Near-Infrared Microlensing of Stars by the Super-Massive Black Hole in the Galactic Center

We investigate microlensing amplification of faint stars in the dense stellar cluster in the Galactic Center (GC) by the super-massive black hole (BH). Such events would appear very close to the position of the radio source SgrA*, which is thought to coincide with the BH, and could be observed during the monitoring of stellar motions in the GC. We use the observed K-band (2.2 um) luminosity function (KLF) in the GC and in Baade's Window, as well as stellar population synthesis computations, to construct KLF models for the inner 300 pc of the Galaxy. These, and the observed dynamical properties of this region, are used to compute the rates of microlensing events, which amplify stars above specified detection thresholds. We present computations of the lensing rates and amplifications as functions of the event durations (weeks to years), for a range of detection thresholds. We find that short events dominate the total rate and that long events tend to have large amplifications. For the current detection limit of K=17 mag, the total microlensing rate is 0.003 1/yr, and the rate of events with durations >1 yr is 0.001 1/yr. Recent GC proper motion studies have revealed the possible presence of one or two variable K-band sources very close to SgrA* (Genzel et al 97; Ghez et al 98). These sources may have attained peak brightnesses of K~15 mag, about 1.5-2 mag above the observational detection limits, and appear to have varied on a timescale of ~1 yr. This behavior is consistent with long-duration microlensing of faint stars by the BH. However, we estimate that the probability that such an event could have been detected during the course of the recent proper motion studies is \~0.5%. A ten-fold improvement in the detection limit and 10 yr of monthly monitoring would increase the total detection probability to ~20%. (Abridged)Comment: 29 p. with 5 figs. To appear in ApJ. Changed to reflect published version. Short discussions of solar metallicity luminosity function and star-star microlensing adde

Exploring the Milky Way Circumgalactic Medium in a Cosmological Context with a Semi-Analytic Model

We combine the Santa-Cruz Semi-Analytic Model (SAM) for galaxy formation and evolution with the circumgalactic medium (CGM) model presented in Faerman et al. (2020) to explore the CGM properties of $L^{*}$ galaxies. We use the SAM to generate a sample of galaxies with halo masses similar to the Milky Way (MW) halo, $M_{\rm vir} \approx 10^{12}~{\rm M_{sun}}$, and find that the CGM mass and mean metallicity in the sample are correlated. We use the CGM masses and metallicities of the SAM galaxies as inputs for the FSM20 model, and vary the amount of non-thermal support. The density profiles in our models can be approximated by power-law functions with slopes in the range of $0.75 < a_n < 1.25$, with higher non-thermal pressure resulting in flatter distributions. We explore how the gas pressure, dispersion measure, OVI-OVIII column densities, and cooling rates behave with the gas distribution and total mass. We show that for CGM masses below $\sim 3 \times 10^{10}~{\rm M_{sun}}$, photoionization has a significant effect on the column densities of OVI and OVIII. The combination of different MW CGM observations favors models with similar fractions in thermal pressure, magnetic fields/cosmic rays, and turbulent support, and with $M_{\rm gas} \sim 3-10 \times 10^{10}~{\rm M_{sun}}$. The MW OVI column requires $t_{\rm cool}/t_{\rm dyn} \sim 4$, independent of the gas distribution. The AGN jet-driven heating rates in the SAM are enough to offset the CGM cooling, although exact balance is not required in star-forming galaxies. We provide predictions for the columns densities of additional metal ions - NV, NeVIII, and MgX.Comment: Submitted to ApJ. 19 pages, 15 figures (+ appendix

The Ratio of Ortho- to Para-H2 in Photodissociation Regions

We discuss the ratio of ortho- to para-H2 in photodissociation regions (PDRs). We draw attention to an apparent confusion in the literature between the ortho-to-para ratio of molecules in FUV-pumped vibrationally excited states, and the H2 ortho-to-para abundance ratio. These ratios are not the same because the process of FUV-pumping of fluorescent H2 emission in PDRs occurs via optically thick absorption lines. Thus, gas with an equilibrium ratio of ortho- to para-H2 equal to 3 will yield FUV-pumped vibrationally excited ortho-to-para ratios smaller than 3, because the ortho-H2 pumping rates are preferentially reduced by optical depth effects. Indeed, if the ortho and para pumping lines are on the ``square root'' part of the curve-of-growth, then the expected ratio of ortho and para vibrational line strengths is the square root of 3, ~ 1.7, close to the typically observed value. Thus, contrary to what has sometimes been stated in the literature, most previous measurements of the ratio of ortho- to para-H2 in vibrationally excited states are entirely consistent with a total ortho-to-para ratio of 3, the equilibrium value for temperatures greater than 200 K. We present an analysis and several detailed models which illustrate the relationship between the total ratios of ortho- to para-H2 and the vibrationally excited ortho-to-para ratios in PDRs. Recent Infrared Space Observatory (ISO) measurements of pure rotational and vibrational H2 emissions from the PDR in the star-forming region S140 provide strong observational support for our conclusions.Comment: 23 pages (including 5 figures), LaTeX, uses aaspp4.sty, accepted for publication in Ap

