Soccer: is scoring goals a predictable Poissonian process?

The non-scientific event of a soccer match is analysed on a strictly scientific level. The analysis is based on the recently introduced concept of a team fitness (Eur. Phys. J. B 67, 445, 2009) and requires the use of finite-size scaling. A uniquely defined function is derived which quantitatively predicts the expected average outcome of a soccer match in terms of the fitness of both teams. It is checked whether temporary fitness fluctuations of a team hamper the predictability of a soccer match. To a very good approximation scoring goals during a match can be characterized as independent Poissonian processes with pre-determined expectation values. Minor correlations give rise to an increase of the number of draws. The non-Poissonian overall goal distribution is just a consequence of the fitness distribution among different teams. The limits of predictability of soccer matches are quantified. Our model-free classification of the underlying ingredients determining the outcome of soccer matches can be generalized to different types of sports events

A supersymmetric black ring

A new supersymmetric black hole solution of five-dimensional supergravity is presented. It has an event horizon of topology S1xS2. This is the first example of a supersymmetric, asymptotically flat black hole of non-spherical topology. The solution is uniquely specified by its electric charge and two independent angular momenta. These conserved charges can be arbitrarily close, but not exactly equal, to those of a supersymmetric black hole of spherical topology.Comment: 4 pages, 1 figure. v2: Comment about chiral null models remove

Non-BPS D8-branes and Dynamic Domain Walls in Massive IIA Supergravities

We study the D8-branes of the Romans massive IIA supergravity theory using the coupled supergravity and worldvolume actions. D8 branes can be regarded as domain walls with the jump in the extrinsic curvature at the brane given by the Israel matching conditions. We examine the restrictions that these conditions place on extreme and non-extreme solutions and find that they rule out some of the supersymmetric solutions given by Bergshoeff {\em et al}. We consider what happens when the dilaton varies on the worldvolume of the brane, which implies that the brane is no longer static. We obtain a family of D8-brane solutions parametrized by a non-extremality term on each side of the brane and the asymptotic values of the 10-form field. The non-extremality parameters can be related to the velocity of the brane. We also study 8-brane solutions of a massive IIA supergravity theory introduced by Howe, Lambert and West. This theory also admits a 10-form formulation, but the 10-form is not a R-R sector field and so these 8-branes are not D-branes.Comment: 23 pages REVTeX, 2 .eps figures. This paper completely replaces and extends an earlier paper (hep-th/9712112) by Chamblin and Perr

Perturbations of higher-dimensional spacetimes

We discuss linearized gravitational perturbations of higher dimensional spacetimes. For algebraically special spacetimes (e.g. Myers-Perry black holes), we show that there exist local gauge invariant quantities linear in the metric perturbation. These are the higher dimensional generalizations of the 4d Newman-Penrose scalars that (in an algebraically special vacuum spacetime) satisfy decoupled equations of motion. We show that decoupling occurs in more than four dimensions if, and only if, the spacetime admits a null geodesic congruence with vanishing expansion, rotation and shear. Decoupling of electromagnetic perturbations occurs under the same conditions. Although these conditions are not satisfied in black hole spacetimes, they are satisfied in the near-horizon geometry of an extreme black hole.Comment: 21 pages (v2:Minor corrections, accepted by CQG.