3 research outputs found
METZOON : Development of a quantitative microbial risk assessment for human salmonellosis through household consumption of fresh minced pork méat in Belgium.
A quantitative microbial risk assessment according to the Codex Alimentarius Principles is conducted
to evaluate the risk on human salmonellosis through household consumption of fresh
minced pork meat in Belgium. The quantitative exposure assessment is carried out by building
a modular risk model, called the METZOON-model, which covers the pork production
from farm to fork. In the METZOON-model, the food production pathway is split up in six
consecutive modules: (1) primary production, (2) transport & lairage, (3) slaughterhouse, (4)
post-processing, (5) distribution & storage and (6) preparation & consumption. All the modules
are developed to resemble as closely as possible the Belgian situation making use of the
available national data. Several statistical refinements and improved modeling techniques are
proposed. The model produces highly realistic results. The baseline predicted number of annual
salmonellosis cases is 20513 [st. dev. 9061.45]. The risk is estimated higher for the susceptible
population [est. 4.713 × 10−5; st. dev. 1.466 × 10−5] compared to the normal population [est.
7.704 × 10−6; st. dev. 5.414 × 10−6] and is mainly due to cross contamination via cook’s hands
and only for a small extent to undercooking.METZOO