Rights, interests and reasoning in juvenile justice

The central theme of the thesis is legal intervention in the lives of children. The underlying question is whether such intervention should be regarded as a violation of children's rights, as claimed by child-libertarians, or whether it is more appropriate to view it as a furthering of interests, in the manner of the advocates of protectionism. A coherence of theory and practice is regarded throughout as a necessary condition of achieving justice for children. Rights and analyses of rights are examined briefly as a preliminary step towards articulating a framework for a theory of children's rights. It is argued that such a theory must necessarily invoke children's interests. The concept of interests is examined in some depth and it is shown how any substantive theory of the interests of children must accommodate both "want-regarding" and "ideal-regarding" considerations. Such a view is held to gain considerable support from an analysis of actual reasoning about interests. The discussion now turns to an examination of the Scottish Children's Hearings System as illustrative both of the conceptual points already elucidated, and of the complexities involved in decision-making in a system in which interests are considered to be the paramount concern. In conclusion, the thesis examines the relevance of principles of justice in a setting which has now been characterised as necessarily open to dispute. Some practical implications are presented by way of a final 'testing' of the theoretical conclusions

Evaluation of a five-year predicted survival model for cystic fibrosis in later time periods.

We evaluated a multivariable logistic regression model predicting 5-year survival derived from a 1993-1997 cohort from the United States Cystic Fibrosis (CF) Foundation Patient Registry to assess whether therapies introduced since 1993 have altered applicability in cohorts, non-overlapping in time, from 1993-1998, 1999-2004, 2005-2010 and 2011-2016. We applied Kaplan-Meier statistics to assess unadjusted survival. We tested logistic regression model discrimination using the C-index and calibration using Hosmer-Lemeshow tests to examine original model performance and guide updating as needed. Kaplan-Meier age-adjusted 5-year probability of death in the CF population decreased substantially during 1993-2016. Patients in successive cohorts were generally healthier at entry, with higher average age, weight and lung function and fewer pulmonary exacerbations annually. CF-related diabetes prevalence, however, steadily increased. Newly derived multivariable logistic regression models for 5-year survival in new cohorts had similar estimated coefficients to the originals. The original model exhibited excellent calibration and discrimination when applied to later cohorts despite improved survival and remains useful for predicting 5-year survival. All models may be used to stratify patients for new studies, and the original coefficients may be useful as a baseline to search for additional but rare events that affect survival in CF

Post-trial monitoring of a randomised controlled trial of intensive glycaemic control in type 2 diabetes extended from 10 years to 24 years (UKPDS 91)

BACKGROUND: The 20-year UK Prospective Diabetes Study showed major clinical benefits for people with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes randomly allocated to intensive glycaemic control with sulfonylurea or insulin therapy or metformin therapy, compared with conventional glycaemic control. 10-year post-trial follow-up identified enduring and emerging glycaemic and metformin legacy treatment effects. We aimed to determine whether these effects would wane by extending follow-up for another 14 years.METHODS: 5102 patients enrolled between 1977 and 1991, of whom 4209 (82·5%) participants were originally randomly allocated to receive either intensive glycaemic control (sulfonylurea or insulin, or if overweight, metformin) or conventional glycaemic control (primarily diet). At the end of the 20-year interventional trial, 3277 surviving participants entered a 10-year post-trial monitoring period, which ran until Sept 30, 2007. Eligible participants for this study were all surviving participants at the end of the 10-year post-trial monitoring period. An extended follow-up of these participants was done by linking them to their routinely collected National Health Service (NHS) data for another 14 years. Clinical outcomes were derived from records of deaths, hospital admissions, outpatient visits, and accident and emergency unit attendances. We examined seven prespecified aggregate clinical outcomes (ie, any diabetes-related endpoint, diabetes-related death, death from any cause, myocardial infarction, stroke, peripheral vascular disease, and microvascular disease) by the randomised glycaemic control strategy on an intention-to-treat basis using Kaplan-Meier time-to-event and log-rank analyses. This study is registered with the ISRCTN registry, number ISRCTN75451837.FINDINGS: Between Oct 1, 2007, and Sept 30, 2021, 1489 (97·6%) of 1525 participants could be linked to routinely collected NHS administrative data. Their mean age at baseline was 50·2 years (SD 8·0), and 41·3% were female. The mean age of those still alive as of Sept 30, 2021, was 79·9 years (SD 8·0). Individual follow-up from baseline ranged from 0 to 42 years, median 17·5 years (IQR 12·3-26·8). Overall follow-up increased by 21%, from 66 972 to 80 724 person-years. For up to 24 years after trial end, the glycaemic and metformin legacy effects showed no sign of waning. Early intensive glycaemic control with sulfonylurea or insulin therapy, compared with conventional glycaemic control, showed overall relative risk reductions of 10% (95% CI 2-17; p=0·015) for death from any cause, 17% (6-26; p=0·002) for myocardial infarction, and 26% (14-36; p&lt;0·0001) for microvascular disease. Corresponding absolute risk reductions were 2·7%, 3·3%, and 3·5%, respectively. Early intensive glycaemic control with metformin therapy, compared with conventional glycaemic control, showed overall relative risk reductions of 20% (95% CI 5-32; p=0·010) for death from any cause and 31% (12-46; p=0·003) for myocardial infarction. Corresponding absolute risk reductions were 4·9% and 6·2%, respectively. No significant risk reductions during or after the trial for stroke or peripheral vascular disease were observed for both intensive glycaemic control groups, and no significant risk reduction for microvascular disease was observed for metformin therapy.INTERPRETATION: Early intensive glycaemic control with sulfonylurea or insulin, or with metformin, compared with conventional glycaemic control, appears to confer a near-lifelong reduced risk of death and myocardial infarction. Achieving near normoglycaemia immediately following diagnosis might be essential to minimise the lifetime risk of diabetes-related complications to the greatest extent possible.FUNDING: University of Oxford Nuffield Department of Population Health Pump Priming.</p

