Contra Epstein, Good Explanations Predict

Epstein has argued that an explanation\'s capacity to make predictions should play a minor role in its evaluation . This view contradicts centuries of scientific practice and, at least, decades of philosophy of science. We argue that the view is not only unfounded but seems to arise from a mistaken fear that ABM models are in need of defense against the criticism that they don\'t necessarily forecast events in the natural or social world.ABM, Agent Based Model, Modeling, Prediction, Explanation, Philosophy of Science

Comparative Life Cycle Assessment Of Conventionally Manufactured And Additive Remanufactured Electric Bicycle Motors

In a circular economy, remanufacturing is crucial in reducing the use of primary raw materials and energy compared to new production. However, poor availability of non-standardized wear components can prevent remanufacturing. Additive manufacturing is a promising alternative to conventional manufacturing or spare part purchase for those wear components required for remanufacturing. However, there is uncertainty regarding the environmental impact of using additive manufacturing for remanufacturing. This paper compares conventional and additive spare parts manufacturing to evaluate the potential environmental savings of remanufacturing electric bicycle motors. Therefore, a reference motor was selected, and its manufacturing processes were modeled in SimaPro using the ecoinvent 3.8 Life Cycle Assessment database and the latest knowledge on processing and manufacturing processes. The results show that conventional production of electric bicycle motors has a climate warming potential of around 28 kg CO2-eq. Additive remanufacturing of electric bicycle motors at the end of their life cycle offers significant environmental savings potential. The extent of savings depends on the condition of the used electric bicycle motor and, accordingly, the number of components that need to be replaced. According to the IPCC method for the electric bicycle motor investigated, the study estimates that approximately 90.4 % savings potential can be achieved in terms of Global Warming Potential

HIV-1 unmasks the plasticity of innate lymphoid cells [preprint]

Pharmaceuticals that suppress HIV-1 viremia preserve CD4+ T cells and prevent AIDS. Nonetheless, HIV-1 infected people taking these drugs have chronic inflammation attributable to persistent disruption of intestinal barrier function with increased rates of cardiovascular mortality. To better understand the etiology of this inflammation we examined the effect of HIV-1 infection on innate lymphoid cells (ILCs). These innate immune counterparts of T cells lack clonotypic antigen receptors, classify according to signature transcription factors and cytokines, and maintain homeostasis in inflamed tissues. ILCs have been defined, in part, by the IL-7Rα, CD127. Here we report that the vast majority of type 1 and 3 ILCs in human adult and placental cord blood are in fact CD127-, as are colon lamina propria ILC1s and many ILC3s. Among ILCs, CD127-ILC1s were the major producer of inflammatory cytokines. In contrast to CD127+ILC3s, CD127-ILC3s did not produce IL-22, a cytokine that maintains epithelial barrier function. In HIV-1+ people taking antivirals that preserve CD4+ T cells, CD127-ILC1s and all homeostatic cytokine-producing CD127+ILCs were decreased in blood and colon. Common γ-chain cytokines that are reported to be elevated in response to HIV-1 infection caused JAK3-dependent downregulation of CD127 and converted CD127-ILC1s into NK cells with heightened cytolytic activity. Consistent with the recent report that human blood CD117+ILCs give rise to both ILC1s and NK cells, pseudotemporal clustering of transcriptomes from thousands of individual cells identified a developmental trajectory from CD127-ILC1s to memory NK cells that was defined by WNT-transcription factor TCF7. WNT inhibition prevented the cytokine-induced transition of CD127-ILC1 cells into memory NK cells. In HIV-1+ people, effector NK cells and TCF7+ memory NK cells were elevated, concomitant with reduction in CD127-ILC1s. These studies describe previously overlooked human ILC subsets that are significant in number and function, identify profound abnormalities in homeostatic ILCs that likely contribute to ongoing inflammation in HIV-1 infection despite control of viremia, provide explanation for increased memory NK cells in HIV-1 infection, and reveal functional plasticity of ILCs

Ni/Al-Hybrid Cellular Foams: An Interface Study by Combination of 3D-Phase Morphology Imaging, Microbeam Fracture Mechanics and In Situ Synchrotron Stress Analysis

Nickel(Ni)/aluminium(Al) hybrid foams are Al base foams coated with Ni by electrodeposition. Hybrid foams offer an enhanced energy absorption capacity. To ensure a good adhering Ni coating, necessary for a shear resistant interface, the influence of a chemical pre-treatment of the base foam was investigated by a combination of an interface morphology analysis by focused ion beam (FIB) tomography and in situ mechanical testing. The critical energy for interfacial decohesion from these microbending fracture tests in the scanning electron microscope (SEM) were contrasted to and the results validated by depth-resolved measurements of the evolving stresses in the Ni coating during three-point bending tests at the energy-dispersive diffraction (EDDI) beamline at the synchrotron BESSY II. Such a multi-method assessment of the interface decohesion resistance with respect to the interface morphology provides a reliable investigation strategy for further improvement of the interface morphology

