Trade reforms and breakpoints in Australia\u27s manufactured trade: an application of the Zivot and Andrews model

Trade liberalization is expected to increase imports but also exports via reduced input costs and increased domestic competition. This paper investigates whether this is the case for Australian manufactured goods. We begin by briefly describing the trends in the effective rate of protection, imports and exports in Australia over the last 30 years and then investigate the existence of major structural breaks in the imports and exports series by applying the Zivot and Andrews (1992 )test, using annual time series data from 1968/69 to 2003/2004. We find that a significant structural break occurred for imports in 1988/1989, which coincides with the introduction of major trade liberalization policy. We also find a significant structural break for exports with the three-year lag in 1992/1993

A study on the prognostic factors of breast cancer survival time using bayesian cox model

Abstract Background: Breast cancer is one of the common diseases among women with various factors involved in it. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of tumor markers, estrogen receptor (ER), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (Her2), and Ki67 antigen, and other factors affecting the survival time of patients with breast cancer in Yazd City, Iran, using Bayesian multiple Cox regression analysis. Methods: This was a population-based study of 538 women with breast cancer registered in the clinical database of the Ramezanzade Radiotherapy Center from the April 2005 until March 2012. Comprehensive data on prognostic factors, comorbidity and treatment together with complete follow-up for survival were used to evaluate improvements in mortality. Data was analyzed using R 3.4.2 software. P-value of less than 0.050 was considered as the significance level. Findings: The mean age of patients with breast cancer and the mean survival time were 48.03 ± 11.16 years and 97.64 ± 4.23 months, respectively. Based on Kaplan-Meier method, the 1, 3, 5 and 8-year cumulative survivals in patients with breast cancer were 0.976, 0.898, 0.823, and 0.737, respectively. Bayesian Cox regression analysis showed that surgery [Hazard ratio (HR): 1.631, 95% Prediction interval (PI): 1.102-2.422)], ki67 (HR: 3.260, 95%PI: 1.6308-6.372), stage (HR: 5.620, 95%PI: 4.079-7.731), lymph node (HR: 1.765, 95%PI: 1.127-2.790), and estrogen receptor (HR: 2.033, 95%PI; 2.023-3.354) were significantly related to survival time. Conclusion: According to Bayesian multiple cox regression, stage, Ki67, lymph node, estrogen receptor, and surgery variables have a positive effect on death hazard. By combining Bayesian and semi-parametric methods in survival analysis, in order to use prior information and relaxation of parametric assumption, the model gain more flexibility and robustness against misspecification of the probability model; this gives more valuable results. © 2018, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences(IUMS). All rights reserved. Author keywords Breast cancerEstrogen receptorKi-67 antigenRegression analysisSurvival analysi

The First Illumina-Based De Novo Transcriptome Sequencing and Analysis of Safflower Flowers

BACKGROUND: The safflower, Carthamus tinctorius L., is a worldwide oil crop, and its flowers, which have a high flavonoid content, are an important medicinal resource against cardiovascular disease in traditional medicine. Because the safflower has a large and complex genome, the development of its genomic resources has been delayed. Second-generation Illumina sequencing is now an efficient route for generating an enormous volume of sequences that can represent a large number of genes and their expression levels. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: To investigate the genes and pathways that might control flavonoids and other secondary metabolites in the safflower, we used Illumina sequencing to perform a de novo assembly of the safflower tubular flower tissue transcriptome. We obtained a total of 4.69 Gb in clean nucleotides comprising 52,119,104 clean sequencing reads, 195,320 contigs, and 120,778 unigenes. Based on similarity searches with known proteins, we annotated 70,342 of the unigenes (about 58% of the identified unigenes) with cut-off E-values of 10(-5). In total, 21,943 of the safflower unigenes were found to have COG classifications, and BLAST2GO assigned 26,332 of the unigenes to 1,754 GO term annotations. In addition, we assigned 30,203 of the unigenes to 121 KEGG pathways. When we focused on genes identified as contributing to flavonoid biosynthesis and the biosynthesis of unsaturated fatty acids, which are important pathways that control flower and seed quality, respectively, we found that these genes were fairly well conserved in the safflower genome compared to those of other plants. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Our study provides abundant genomic data for Carthamus tinctorius L. and offers comprehensive sequence resources for studying the safflower. We believe that these transcriptome datasets will serve as an important public information platform to accelerate studies of the safflower genome, and may help us define the mechanisms of flower tissue-specific and secondary metabolism in this non-model plant

The importance of the cellular stress response in the pathogenesis and treatment of type 2 diabetes