Psychosocial aspects of closed- and open-loop insulin delivery: closing the loop in adults with Type 1 diabetes in the home setting.

AIMS: To explore the psychosocial experiences of closed-loop technology and to compare ratings of closed- and open-loop technology for adults with Type 1 diabetes taking part in a randomized crossover study. METHODS: Adults (aged > 18 years) on insulin pump therapy were recruited to receive a first phase of either real-time continuous glucose monitoring with overnight closed-loop or real-time continuous glucose monitoring alone (open-loop) followed by a second phase of the alternative treatment in random order, at home for 4 weeks, unsupervised. Participants were invited to share their views in semi-structured interviews. The impact of the closed-loop technology, positive and negative aspects of living with the device overnight, along with the hopes and anxieties of the participants, were explored. RESULTS: The participants in the trial were 24 adults with a mean (sd) age of 43 (12) years, of whom 54% were men. The mean (range) interview duration was 26 (12-46) min. Content and thematic analysis showed the following key positive themes: improved blood glucose control (n = 16); reassurance/reduced worry (n = 16); improved overnight control leading to improved daily functioning and diabetes control (n = 16); and improved sleep (n = 8). The key negative themes were: technical difficulties (n = 24); intrusiveness of alarms (n = 13); and size of equipment (n = 7). Of the 24 participant, 20 would recommend the closed-loop technology. CONCLUSIONS: Closed-loop therapy has positive effects when it works in freeing participants from the demands of self-management. The downside was technical difficulties, particularly concerning the pump and 'connectivity', which it is hoped will improve. Future research should continue to explore the acceptability of the closed-loop system as a realistic therapy option, taking account of user concerns as new systems are designed. Failure to do this may reduce the eventual utility of new systems.Diabetes UKThis is the accepted manuscript. The final version is available at http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/dme.12706

Mergers and Mass Accretion Rates in Galaxy Assembly: The Millennium Simulation Compared to Observations of z~2 Galaxies

Recent observations of UV-/optically selected, massive star forming galaxies at z~2 indicate that the baryonic mass assembly and star formation history is dominated by continuous rapid accretion of gas and internal secular evolution, rather than by major mergers. We use the Millennium Simulation to build new halo merger trees, and extract halo merger fractions and mass accretion rates. We find that even for halos not undergoing major mergers the mass accretion rates are plausibly sufficient to account for the high star formation rates observed in z~2 disks. On the other hand, the fraction of major mergers in the Millennium Simulation is sufficient to account for the number counts of submillimeter galaxies (SMGs), in support of observational evidence that these are major mergers. When following the fate of these two populations in the Millennium Simulation to z=0, we find that subsequent mergers are not frequent enough to convert all z~2 turbulent disks into elliptical galaxies at z=0. Similarly, mergers cannot transform the compact SMGs/red sequence galaxies at z~2 into observed massive cluster ellipticals at z=0. We argue therefore, that secular and internal evolution must play an important role in the evolution of a significant fraction of z~2 UV-/optically and submillimeter selected galaxy populations.Comment: 5 pages, 4 figures, Accepted for publication in Ap

Analysis of heat shock proteins and cytokines expressed during early stages of osteoarthritis in a mouse model

