15,073 research outputs found
A description of within-family resource exchange networks in a Malawian village
In this paper we explore patterns of economic transfers between adults within household and family networks in a village in Malawiâs Rumphi district, using data from the 2006 round of the Malawi Longitudinal Study of Families and Health. We fit Exponential-family Random Graph Models (ERGMs) to assess individual, relational, and higher-order network effects. The network effects of cyclic giving, reciprocity, and in-degree and out-degree distribution suggest a network with a tendency away from the formation of hierarchies or "hubs." Effects of age, sex, working status, education, health status, and kinship relation are also considered.Malawi, Malawi Longitudinal Study of Families and Health, networks, resource exchange, social network
Political and Media Discourses about Integrating Refugees in the UK
The file attached to this record is the author's final peer reviewed version. The Publisher's final version can be found by following the DOI link.This article addresses political and media discourses about integrating refugees in the UK in the context of the ârefugee crisisâ. A discursive psychological approach is presented as the best way to understand what talk about the concept is used to accomplish in these debates. A large corpus of political discussions (13 hours of debate featuring 146 politicians) and 960 newspaper articles from the UK were discourse analysed. The analysis identified five dilemmas about integration: Integration is positive and necessary, but challenging; Host communities are presented as welcoming, but there are limits to their capacity; Refugees are responsible for integration, but host communities need to provide support; Good refugees integrate, bad ones don't; Refugees are vulnerable and are skilled. All are used to warrant the inclusion or exclusion of refugees. The responsibility of western nations to support refugees is therefore contingent on the refugees behaving in specific ways
Estimating within-household contact networks from egocentric data
Acute respiratory diseases are transmitted over networks of social contacts.
Large-scale simulation models are used to predict epidemic dynamics and
evaluate the impact of various interventions, but the contact behavior in these
models is based on simplistic and strong assumptions which are not informed by
survey data. These assumptions are also used for estimating transmission
measures such as the basic reproductive number and secondary attack rates.
Development of methodology to infer contact networks from survey data could
improve these models and estimation methods. We contribute to this area by
developing a model of within-household social contacts and using it to analyze
the Belgian POLYMOD data set, which contains detailed diaries of social
contacts in a 24-hour period. We model dependency in contact behavior through a
latent variable indicating which household members are at home. We estimate
age-specific probabilities of being at home and age-specific probabilities of
contact conditional on two members being at home. Our results differ from the
standard random mixing assumption. In addition, we find that the probability
that all members contact each other on a given day is fairly low: 0.49 for
households with two 0--5 year olds and two 19--35 year olds, and 0.36 for
households with two 12--18 year olds and two 36+ year olds. We find higher
contact rates in households with 2--3 members, helping explain the higher
influenza secondary attack rates found in households of this size.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/11-AOAS474 the Annals of
Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of
Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
Estimating within-school contact networks to understand influenza transmission
Many epidemic models approximate social contact behavior by assuming random
mixing within mixing groups (e.g., homes, schools and workplaces). The effect
of more realistic social network structure on estimates of epidemic parameters
is an open area of exploration. We develop a detailed statistical model to
estimate the social contact network within a high school using friendship
network data and a survey of contact behavior. Our contact network model
includes classroom structure, longer durations of contacts to friends than
nonfriends and more frequent contacts with friends, based on reports in the
contact survey. We performed simulation studies to explore which network
structures are relevant to influenza transmission. These studies yield two key
findings. First, we found that the friendship network structure important to
the transmission process can be adequately represented by a dyad-independent
exponential random graph model (ERGM). This means that individual-level sampled
data is sufficient to characterize the entire friendship network. Second, we
found that contact behavior was adequately represented by a static rather than
dynamic contact network.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/11-AOAS505 the Annals of
Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of
Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
Toward an accurate mass function for precision cosmology
Cosmological surveys aim to use the evolution of the abundance of galaxy
clusters to accurately constrain the cosmological model. In the context of
LCDM, we show that it is possible to achieve the required percent level
accuracy in the halo mass function with gravity-only cosmological simulations,
and we provide simulation start and run parameter guidelines for doing so. Some
previous works have had sufficient statistical precision, but lacked robust
verification of absolute accuracy. Convergence tests of the mass function with,