Organisms have evolved to survive rigorous environments and are not prepared to thrive in a world of caloric excess and sedentary behavior. A realization that physical exercise (or lack of it) plays a pivotal role in both the pathogenesis and therapy of type 2 diabetes mellitus (t2DM) has led to the provocative concept of therapeutic exercise mimetics. A decade ago, we attempted to simulate the beneficial effects of exercise by treating t2DM patients with 3 weeks of daily hyperthermia, induced by hot tub immersion. The short-term intervention had remarkable success, with a 1 % drop in HbA1, a trend toward weight loss, and improvement in diabetic neuropathic symptoms. An explanation for the beneficial effects of exercise and hyperthermia centers upon their ability to induce the cellular stress response (the heat shock response) and restore cellular homeostasis. Impaired stress response precedes major metabolic defects associated with t2DM and may be a near seminal event in the pathogenesis of the disease, tipping the balance from health into disease. Heat shock protein inducers share metabolic pathways associated with exercise with activation of AMPK, PGC1-a, and sirtuins. Diabetic therapies that induce the stress response, whether via heat, bioactive compounds, or genetic manipulation, improve or prevent all of the morbidities and comorbidities associated with the disease. The agents reduce insulin resistance, inflammatory cytokines, visceral adiposity, and body weight while increasing mitochondrial activity, normalizing membrane structure and lipid composition, and preserving organ function. Therapies restoring the stress response can re-tip the balance from disease into health and address the multifaceted defects associated with the disease

Dental caries in primary and permanent teeth in children's worldwide, 1995 to 2019: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Early childhood caries (ECC) is a type of dental caries in the teeth of infants and children that is represented as one of the most prevalent dental problems in this period. Various studies have reported different types of prevalence of dental caries in primary and permanent teeth in children worldwide. However, there has been no comprehensive study to summarize the results of these studies in general, so this study aimed to determine the prevalence of dental caries in primary and permanent teeth in children in different continents of the world during a systematic review and meta-analysis. Methods: In this review study, articles were extracted by searching in the national and international databases of SID, MagIran, IranMedex, IranDoc, Cochrane, Embase, ScienceDirect, Scopus, PubMed, and Web of Science (ISI) between 1995 and December 2019. Random effects model was used for analysis and heterogeneity of studies was evaluated by using the I2 index. Data were analyzed by using the Comprehensive Meta-Analysis (Version 2) software. Findings: In this study, a total of 164 articles (81 articles on the prevalence of dental caries in primary teeth and 83 articles on the prevalence of dental caries in permanent teeth) were entered the meta-analysis. The prevalence of dental caries in primary teeth in children in the world with a sample size of 80,405 was 46.2% (95% CI: 41.6–50.8%), and the prevalence of dental caries in permanent teeth in children in the world with a sample size of 1,454,871 was 53.8% (95% CI: 50–57.5%). Regarding the heterogeneity on the basis of meta-regression analysis, there was a significant difference in the prevalence of dental caries in primary and permanent teeth in children in different continents of the world. With increasing the sample size and the year of study, dental caries in primary teeth increased and in permanent teeth decreased. Conclusion: The results of this study showed that the prevalence of primary and permanent dental caries in children in the world was found to be high. Therefore, appropriate strategies should be implemented to improve the aforementioned situation and to troubleshoot and monitor at all levels by providing feedback to hospitals

Semi-automated digital workflow to design and evaluate patient-specific mandibular reconstruction implants

The reconstruction of large mandibular defects with optimal aesthetic and functional outcomes remains a major challenge for maxillofacial surgeons. The aim of this study was to design patient-specific mandibular reconstruction implants through a semi-automated digital workflow and to assess the effects of topology optimization on the biomechanical performance of the designed implants. By using the proposed workflow, a fully porous implant (LA-implant) and a topology-optimized implant (TO-implant) both made of Ti-6Al-4V ELI were designed and additively manufactured using selective laser melting. The mechanical performance of the implants was predicted by performing finite element analysis (FEA) and was experimentally assessed by conducting quasi-static and cyclic biomechanical tests. Digital image correlation (DIC) was used to validate the FE model by comparing the principal strains predicted by the FEM model with the measured distribution of the same type of strain. The numerical predictions were in good agreement with the DIC measurements and the predicted locations of specimen failure matched the actual ones. No statistically significant differences (p < 0.05) in the mean stiffness, mean ultimate load, or mean ultimate displacement were detected between the LA- and TO-implant groups. No implant failures were observed during quasi-static or cyclic testing under masticatory loads that were substantially higher (>1000 N) than the average maximum biting force of healthy individuals. Given its relatively lower weight (16.5%), higher porosity (17.4%), and much shorter design time (633.3%), the LA-implant is preferred for clinical application. This study clearly demonstrates the capability of the proposed workflow to develop patient-specific implants with high precision and superior mechanical performance, which will greatly facilitate cost- and time-effective pre-surgical planning and is expected to improve the surgical outcome.Biomaterials & Tissue Biomechanic