in an attempt to come closer to the future goal of achieving a sustainable growth
In Continuity: A Reflection on the Passive Synthesis of Sameness
It is an intimate experience for us to think, to understand and to perceive things as being identical to themselves, and to suppose, consequently, that things are truly “what” they are. Something is always conceived as itself. The given is given full of itself in all its modifications. For instance, I can think or perceive partially some lips, I can see them almost in their whole or in some of their aspects, or just see them disappear. But it does not seem to be possible to think or to perceive a given as almost itself, as an aspect or as part of itself. It is the aim of this work to study the assumptions and conditions for the original position of sameness in experience, just as it occurs in the synthesis of the datum singular and distinct. The polarization of single tone (einstimmig) intentional rays in an αvτó already contains the aporiae peculiar to the experience of the identical, whose revelation shall lead us, on the one hand, to one of the nuclei of the analysis of passive synthesis, and, on the other hand, to point up how critical revision of the numerical or extensional model of self-identity is for the unity of meaning. Then, it will be a question of pointing out the reasons why in a phenomenology of identity, the renunciation of the phenomenological legitimacy of the αvτó as a guarantee for the different positions of identity must be observed.
DOI: 10.1007/978-94-011-3464-4_1
Interview with William Bill Southwick
Length: 50 minutes
Interview with William Southwick by Nancy Salt
Las redes sociales como instrumento de gestión de destinos turísticos
The main objective of this research focuses on determining the functions and application of social networks in the management of tourist destinations, with the aim of revealing the state of the art and degree of applicability.
First, in order to fulfill the objectives and theoretical hypotheses, a bibliographic analysis is carried out, which leads to the elaboration of the state of the art regarding the topic on which this doctoral thesis revolves. In this sense, the state of the art of the research is elaborated from a systematic analysis of the scientific literature on smart destinations (concept, dimensions, components, management systems) and their integration with social networks.
In order to respond to the second group of specific objectives and hypotheses, the methodology applied was quantitative, based on the analysis of a series of data from Spanish tourist destinations in terms of their presence and management of social networks. The quantification of these variables, for each of the 78 tourist destinations (among which were all the smart tourist destinations, hosted by the SEGITTUR project), allowed us to apply different quantitative statistical techniques, such as: a) Pearson's correlation analysis, to establish the type of interrelation between the independent variable (number of visitors) and the dependent variables, which referred to the presence and management of the destinations on the web and in social networks; and b) to determine the degree of use of social networks by the smart destinations with respect to the others, an ANOVA analysis was carried out between the variables of the most visited destinations with respect to those of the smart destinations, in order to detect possible statistically significant differences between the two groups of destinations with respect to their management of social networks.
Finally, in order to fulfill the third group of objectives and specific hypotheses, and to demonstrate whether there is complementarity between the data provided by social networks and those offered by official statistics, in terms of tourism demand, a qualitative methodology is followed, since it is based on an exploratory case analysis.
In this sense, the change experienced by the behaviors and feelings of tourists visiting Andalusia as a result of COVID-19 is analyzed, both with data from the Andalusia Tourism Situation Survey (ECTA, 2020) and by means of a sentiment analysis using Twitter data.
For the exploratory sentiment analysis, using Twitter, the statistical program R and the library package (rtweet) were used to retrieve messages from the social network Twitter (tweets). Machine learning sentiment analysis algorithms were then applied to the resulting data. Therefore, based on the results obtained from this doctoral thesis, we believe that it is necessary for tourist destinations to have a professional specialized in the management of social networks (social media manager), as this will allow the destination to make the most of its presence in social networks. In short, it is considered that research focused on the applicability of social networks to the management processes of tourist destinations is still in its early stages of development, especially if we analyze the real applicability it is having in specific tourist destinations. This recommendation is important both when it comes to adapting to the progressive development of new technologies, as well as to the evolution of the behavior and profile of tourists, who are increasingly familiar with the use of new technologies, and demand flexible experiences adapted to their preferences, among other characteristics.El objetivo principal de esta investigación se centra en determinar las funciones y aplicación de las redes sociales en la gestión de los destinos turísticos, con objeto de poner de manifiesto el estado de la cuestión y grado de aplicabilidad.