Euclidean Black Hole Vortices

We argue the existence of solutions of the Euclidean Einstein equations that correspond to a vortex sitting at the horizon of a black hole. We find the asymptotic behaviours, at the horizon and at infinity, of vortex solutions for the gauge and scalar fields in an abelian Higgs model on a Euclidean Schwarzschild background and interpolate between them by integrating the equations numerically. Calculating the backreaction shows that the effect of the vortex is to cut a slice out of the Euclidean Schwarzschild geometry. Consequences of these solutions for black hole thermodynamics are discussed.Comment: 24 page

Microbial Interactions in the Cystic Fibrosis Airway.

Interactions in the airway ecology of cystic fibrosis may alter organism persistence and clinical outcomes. Better understanding of such interactions could guide clinical decisions. We used generalized estimating equations to fit logistic regression models to longitudinal 2-year patient cohorts in the Cystic Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry, 2003 to 2011, in order to study associations between the airway organisms present in each calendar year and their presence in the subsequent year. Models were adjusted for clinical characteristics and multiple observations per patient. Adjusted models were tested for sensitivity to cystic fibrosis-specific treatments. The study included 28,042 patients aged 6 years and older from 257 accredited U.S. care centers and affiliates. These patients had produced sputum specimens for at least two consecutive years that were cultured for methicillin-sensitive Staphylococcus aureus, methicillin-resistant S. aureus, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Burkholderia cepacia complex, Stenotrophomonas maltophilia, Achromobacter xylosoxidans, and Candida and Aspergillus species. We analyzed 99.8% of 538,458 sputum cultures from the patients during the study period. Methicillin-sensitive S. aureus was negatively associated with subsequent Paeruginosa. Paeruginosa was negatively associated with subsequent B. cepacia complex, Axylosoxidans, and Smaltophilia. Bcepacia complex was negatively associated with the future presence of all bacteria studied, as well as with that of Aspergillus species. Paeruginosa, B. cepacia complex, and S. maltophilia were each reciprocally and positively associated with Aspergillus species. Independently of patient characteristics, the organisms studied interact and alter the outcomes of treatment decisions, sometimes in unexpected ways. By inhibiting P. aeruginosa, methicillin-sensitive S. aureus may delay lung disease progression. Paeruginosa and B. cepacia complex may inhibit other organisms by decreasing airway biodiversity, potentially worsening lung disease

Abelian Higgs Hair for Black Holes

We find evidence for the existence of solutions of the Einstein and Abelian Higgs field equations describing a black hole pierced by a Nielsen-Olesen vortex. This situation falls outside the scope of the usual no-hair arguments due to the non-trivial topology of the vortex configuration and the special properties of its energy-momentum tensor. By a combination of numerical and perturbative techniques we conclude that the black hole horizon has no difficulty in supporting the long range fields of the Nielsen Olesen string. Moreover, the effect of the vortex can in principle be measured from infinity, thus justifying its characterization as black hole ``hair".Comment: 31 pages, plain tex, 7 figures included. minor corrections and references adde

