The Uses of Fear in Preventive Medicine

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Behavior of a Model Dynamical System with Applications to Weak Turbulence

We experimentally explore solutions to a model Hamiltonian dynamical system derived in Colliander et al., 2012, to study frequency cascades in the cubic defocusing nonlinear Schr\"odinger equation on the torus. Our results include a statistical analysis of the evolution of data with localized amplitudes and random phases, which supports the conjecture that energy cascades are a generic phenomenon. We also identify stationary solutions, periodic solutions in an associated problem and find experimental evidence of hyperbolic behavior. Many of our results rely upon reframing the dynamical system using a hydrodynamic formulation.Comment: 22 pages, 14 figure

Syrian Refugees and the Digital Passage to Europe: Smartphone Infrastructures and Affordances

This research examines the role of smartphones in refugees’ journeys. It traces the risks and possibilities afforded by smartphones for facilitating information, communication, and migration flows in the digital passage to Europe. For the Syrian and Iraqi refugee respondents in this France-based qualitative study, smartphones are lifelines, as important as water and food. They afford the planning, navigation, and documentation of journeys, enabling regular contact with family, friends, smugglers, and those who help them. However, refugees are simultaneously exposed to new forms of exploitation and surveillance with smartphones as migrations are financialised by smugglers and criminalized by European policies, and the digital passage is dependent on a contingent range of sociotechnical and material assemblages. Through an infrastructural lens, we capture the dialectical dynamics of opportunity and vulnerability, and the forms of resilience and solidarity, that arise as forced migration and digital connectivity coincide

Singularites in the Bousseneq equation and in the generalized KdV equation

In this paper, two kinds of the exact singular solutions are obtained by the improved homogeneous balance (HB) method and a nonlinear transformation. The two exact solutions show that special singular wave patterns exists in the classical model of some nonlinear wave problems

Steady State Solutions of a Mass-Conserving Bistable Equation with a Saturating Flux

We consider a mass-conserving bistable equation with a saturating flux on an interval. This is the quasilinear analogue of the Rubinstein-Steinberg equation, suitable for description of order parameter conserving solid-solid phase transitions in the case of large spatial gradients in the order parameter. We discuss stationary solutions and investigate the change in bifurcation diagrams as the mass constraint and the length of the interval are varied.Comment: 26 pages, 14 figure

Machine Learning Can Predict the Timing and Size of Analog Earthquakes

Despite the growing spatiotemporal density of geophysical observations at subduction zones, predicting the timing and size of future earthquakes remains a challenge. Here we simulate multiple seismic cycles in a laboratory‐scale subduction zone. The model creates both partial and full margin ruptures, simulating magnitude M_w 6.2–8.3 earthquakes with a coefficient of variation in recurrence intervals of 0.5, similar to real subduction zones. We show that the common procedure of estimating the next earthquake size from slip‐deficit is unreliable. On the contrary, machine learning predicts well the timing and size of laboratory earthquakes by reconstructing and properly interpreting the spatiotemporally complex loading history of the system. These results promise substantial progress in real earthquake forecasting, as they suggest that the complex motion recorded by geodesists at subduction zones might be diagnostic of earthquake imminence

Ill-posedness of degenerate dispersive equations

In this article we provide numerical and analytical evidence that some degenerate dispersive partial differential equations are ill-posed. Specifically we study the K(2,2) equation $u_t = (u^2)_{xxx} + (u^2)_{x}$ and the "degenerate Airy" equation $u_t = 2 u u_{xxx}$. For K(2,2) our results are computational in nature: we conduct a series of numerical simulations which demonstrate that data which is very small in $H^2$ can be of unit size at a fixed time which is independent of the data's size. For the degenerate Airy equation, our results are fully rigorous: we prove the existence of a compactly supported self-similar solution which, when combined with certain scaling invariances, implies ill-posedness (also in $H^2$)

Deformation of Curved BPS Domain Walls and Supersymmetric Flows on 2d K\"ahler-Ricci Soliton

We consider some aspects of the curved BPS domain walls and their supersymmetric Lorentz invariant vacua of the four dimensional N=1 supergravity coupled to a chiral multiplet. In particular, the scalar manifold can be viewed as a two dimensional K\"ahler-Ricci soliton generating a one-parameter family of K\"ahler manifolds evolved with respect to a real parameter, $\tau$. This implies that all quantities describing the walls and their vacua indeed evolve with respect to $\tau$. Then, the analysis on the eigenvalues of the first order expansion of BPS equations shows that in general the vacua related to the field theory on a curved background do not always exist. In order to verify their existence in the ultraviolet or infrared regions one has to perform the renormalization group analysis. Finally, we discuss in detail a simple model with a linear superpotential and the K\"ahler-Ricci soliton considered as the Rosenau solution.Comment: 19 pages, no figures. Typos corrected. Published versio

Symmetries of a class of nonlinear fourth order partial differential equations

In this paper we study symmetry reductions of a class of nonlinear fourth order partial differential equations \be u_{tt} = \left(\kappa u + \gamma u^2\right)_{xx} + u u_{xxxx} +\mu u_{xxtt}+\alpha u_x u_{xxx} + \beta u_{xx}^2, \ee where $\alpha$, $\beta$, $\gamma$, $\kappa$ and $\mu$ are constants. This equation may be thought of as a fourth order analogue of a generalization of the Camassa-Holm equation, about which there has been considerable recent interest. Further equation (1) is a ``Boussinesq-type'' equation which arises as a model of vibrations of an anharmonic mass-spring chain and admits both ``compacton'' and conventional solitons. A catalogue of symmetry reductions for equation (1) is obtained using the classical Lie method and the nonclassical method due to Bluman and Cole. In particular we obtain several reductions using the nonclassical method which are no} obtainable through the classical method