Primero para dar cumplimiento a los objetivos e hipótesis teóricas, se realiza un análisis bibliográfico, el cual da lugar a la elaboración del estado del arte respecto al tema sobre el que gira la presente tesis doctoral. En este sentido, el estado del arte de la investigación se elabora a partir de un análisis sistemático de la literatura científica acerca de los destinos turísticos inteligentes (concepto, dimensiones, componentes, sistemas de gestión) y su integración con las redes sociales.
Para dar respuesta al segundo grupo de objetivos e hipótesis específicas, la metodología aplicada fue de tipo cuantitativa, basada en el análisis de una serie de datos que arrojan los destinos turísticos españoles en cuanto a su presencia y gestión de las redes sociales. La cuantificación de estas variables, para cada uno de los 78 destinos turísticos (entre los que se encontraban todos los destinos turísticos inteligentes, acogidos al proyecto de SEGITTUR), nos permitió aplicar diferentes técnicas estadísticas cuantitativas, tales como: a) el análisis de correlación de Pearson, para establecer el tipo de interrelación entre la variable independiente (número de visitantes) y las variables dependientes, que se referían a la presencia y gestión de los destinos la web y en las redes sociales; y b) para determinar el grado de utilización de las redes sociales por parte de los destinos turísticos inteligentes respecto a los restantes, se realizó un análisis ANOVA entre las variables de los destinos más visitados respecto a las de los destinos turísticos inteligentes, con objeto de detectar posibles diferencias estadísticamente significativas entre ambos grupos de destinos en lo que respecta a la gestión que hacen de las redes sociales.
Por último, para dar cumplimiento al tercer grupo de objetivos e hipótesis específicas, y demostrar si existe complementariedad entre los datos que arrojan las redes sociales y los que ofrecen las estadísticas oficiales, en lo que respecta a la demanda turística, se sigue una metodología de corte cualitativa, ya que se fundamenta en un análisis de caso, de carácter exploratorio.
En este sentido, se analiza el cambio experimentado por los comportamientos y sentimientos de los turistas que visitan Andalucía como consecuencia de la COVID-19, tanto con los datos de la Encuesta de Coyuntura Turística de Andalucía (ECTA, 2020) como mediante un análisis de sentimientos con datos de Twitter. Para el análisis exploratorio de sentimientos, mediante Twitter, se utilizó el programa estadístico R y el paquete de biblioteca (rtweet) para la recuperación de mensajes de la red social Twitter (tweets). A continuación, se aplicaron algoritmos de análisis de sentimientos mediante aprendizaje automático a los datos resultantes.
Por todo ello, a partir de los resultados que se obtienen de esta tesis doctoral, consideramos que se hace necesario que los destinos turísticos cuenten con un profesional, especializado en la gestión de redes sociales (social media manager), pues ello permitirá al destino sacar el máximo provecho a su presencia en las redes sociales. No en vano, esta actuación posibilitará el máximo desempeño de las múltiples funciones que, a lo largo de la investigación, se han puesto de manifiesto, que pueden desempeñar esta herramienta, dentro de los procesos de gestión de los destinos turísticos
En definitiva, se considera que la investigación centrada en la aplicabilidad de las redes sociales a los procesos de gestión de los destinos turísticos está aún en sus primeras etapas de desarrollo, sobre todo si analizamos la aplicabilidad real que está teniendo en destinos turísticos concretos. Esta recomendación es importante tanto a la hora de adaptarse al progresivo desarrollo de las nuevas tecnologías, como por la evolución que viene experimentando el comportamiento y perfil de los turistas, los cuales, cada vez, están más familiarizados con el uso de nuevas tecnologías, y demandan experiencias flexibles y adaptadas a sus preferencias, entre otras características
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