Vortices and black holes in dilatonic gravity

We study analytically black holes pierced by a thin vortex in dilatonic gravity for an arbitrary coupling of the vortex to the dilaton in an arbitrary frame. We show that the horizon of the charged black hole supports the long-range fields of the Nielsen-Olesen vortex that can be considered as black hole hair for both massive and massless dilatons. We also prove that extremal black holes exhibit a flux expulsion phenomenon for a sufficiently thick vortex. We consider the gravitational back-reaction of the thin vortex on the spacetime geometry and dilaton, and discuss under what circumstances the vortex can be used to smooth out the singularities in the dilatonic C-metrics. The effect of the vortex on the massless dilaton is to generate an additional dilaton flux across the horizon.Comment: 16 pages revtex, published versio

Assessment of Cardiac Energy Metabolism, Function, and Physiology in Patients With Heart Failure Taking Empagliflozin : The Randomized, Controlled EMPA-VISION Trial

Acknowledgments The authors express their gratitude toward the Oxford cardiovascular magnetic resonance nursing team, specifically Judith DeLos Santos, Catherine Krasopoulos, Marion Galley, and Claudia Nunes; and the diabetes trials unit team, particularly Irene Kennedy, for her organization skills. The authors also thank the team of the computed tomography suite at the Manor Hospital Oxford as well as all patients who participated in this trial. Drs Holman and Neubauer are Emeritus National Institute for Health Research senior investigators. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the National Health Service, National Institute for Health and Care Research, or Department of Health. Sources of Funding Boehringer Ingelheim is the sponsor of the EMPA-VISION study and was involved in early stages of its study design. Boehringer Ingelheim employees (Drs Lee and Massey) also supported preparation of this manuscript. Dr Neubauer acknowledges support from the Oxford British Heart Foundation Centre of Research Excellence. Drs Holman and Neubauer were supported by the Oxford National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre. Drs Rodgers and Valkovič are funded by Sir Henry Dale Fellowships from the Wellcome Trust and the Royal Society [098436/Z/12/B and 221805/Z/20/Z, respectively]. Dr Valkovič also gratefully acknowledges support of the Slovak Grant Agencies VEGA (Vedecká grantová agentúra) [2/0003/20] and APVV (Slovak Research and Development Agency) [No. 19–0032]. Dr Miller acknowledges support from the Novo Foundation (NNF21OC0068683).Peer reviewedPublisher PD

Randomised clinical trial: the 5-HT4 agonist revexepride in patients with gastro-oesophageal reflux disease who have persistent symptoms despite PPI therapy

A substantial proportion of patients with gastro-oesophageal reflux disease (GERD) have only a partial response to proton pump inhibitor (PPI) therapy. Prokinetic drugs may improve reflux symptoms by enhancing oesophageal motility and gastric emptying. To evaluate the effect of revexepride, a novel prokinetic 5-hydroxytryptamine type 4 (5-HT4 ) receptor agonist, compared with placebo, in patients with GERD who have a partial response to PPIs. A phase 2b, double-blind, parallel-group study was conducted, in which patients were randomised to one of three revexepride treatment groups (0.1, 0.5 and 2.0 mg three times daily) or placebo (1:1:1:1 ratio). Daily e-diary data captured patients' symptoms over an 8-week treatment period. The primary efficacy outcome was the weekly percentage of regurgitation-free days in the second half of the study (weeks 5-8). In total, 480 patients were randomised and 477 received treatment (mean age 47.9 years; 61% women). The mean percentage of regurgitation-free days increased from baseline (range, 15.0-18.8%) to week 8 (62.3-70.5%) in all four study arms; however, there were no statistically significant differences in this change between placebo and the three treatment arms. No dose-dependent relationship in treatment effect was observed for any of the study endpoints. The incidence of treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) was revexepride dose-dependent. Only one serious TEAE occurred and none resulted in death. Revexepride was no more effective than placebo in controlling regurgitation in patients with GERD symptoms partially responsive to PPIs. Revexepride was well tolerated. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01472939