SummaryObjective:Osteoarthritis (OA) is a debilitating disease of the joints. The joints of affected individuals are characterized by a progressive degeneration of articular cartilage leading to inflammation and pain. The expression of heat shock proteins (HSPs) is a ubiquitous self-protective mechanism of all cells under stress, furthermore, the synovium of osteoarthritic individuals contains high levels of cytokines. This study seeks to establish the role of HSPs and cytokines in OA.Methods:We have investigated the presence of HSPs and cytokines in articular cartilage during early stages of OA in a mouse that is known to develop spontaneous OA lesions (C57 black mouse). The articular cartilage from closely related mice (C57BL/6) was used as control. Messenger RNAs (mRNAs) for HSPs (HSP32, HSP47, HSP60, HSP70, HSP84 and HSP86) and cytokines [interleukin-1β (IL-1β), interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) and interferon-γ (IFN-γ)] were detected by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR).Results:The mRNA levels of HSP47, HSP70, HSP86, IL-6, and IFN-γ were up-regulated in the cartilage of C57 black mice, whereas, the level of expression of HSP32, HSP60, HSP84 and IL-1β remained unchanged. Furthermore, the expression of IL-1β, IL-6, TNF-α and IFN-γ mRNA was associated with expression of HSP60, HSP47, HSP70 and HSP70/HSP86 mRNA, respectively.Conclusions:The findings in this study suggest that chondrocytes are conditioned under non-physiological stress during early stages of OA, In addition, among HSPs, HSP70 was associated with two different highly expressed cytokines in C57 black mice, indicating the possible role of HSP70 as a characteristic indicator of early stage of OA

Physiological responses to cuddling babies with hypoxic–ischaemic encephalopathy during therapeutic hypothermia:an observational study

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether parents cuddling infants during therapeutic hypothermia (TH) would affect cooling therapy, cardiorespiratory or neurophysiological measures. The secondary aim was to explore parent–infant bonding, maternal postnatal depression and breastfeeding. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: Two tertiary neonatal intensive care units (NICU). PARTICIPANTS: Parents and their term-born infants (n=27) receiving TH and intensive care for neonatal hypoxic–ischaemic encephalopathy. INTERVENTIONS: Cuddling up to 2 hours during TH using a standard operating procedure developed in the study (CoolCuddle). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mean difference in temperature, cardiorespiratory and neurophysiological variables before, during and after the cuddle. Secondary outcomes were parental bonding, maternal postnatal depression and breastfeeding. RESULTS: During 70 CoolCuddles (115 cumulative hours), there were measurable increases in rectal temperature (0.07°C (0.03 to 0.10)) and upper margin of amplitude-integrated electroencephalogram (1.80 µV (0.83 to 2.72)) and decreases in oxygen saturations (−0.57% (−1.08 to −0.05)) compared with the precuddle period. After the cuddle, there was an increase in end-tidal CO(2) (0.25 kPa (95% CI 0.14 to 0.35)) and mean blood pressure (4.09 mm Hg (95% CI 0.96 to 7.21)) compared with the precuddle period. From discharge to 8 weeks postpartum, maternal postnatal depression declined (13 (56.5%) vs 5 (23.8%), p=0.007); breastfeeding rate differed (71% vs 50%, p=0.043), but was higher than national average at discharge (70% vs 54.6%) and mother–infant bonding (median (IQR): 3 (0–6) vs 3 (1–4)) remained stable. CONCLUSION: In this small study, CoolCuddle was associated with clinically non-significant, but measurable, changes in temperature, cardiorespiration and neurophysiology. No infant met the criteria to stop the cuddles or had any predefined adverse events. CoolCuddle may improve breastfeeding and requires investigation in different NICU settings

Age before stage: insulin resistance rises before the onset of puberty: a 9-year longitudinal study (EarlyBird 26).

OBJECTIVE: Insulin resistance (IR) is associated with diabetes. IR is higher during puberty in both sexes, with some studies showing the increase to be independent of changes in adiposity. Few longitudinal studies have reported on children, and it remains unclear when the rise in IR that is often attributed to puberty really begins. We sought to establish from longitudinal data its relationship to pubertal onset, and interactions with age, sex, adiposity, and IGF-1. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The EarlyBird Diabetes study is a longitudinal prospective cohort study of healthy children aged 5-14 years. Homeostasis model assessment (HOMA-IR), skinfolds (SSF), adiposity (percent fat, measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry), serum leptin, and IGF-1 were measured annually in 235 children (134 boys). Pubertal onset was adduced from Tanner stage (TS) and from the age at which luteinizing hormone (LH) first became serially detectable (≥0.2 international units/L). RESULTS: IR rose progressively from age 7 years, 3-4 years before TS2 was reached or LH became detectable. Rising adiposity and IGF-1 together explained 34% of the variance in IR in boys and 35% in girls (both P < 0.001) over the 3 years preceding pubertal onset. The contribution of IGF-1 to IR was greater in boys, despite their comparatively lower IGF-1 levels. CONCLUSIONS: IR starts to rise in mid-childhood, some years before puberty. Its emergence relates more to the age of the child than to pubertal onset. More than 60% of the variation in IR prior to puberty was unexplained. The demography of childhood diabetes is changing, and prepubertal IR may be important