for example, simulation start redshift can exhibit false convergence of the
mass function due to counteracting errors, potentially misleading one to infer
overly optimistic estimations of simulation accuracy. Percent level accuracy is
possible if initial condition particle mapping uses second order Lagrangian
Perturbation Theory, and if the start epoch is between 10 and 50 expansion
factors before the epoch of halo formation of interest. The mass function for
halos with fewer than ~1000 particles is highly sensitive to simulation
parameters and start redshift, implying a practical minimum mass resolution
limit due to mass discreteness. The narrow range in converged start redshift
suggests that it is not presently possible for a single simulation to capture
accurately the cluster mass function while also starting early enough to model
accurately the numbers of reionisation era galaxies, whose baryon feedback
processes may affect later cluster properties. Ultimately, to fully exploit
current and future cosmological surveys will require accurate modeling of
baryon physics and observable properties, a formidable challenge for which
accurate gravity-only simulations are just an initial step.Comment: revised in response to referee suggestions, MNRAS accepte
Demographic Change and the Structure of Wages: A Demand-Theoretic Analysis for Brazil
With rapidly declining fertility and increased longevity the age structure of the labor force in developing countries has changed rapidly. Changing relative supply of workers by age group, and by educational attainment, can have profound effects on labor costs. Their impacts on earnings have been heavily studied in the United States but have received little attention in Asia and Latin America, where supply shocks are at least as large and have often proceeded less evenly across the economy. We use data on 502 local Brazilian labor markets from Censuses 1970-2000 to examine the extent of substitution among demographic groups as relative supply has changed. The results suggest that age-education groups are imperfect substitutes, so that larger age-education cohorts see depressed wage rates, particularly among more-educated groups. The extent of substitution has increased over time, so that the decreasing size of the least-skilled labor force today is barely raising its remaining members' wages.
The Peak Brightness and Spatial Distribution of AGB Stars Near the Nucleus of M32
The bright stellar content near the center of the Local Group elliptical
galaxy M32 is investigated with 0.12 arcsec FWHM H and K images obtained with
the Gemini Mauna Kea telescope. Stars with K = 15.5, which are likely evolving
near the tip of the asymptotic giant branch (AGB), are resolved to within 2
arcsec of the nucleus, and it is concluded that the peak stellar brightness
near the center of M32 is similar to that in the outer regions of the galaxy.
Moreover, the projected density of bright AGB stars follows the visible light
profile to within 2 arcsec of the nucleus, indicating that the brightest stars
are well mixed throughout the galaxy. Thus, there is no evidence for an age
gradient, and the radial variations in spectroscopic indices and ultraviolet
colors that have been detected previously must be due to metallicity and/or
some other parameter. We suggest that either the bright AGB stars formed as
part of a highly uniform and coherent galaxy-wide episode of star formation, or
they originated in a separate system that merged with M32.Comment: 9 pages of text, 3 figures. ApJ (Letters) in pres
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The Relative Importance of Different Trophic Pathways for Secondary Exposure to Anticoagulant Rodenticides
Secondary exposure of predators to anticoagulant rodenticides, and in particular second generation anticoagulant rodenticides (SGARs), is a global phenomenon. The widespread and large-scale nature of this exposure has attracted considerable concern, although the consequences in terms of likelihood of poisoning of individuals and resultant impacts on populations are not well characterised. Secondary exposure of predators may as rise from once or more of: (i) eating contaminated commensal rodents subject to control (target species are typically rats and house mice); (ii) consumption of contaminated non-target small mammals (such as Peromyscus, Microtus, and Apodemus species) that encounter and feed on what are rodent-attractive baits; (iii) consumption of non-rodent vertebrate and invertebrate prey that may also incidentally encounter and eat baits. We hypothesised that predators feeding primarily on target species may be most at risk of exposure to SGARs while those predominantly taking non-mammalian prey may be at least risk. We tested this hypothesis by comparing exposure, determined from the presence and magnitude of SGAR liver residues, in red kites (Milvus milvus), which feeds extensively on rats, in barn owls (Tyto alba), kestrels (Falco tinnunculus), and tawny owls (Strix aluco) that feed widely on non-target small mammals, and in sparrowhawks (Accipiter nisus) that feed predominantly on small birds. We found that the scale and magnitude of exposure was broadly consistent with our hypothesis, and that controlling for age in the analysis could be important as older birds can accumulate residues with age. However, exposure in kestrels was typically greater than that in barn owls and tawny owls, despite what is thought to be a general similarity among the species in their diets. We discuss the relative importance of trophic pathways relative to other factors that may drive secondary exposure in predators, and confirm that species that feed on rats or other target species may be at most risk of exposure and poisoning
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