Screaming 'Black' Murder: Crime Fiction and the Construction of Ethnic Identities

A significant segment of crime fiction is concerned with the representation of ethnic identities and may to some extent be considered paradigmatic of the participation of literary texts in discourses on race and minorities. This article explores constructions of ethnic identities in American, British, and South African crime fiction from the 1920s to the early twenty-first century. In particular, the focus will be on such texts in which the ethno-cultural identity of the detective gives special prominence not only to the ethnic particularity of the fictional character itself and of its environs but frequently also to that of its author. Main texts discussed are Rudolph Fisher’s The Conjure Man Dies (1932), Earl Derr Biggers’ The House Without a Key (1925) and The Black Camel (1929), Walter Mosley’s Devil in a Blue Dress (1990) and Little Scarlet (2004) as well as James McClure’s The Gooseberry Fool (1974) and Patrick Neate’s City of Tiny Lights (2005). It is argued that all of these texts have a distinct subversive potential of which the construction of ethnic identities becomes the main vehicle because these identities are the products and the catalysts of the conflicts negotiated in ethnic crime fiction and correlating to ‘reality’

Nucleotide diversity maps reveal variation in diversity among wheat genomes and chromosomes

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>A genome-wide assessment of nucleotide diversity in a polyploid species must minimize the inclusion of homoeologous sequences into diversity estimates and reliably allocate individual haplotypes into their respective genomes. The same requirements complicate the development and deployment of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers in polyploid species. We report here a strategy that satisfies these requirements and deploy it in the sequencing of genes in cultivated hexaploid wheat (<it>Triticum aestivum</it>, genomes AABBDD) and wild tetraploid wheat (<it>Triticum turgidum </it>ssp. <it>dicoccoides</it>, genomes AABB) from the putative site of wheat domestication in Turkey. Data are used to assess the distribution of diversity among and within wheat genomes and to develop a panel of SNP markers for polyploid wheat.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Nucleotide diversity was estimated in 2114 wheat genes and was similar between the A and B genomes and reduced in the D genome. Within a genome, diversity was diminished on some chromosomes. Low diversity was always accompanied by an excess of rare alleles. A total of 5,471 SNPs was discovered in 1791 wheat genes. Totals of 1,271, 1,218, and 2,203 SNPs were discovered in 488, 463, and 641 genes of wheat putative diploid ancestors, <it>T. urartu</it>, <it>Aegilops speltoides</it>, and <it>Ae. tauschii</it>, respectively. A public database containing genome-specific primers, SNPs, and other information was constructed. A total of 987 genes with nucleotide diversity estimated in one or more of the wheat genomes was placed on an <it>Ae. tauschii </it>genetic map, and the map was superimposed on wheat deletion-bin maps. The agreement between the maps was assessed.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>In a young polyploid, exemplified by <it>T. aestivum</it>, ancestral species are the primary source of genetic diversity. Low effective recombination due to self-pollination and a genetic mechanism precluding homoeologous chromosome pairing during polyploid meiosis can lead to the loss of diversity from large chromosomal regions. The net effect of these factors in <it>T. aestivum </it>is large variation in diversity among genomes and chromosomes, which impacts the development of SNP markers and their practical utility. Accumulation of new mutations in older polyploid species, such as wild emmer, results in increased diversity and its more uniform distribution across the genome.</p

Terrestrial Very-Long-Baseline Atom Interferometry:Workshop Summary

This document presents a summary of the 2023 Terrestrial Very-Long-Baseline Atom Interferometry Workshop hosted by CERN. The workshop brought together experts from around the world to discuss the exciting developments in large-scale atom interferometer (AI) prototypes and their potential for detecting ultralight dark matter and gravitational waves. The primary objective of the workshop was to lay the groundwork for an international TVLBAI proto-collaboration. This collaboration aims to unite researchers from different institutions to strategize and secure funding for terrestrial large-scale AI projects. The ultimate goal is to create a roadmap detailing the design and technology choices for one or more km-scale detectors, which will be operational in the mid-2030s. The key sections of this report present the physics case and technical challenges, together with a comprehensive overview of the discussions at the workshop together with the main conclusions

Human settlement, coastal landforms and later Holocene sea level change in southwestern British Columbia, Canada

Funding: Washington State University; BC ParksWashington State UniversityGrier, Colin et al. (2010, March 26). Human settlement, coastal landforms and later Holocene sea level change in southwestern British Columbia, Canada. Poster presented at the Washington State University Academic Showcase, Pullman, WA